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Oddities and Endities
2007-09-10 09:47
by Mike Carminati

Curtis Granderson stole his twentieth base yesterday to join the ultra-elite 20-20-20-20 club. This is not a club with members who are really devoted to Hugh Downs. It is a club of men who have hit 20 doubles, 20 triples, 20 homers, and 20 stolen bases in one season, and Granderson is its third member.

Here is the 20-20-20-20 club:

PlayerYr2B3BHRSB
Frank Schulte191130212123
Willie Mays195726203538
Curtis Granderson200736222120

Of course the sticking point for future members of the club is the 20 triples part. Since 1949, there have been just six 20-triple seasons. Oddly, two of those men are in the Quad-20 club:

PlayerYr3B
Curtis Granderson200722
Cristian Guzman200020
Lance Johnson199621
Willie Wilson198521
George Brett197920
Willie Mays195720

Granderson actually has the most triples in a season since Dale Mitchell's 23 in 1949. He is just the 52nd man in baseball history to collect 22 or more triples in a season. Just 31 have more than 22. Granderson projects to 25 for the season. That would be the most since Hall of Famer Kiki Cuyler's 26 in 1925. Just 18 men have amassed 25 triples, and just 7 since 1900. The most ever collected were Chief Wilson's 36 in 1912.

The problem with making the Quad-20 club is that triples declined as home runs gained prominence (naturally) in the 1920s. In the 1910s, about two percent of all batters who qualified for the batting title (using today's rules) had 20 or more triples while just 0.33% hit 20 home runs. By the Thirties those numbers were reversed: almost three percentage of qualified batters hit 20 homers while 0.08% hit 20 triples. Also, the percentage of qualified batters collecting 20 stolen bases has dropped from 78% in the 1890s to over 4% in the 1930s to about 20% today.

The decade with the best odds of a player making the Quad-20 list was the 1920s as triples started "becoming" home runs. The expectations for the last two decades (2000s numbers through 2006) are next due to the sustained resurgence of the stolen bases, the glut of home runs and doubles, and the large number of players and teams.

Here's a quicky table with the number of qualifying player-seasons per decade for each of the Quad-20 legs. Note that overall the expectation is that 6 players would have made the club while just three have:

Decade#Player YrsQual Batters2B >= 20%%Qual3B >= 20%%QualHR >= 20%%QualSB >= 20%%QualOverall %Ovarell %Qual Exp
1870s1099598272.46%4.52%00.00%0.00%00.00%0.00%60.55%1.00%0.0000000%0.0000000% -
1880s298796634811.65%36.02%100.33%1.04%50.17%0.52%35912.02%37.16%0.0000078%0.0007174% 0.01
1890s308583443514.10%52.16%381.23%4.56%10.03%0.12%64720.97%77.58%0.0000118%0.0022106% 0.02
1900s384583441510.79%49.76%130.34%1.56%00.00%0.00%51613.42%61.87%0.0000000%0.0000000% -
1910s56879165369.43%58.52%200.35%2.18%30.05%0.33%5419.51%59.06%0.0000017%0.0024713% 0.02
1920s508086086216.97%100.23%160.31%1.86%671.32%7.79%1172.30%13.60%0.0000162%0.0197649% 0.17
1930s492187397619.83%111.80%40.08%0.46%1412.87%16.15%390.79%4.47%0.0000037%0.0036960% 0.03
1940s543781674413.68%91.18%50.09%0.61%1252.30%15.32%450.83%5.51%0.0000024%0.0047196% 0.04
1950s556478965511.77%83.02%10.02%0.13%2965.32%37.52%490.88%6.21%0.0000010%0.0024514% 0.02
1960s695196273810.62%76.72%00.00%0.00%3755.39%38.98%1261.81%13.10%0.0000000%0.0000000% -
1970s85481259105812.38%84.03%10.01%0.08%4104.80%32.57%3494.08%27.72%0.0000028%0.0060255% 0.08
1980s94751309122412.92%93.51%10.01%0.08%4624.88%35.29%4644.90%35.45%0.0000033%0.0089368% 0.12
1990s109581424153213.98%107.58%10.01%0.07%6385.82%44.80%4373.99%30.69%0.0000030%0.0103877% 0.15
2000s86241104140216.26%126.99%10.01%0.09%6217.20%56.25%2342.71%21.20%0.0000037%0.0137145% 0.15
Total82261135441095213.31%80.86%1110.13%0.82%31443.82%23.21%39294.78%29.01%0.0000328%0.0446265% 6.04

Meanwhile, Dontrelle Willis gave up seven runs through three innings to help the Phils hang in the wild card hunt. Willis fell to 8-15 with a 5.24 ERA. He potentially becomes a free agent this offseason and is now two years removed from his 22-10 Cy Young runner-up season. At 25, Willis could join a rather elite list soon.

Willis could become the 91st pitcher to win twenty games and be washed up by the age of thirty. Since 1920 there have been just seven men to accomplish this dubious feat. Ron Bryant was the last, having won 24 at age 25 in 1973 and finishing his career at age 27 in 1975. Denny McLain, 7-11's most famous former employee, is the previous man to do it.

Here are all the men since 1920 to do it:

PlayerLast YrAgeWLPCT ERA Most W YrAgeWLPCT ERA
Ron Bryant19752701.000 16.62 1973252412.667 3.53
Denny McLain19722847.364 6.37 196824316.838 1.96
Dave Boswell19712612.333 4.66 1969242012.625 3.23
Sammy Ellis19692803.000 5.83 1965242210.688 3.79
Herb Score19622900.000 4.50 195623209.690 2.53
Dave Ferriss19502800.000 18.00 194624256.806 3.25
Lefty Williams1920272214.611 3.91 1919262311.676 2.64

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