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The Winner of the Wes Helms/Jason Kendall Home Run Derby Is…
2007-06-14 10:00
by Mike Carminati

But first a story about a woman who was arrested for stealing toilet paper. Her name had to be "Butts", right?

Yesterday, Wes Helms homered and Aaron Rowand hit a grand slam en route to an 8-4 Phillies win over and series sweep of the White Sox. The Phils have now swept two of their last three series. They throw a kid from Double-A (Kyle Kendrick) who is basically the best warm body in the organization, and they win—the kid even got a "hit" on a ball that clunked off a diving Jermaine Dye's glove. They are a juggernaut. Fourm, count 'em, four games above .500! Break 'em up!

Helms won the First Annual Wes Helms/Jason Kendall Home Run Derby, hitting his first home run of the season just hours before Jason Kendall ripped his first homer not only of the season, his first since May 31, 2006 (157 games). That leaves just four regulars (i.e., batters who qualify for the batting title) without a home run. Kendall also is 5-fot-9 in his last two games, raising his average from .194 to .210. Keep in mind that Helms hit 10 dingers last season and once hit 23. Kendall has hit double digits in homers three times with a career high of 14 in 2000 with Pirates. However, In two and one-half years with the A's he has a grand total of two home runs.

Here are all the qualifying batters with one or fewer dinger this season:

RKPLAYERTEAMABHRRBIBAOBPSLGOPS
178Juan PierreLAD269014.279.310.331.641
Sean CaseyDET195018.277.340.344.683
Rafael FurcalLAD230024.287.354.370.724
Luis CastilloMIN209011.330.373.364.737
165Jason KendallOAK210116.210.249.238.487
Corey PattersonBAL192116.208.264.286.551
Coco CrispBOS217116.221.277.295.572
Omar VizquelSFO218118.229.284.289.573
Nick PuntoMIN208113.231.328.298.626
Tony Pena Jr.KAN222117.261.286.351.637
Alfredo AmezagaFLA183114.251.310.328.638
Jason BartlettMIN177113.249.338.311.649
Nomar GarciaparraLAD238134.273.319.332.651
Ryan TheriotCHC198120.268.332.338.670
Freddy SanchezPIT239123.297.335.368.703
Willy TaverasCOL192112.318.367.365.732
Placido PolancoDET251133.343.384.430.814

Kendall is still in the midst of a potentially historically poor season at the plate. He has .249 on-base percentage, .238 slugging, and .487 (!) OPS. That is still 64 point worse than the next lowest OPS for any batting-title qualifier:

RKPLAYERTEAMABHRRBIBAOBPSLGOPS
181Jason KendallOAK210116.210.249.238.487
180Corey PattersonBAL192116.208.264.286.551
179Coco CrispBOS217116.221.277.295.572
178Omar VizquelSFO218118.229.284.289.573
177Julio LugoBOS246434.211.270.317.587
176Adam EverettHOU213215.230.278.319.597
175Miguel OlivoFLA217428.226.246.355.600
174Ronny PaulinoPIT190521.216.265.337.602
173Juan UribeCHW177623.209.278.333.611
172Jacque JonesCHC189219.233.295.323.617
171Felipe LopezWAS263326.232.284.338.623

It's so bad that Kendall's OPS is closer to the overall statistic for AL pitchers, who bat just during interleague play, .425 (62 points lower) than he is to the next worst regular, Corey Patterson at .551 (64 points away). If Kendall keeps it up, he could be the first batter in 39 years to register an OPS under .500 and just the second in 75 years. There are just 16 sub-.500 OPS seasons since 1901 that have been registered for a batting-title qualifier:

NameYrTPABAOBPSLUGOPS
Hal Lanier1968518.206.222.239.461
Hal Lanier1967557.213.239.255.494
Jim Levey1933567.195.237.240.477
Ollie O'Mara1918489.213.242.242.484
Joe Dugan1918447.195.230.258.488
Chappy Charles1908494.205.238.256.494
Bobby Byrne1908490.191.238.212.450
Fred Raymer1905522.211.232.247.479
Hunter Hill1904554.204.236.226.462
George Barclay1904503.205.241.254.495
Bobby Lowe1904541.207.236.258.494
Charles Moran1904578.196.265.225.490
Pete Childs1902447.194.256.206.462
John Gochnauer1902506.185.247.237.485
Bones Ely1901435.212.232.265.497
Bill Hallman1901525.185.238.235.473

Oddly, Helms and his career-low .635 OPS has all but lost his job in Philly, but Kendall is solidly entrenched behind the plate for the A's. He is even batting eighth regularly, down from his usual leadoff spot, instead of ninth for the most part.

Coincidentally, GM Billy Beane yesterday was given a seven-year extension by the A's. He did get a regular catcher in 2005 from the Pirates for a journeyman pitcher who would deservingly lose 15 games that year (Mark Redman) and a reliever who is no longer in the game (Arthur Rhodes), but he didn't have to hang onto Kendall for so long after so many of his offensive tools had evaporated. One has to wonder how many of those seven years will witness Kendall behind the plate.

Comments
2007-06-14 10:45:00
1.   Ken Arneson
I don't think that penultimate sentence is quite fair to Beane. By THT's calculations, he was actually the A's leader in Win Shares last year. Sure, Kendall has lost his power, but until this year, he hadn't lost the single most important batting skill, and that's OBP. Kendall had a .367 OBP in 2006, 4th best in MLB among qualifying catchers.

Now, I ain't sayin' Kendall is great or anything, but there's no reason Beane should have seen this 2007 performance coming. Kendall is a better hitter than this, and I fully expect him to perform close to projections than to this.

And even if Beane had seen it coming, he handled the situation perfectly (well, except for yanking Adam Melhuse's chain around)--he had the heir apparent, Kurt Suzuki, developed and ready to step in just as Kendall's contract expires. Suzuki just got called up to serve as Kendall's backup, conveniently right after the line had been crossed to avoid giving Suzuki Super-2 arbitration status.

2007-06-14 10:51:12
2.   Ryan Armbrust
Nice work, but I think you meant that Kendall had 14 home runs in 2000, not 23.

And as for how many of Beane's seven additional years will witness Kendall behind the plate? Zero. Kendall's contract is up after this season, and it's incredibly unlikely to be renewed unless Kendall agrees to retire and become the roving catching instructor for the A's farm system.

2007-06-14 11:29:11
3.   Ken Arneson
2 Well, I suppose there's a price for everything. I can envision a scenario where Kendall re-signs with Oakland: if the price is right, and if there's an understanding that Suzuki is the starter. It's going to be a crowded market for old catchers--Posada, Pudge, Lo Duca, and Barrett could all be out there, too.
2007-06-14 16:16:07
4.   Humma Kavula
Wes Helms now has as many homers as the Dodgers' regular 1-2-3 hitters (Furcal, Pierre, Garciaparra) combined.

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