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Killer Bigs—Big Hurt & Biggio
2007-06-29 12:32
by Mike Carminati

As I am sure you are aware, yesterday Frank Thomas became the 21st member of the 500-home run club and Craig Biggio became the 27th member of the 3000-hit club.

Over at ESPN Rob Neyer opines that Biggio is a lock for the Hall while Thomas is a borderline candidate at best. Actually, I don't really know what Neyer said—I can just read the first paragraph since I refuse to pay for Joe Morgan's clichéd aphorisms.

In the first paragraph, at least, Neyer somehow goes on ad nauseum about 500 home runs are not what they used to be. It seems that there once was a time when home runs were rationed. I think it was during the war, Double-Ya Double-Ya Two, to quote Archie Bunker. We needed to save our home runs to fight Gerry.

Really, does Neyer have to remind us that we are in the midst of the greatest offensive explosion since right after Doctor Phil's last feeding. I think the guy is morphing into a post-sabermetric Tim McCarver.

Anyway, in my humble opinion, Thomas and Biggio are easily first-ballot Hall-of-Famers, if for no other reason, at least in Thomas' case, since he has the minty scent of a power hitter who is steroid free. He is perhaps the only 500-guy who is free of the 'roid taint (which sounds like a obscene medical condition stemming from too many performance enhancers), which should appease the knee-jerk baseball writers. Biggio, seemingly, gets a free pass since the 3000-hit club has not yet been tainted though its membership is still larger than the 500-tater club.

I have a quick test to see if a player has that certain Wessonality to get into the Hall, Win Shares. The average Hall of Famer has 337 Win Shares, and every player with 400 Win Shares is in Cooperstown. So let's see how our current players rate.

Here are the players NOT in the Hall of fame that would be a better-than average HoFer based on Win Shares. For each, they are designated either Elig(ible), Not Yet Eligible (NYE) or Inelig(ible) for the Hall. (Rose is the only ineligible player on the list due to his ban.):

NameFirst YrLast YrWin SharesPOSHoF?
Barry Bonds19862007706OFNYE
Pete Rose19631986547OFInelig
Rickey Henderson19792003535OFNYE
Roger Clemens19842007436PNYE
Craig Biggio198820074292BNYE
Gary Sheffield19882007416RFNYE
Tony Mullane18811894399PElig
Rafael Palmeiro198620053951BNYE
Bill Dahlen18911911394SSElig
Tim Raines19792002390OFNYE
Frank Thomas19902007390DHNYE
Jeff Bagwell199120053881BNYE
Greg Maddux19862007385PNYE
Ken Griffey19892007380CFNYE
Roberto Alomar198820043762BNYE
Darrell Evans196919893633BElig
Alex Rodriguez19942007360SSNYE
Rusty Staub19631985358OFElig
Sherry Magee19041919354OFElig
Lou Whitaker197719953512BElig
Manny Ramirez19932007348RFNYE
Dwight Evans19721991347OFElig
Barry Larkin19862004346SSNYE
George Van Haltren18871903344OFElig
Mark McGwire198620013431BElig
Dick Allen196319773421BElig
Fred McGriff198620043411BNYE
Andre Dawson19761996340OFElig
Bert Blyleven19701992339PElig
Jimmy Sheckard18971913339OFElig
Bob Caruthers18841893337OFElig

Note there are four active players over 400 Win Shares, which should be a lock. Thomas is just ten Win Shares from 400.

Since I love tables, here are all the HoF players by Win Shares:

NameFirst YrLast YrWin SharesPOSHoF?
Babe Ruth19141935756OF1936
Ty Cobb19051928722OF1936
Honus Wagner18971917655SS1936
Hank Aaron19541976643OF1982
Willie Mays19511973642OF1979
Cy Young18901911634P1937
Tris Speaker19071928630OF1937
Stan Musial19411963604OF1969
Eddie Collins190619305742B1939
Mickey Mantle19511968565OF1974
Walter Johnson19071927560P1936
Ted Williams19391960555OF1966
Mel Ott19261947528OF1951
Frank Robinson19561976519OF1982
Joe Morgan196319845122B1990
Rogers Hornsby191519375022B1942
Nap Lajoie189619164962B1937
Lou Gehrig192319394891B1939
Carl Yastrzemski19611983488OF1989
Kid Nichols18901906478P1949
Pete Alexander19111930476P1938
Mike Schmidt197219894673B1995
Eddie Mathews195219684503B1978
Sam Crawford18991917446OF1957
Reggie Jackson19671987444OF1993
Al Kaline19531974443OF1980
Eddie Murray197719974371B2003
Jimmie Foxx192519454351B1951
George Brett197319934323B1999
Cal Ripken19812001427SS2007
Christy Mathewson19001916426P1936
Paul Waner19261945423OF1952
Robin Yount19741993423SS1999
Dave Winfield19731995415OF2001
Paul Molitor19781998414DH2004
Tim Keefe18801893413P1964
Warren Spahn19421965412P1973
John Ward18781894409SS1964
Willie McCovey195919804081B1986
Pud Galvin18751892403P1965
Fred Clarke18941915400OF1945
George Davis18901909398SS1998
Tony Gwynn19822001398OF2007
John Clarkson18821894396P1963
Wade Boggs198219993943B2005
Charley Radbourn18801891391P1939
Lefty Grove19251941391P1947
Jesse Burkett18901905389OF1946
Tom Seaver19671986388P1992
Joe DiMaggio19361951387OF1955
Rod Carew196719853841B1991
Charlie Gehringer192419423832B1949
Cap Anson187118973811B1939
Zack Wheat19091927380OF1959
Luke Appling19301950378SS1964
Roberto Clemente19551972377OF1973
Al Simmons19241944375OF1953
Yogi Berra19461965375C1972
Billy Williams19591976374OF1987
Phil Niekro19641987374P1997
Harmon Killebrew195419753711B1984
Willie Stargell19621982370OF1988
Gaylord Perry19621983369P1991
Carlton Fisk19691993368C2000
Frankie Frisch191919373662B1947
Steve Carlton19651988366P1994
Roger Connor188018973631B1976
Eddie Plank19011917361P1946
Harry Heilmann19141932356OF1952
Brooks Robinson195519773563B1983
Arky Vaughan19321948356SS1985
Johnny Bench19671983356C1989
Dan Brouthers187919043551B1945
Ed Delahanty18881903355OF1945
Goose Goslin19211938355OF1968
Mickey Welch18801892354P1973
Duke Snider19471964352OF1980
Max Carey19101929351OF1961
Tony Perez196419863491B2000
Lou Brock19611979348OF1985
Ryne Sandberg198119973462B2005
Bobby Wallace18941918345SS1953
Robin Roberts19481966339P1976
Johnny Mize193619533381B1981
Billy Hamilton18881901337OF1961
Gary Carter19741992337C2003
Nolan Ryan19661993334P1999
Willie Keeler18921910333OF1939
Joe Cronin19261945333SS1956
Ernie Banks195319713321B1977
Richie Ashburn19481962329OF1995
Sam Rice19151934327OF1963
Gabby Hartnett19221941325C1955
Ozzie Smith19781996325SS2002
Enos Slaughter19381959323OF1985
Fergie Jenkins19651983323P1991
Red Ruffing19241947322P1967
Harry Hooper19091925321OF1971
Don Sutton19661988319P1998
Jake Beckley188819073181B1971
Bob Gibson19591975317P1981
Eppa Rixey19121933315P1963
Bill Dickey19281946314C1954
Edd Roush19131931314OF1962
Pee Wee Reese19401958314SS1984
Ted Lyons19231946312P1955
Joe Medwick19321948312OF1968
Jim Palmer19651984312P1990
Orlando Cepeda195819743101B1999
Early Wynn19391963309P1972
Jim O'Rourke18721904305OF1945
Carl Hubbell19281943305P1947
Joe Kelley18911908305OF1971
Bid McPhee188218993052B2000
Nellie Fox194719653042B1997
Rabbit Maranville19121935302SS1954
Frank Baker190819223013B1955
Dennis Eckersley19751998301P2004
Billy Herman193119472982B1975
Mordecai Brown19031916296P1949
Hugh Duffy18881906295OF1945
Amos Rusie18891901293P1977
Luis Aparicio19561973293SS1984
Vic Willis18981910293P1995
George Sisler191519302921B1939
Bob Feller19361956292P1962
Red Faber19141933292P1964
Kiki Cuyler19211938292OF1968
Elmer Flick18981910291OF1963
Burleigh Grimes19161934286P1964
Heinie Manush19231939285OF1964
Bobby Doerr193719512812B1986
Kirby Puckett19841995281OF2001
Earl Averill19291941280OF1975
King Kelly18781893278OF1945
Bill Terry192319362781B1954
Lou Boudreau19381952277SS1970
Joe Sewell19201933277SS1977
Mickey Cochrane19251937275C1947
Jimmy Collins189519082743B1945
Pie Traynor192019372743B1948
Joe McGinnity18991908269P1946
Dave Bancroft19151930269SS1971
Johnny Evers190219292682B1946
Larry Doby19471959268OF1998
Hank Greenberg193019472671B1956
Ed Walsh19041917265P1946
Hal Newhouser19391955264P1992
Juan Marichal19601975263P1983
Waite Hoyt19181938262P1969
Red Schoendienst194519632622B1989
Whitey Ford19501967261P1974
Joe Tinker19021916258SS1946
Jim Bottomley192219372581B1974
Don Drysdale19561969258P1984
Jackie Robinson194719562572B1962
Jim Bunning19551971257P1996
Hoyt Wilhelm19521972256P1985
Tony Lazzeri192619392522B1991
Lloyd Waner19271945245OF1967
Stan Coveleski19121928245P1969
Ralph Kiner19461955242OF1975
Buck Ewing18801897241C1939
Dazzy Vance19151935241P1955
Rube Waddell18971910240P1946
Herb Pennock19121934240P1948
Chuck Klein19281944238OF1980
Frank Chance189819142371B1946
Sam Thompson18851906236OF1974
Bob Lemon19411958232P1976
Roger Bresnahan18971915231C1945
Chief Bender19031925231P1953
Phil Rizzuto19411956231SS1994
George Kell194319572293B1983
Earle Combs19241935227OF1970
Hack Wilson19231934224OF1979
Bill Mazeroski195619722192B2001
Ernie Lombardi19311947218C1986
Hughie Jennings18911918214SS1945
Travis Jackson19221936211SS1982
Jack Chesbro18991909209P1946
Rube Marquard19081925208P1971
Roy Campanella19481957207C1969
Jesse Haines19181937207P1970
Ross Youngs19171926206OF1972
Rick Ferrell19291947206C1984
Catfish Hunter19651979206P1987
Sandy Koufax19551966194P1972
George Kelly191519321931B1973
Freddie Lindstrom192419361933B1976
Ray Schalk19121929191C1955
Addie Joss19021910191P1978
Rollie Fingers19681985188P1992
Chick Hafey19241937186OF1971
Lefty Gomez19301943185P1972
Dizzy Dean19301947181P1953
Tommy McCarthy18841896170OF1946
Bruce Sutter19761988168P2006
Comments
2007-06-30 18:58:27
1.   Murray
Fitting to see Bagwell and Thomas back-to-back on your first list. They share the same exact birthday, you know.
2007-07-02 07:27:33
2.   Mike from Hoboken
The 'Roid Taint.
Is that anything like the Heartbreak of Psoriasis?

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