Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
"Welcome to the Hall's of Relief", VI
The 1970s
History is hard to know, because of all the hired bullshit, but even without being sure of "history" it seems entirely reasonable to think that every now and then the energy of a whole generation comes to a head in a long fine flash, for reasons that nobody really understands at the time-and which never explain, in retrospect, what actually happened...We had the momentum; we were riding the crest of a high and beautiful wave.
So now, less than five years later, you can go up on a steep hill... and with the right kind of eyes you can almost see the high-water mark-that place where the wave finally broke and rolled back.
- Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas by Hunter S. Thompson
In the 1960s the baseball cognoscenti started to experiment more with relief pitching. After the 1950s finally established the bullpen as a key element on the pitching staff, they started to push the envelope. Barriers like 30 saves and 90 relief appearances in a year were crossed. Career relievers like Hoyt Wilhelm, Roy Face, and Lindy McDaniel relieved in more games than anyone who came before them.
The role of the reliever was still being defined, especially that of the closer. The closer came in when his team was ahead, behind, or tied. Since scoring was so low, games were close and relievers were used often. It was not unusual for the closer to make 60 appearances, pitch 120 innings, save 25 games, and win a dozen, numbers quite unlike those of today's closers.
The evolution started in the Fifties and hit a statistical apogee in the Seventies, and the trend started to roll back a bit (though not as dramatically as in the Thompson quote). The demands that managers were placing on the closer role became too arduous. The role started to be defined as the "stopper", the man who holds a lead, though this would take nearly a decade to become established.
The evolution of the "modern" relief pitcher was delayed by, of all things, the development of the five-man rotation in the early 1970s. According to Bill James, the 1972 Dodgers were one of the first teams to fully embrace the five-man rotation. Apparently, though the trend had been developing since the early Sixties.
If you look at complete game percentages over time, the number of complete games was failing, either slowly or rapidly, from the dawn of major-league baseball until the mid-'60s. Then suddenly in 1967 they started to go back up and remained about 5% higher than the 1966 percentage for about ten years. Meanwhile the 40-game starter, something that seemed a distant memory in 1960, enjoyed a comeback starting in 1962, with a high of 12 pitchers starting 40 games (and one 45) in 1973 (a note on the DH later). The 300- and 350-inning starting pitcher also returned in 1962 and would remain with us until 1980.
Also, if you look at the number of 20- and 25-game starters per team, starting in 1961-'62 there is an increase in their numbers that although it wavers on a yearly basis, continues until today. As a matter of fact, if you look at the number of starting pitchers, however you define that, per team in the mid-'60s and compare it with today, you would see very little change. See tables below (forgive me, I love tables):
Number of pitchers-in total and per team (PT)-who reached certain games started plateaus (1, 10, 15, etc.):
Year 1 PT 10 PT 15 PT 20 PT 25 PT 30 PT 35 PT 40 PT 45 PT 1871 14 1.56 9 1.00 9 1.00 8 0.89 7 0.78 3 0.33 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1872 22 2.00 10 0.91 7 0.64 6 0.55 5 0.45 5 0.45 5 0.45 4 0.36 4 0.36 1873 24 2.67 9 1.00 8 0.89 7 0.78 7 0.78 7 0.78 6 0.67 6 0.67 5 0.56 1874 14 1.75 10 1.25 10 1.25 9 1.13 8 1.00 7 0.88 7 0.88 6 0.75 6 0.75 1875 38 2.92 21 1.62 15 1.15 12 0.92 9 0.69 9 0.69 7 0.54 6 0.46 5 0.38 1876 23 2.88 13 1.63 13 1.63 13 1.63 8 1.00 7 0.88 5 0.63 5 0.63 5 0.63 1877 18 3.00 10 1.67 8 1.33 6 1.00 5 0.83 5 0.83 5 0.83 4 0.67 3 0.50 1878 19 3.17 10 1.67 7 1.17 6 1.00 6 1.00 6 1.00 6 1.00 4 0.67 3 0.50 1879 25 3.13 15 1.88 13 1.63 11 1.38 10 1.25 8 1.00 8 1.00 8 1.00 8 1.00 1880 26 3.25 15 1.88 13 1.63 12 1.50 9 1.13 8 1.00 8 1.00 8 1.00 8 1.00 1881 29 3.63 17 2.13 15 1.88 13 1.63 11 1.38 11 1.38 11 1.38 8 1.00 6 0.75 1882 64 4.57 33 2.36 24 1.71 23 1.64 21 1.50 19 1.36 16 1.14 12 0.86 10 0.71 1883 71 4.44 42 2.63 37 2.31 27 1.69 24 1.50 21 1.31 21 1.31 21 1.31 15 0.94 1884 205 6.21 87 2.64 69 2.09 58 1.76 45 1.36 41 1.24 35 1.06 28 0.85 21 0.64 1885 101 6.31 53 3.31 38 2.38 33 2.06 27 1.69 25 1.56 21 1.31 17 1.06 16 1.00 1886 112 7.00 52 3.25 45 2.81 40 2.50 34 2.13 31 1.94 29 1.81 28 1.75 17 1.06 1887 109 6.81 57 3.56 48 3.00 44 2.75 37 2.31 34 2.13 31 1.94 21 1.31 15 0.94 1888 106 6.63 64 4.00 53 3.31 48 3.00 37 2.31 33 2.06 29 1.81 22 1.38 15 0.94 1889 111 6.94 62 3.88 56 3.50 50 3.13 41 2.56 35 2.19 27 1.69 19 1.19 13 0.81 1890 186 7.44 109 4.36 79 3.16 67 2.68 56 2.24 46 1.84 35 1.40 26 1.04 17 0.68 1891 131 7.71 67 3.94 51 3.00 47 2.76 38 2.24 35 2.06 23 1.35 21 1.24 14 0.82 1892 100 8.33 56 4.67 46 3.83 39 3.25 31 2.58 26 2.17 23 1.92 19 1.58 14 1.17 1893 98 8.17 51 4.25 44 3.67 33 2.75 28 2.33 24 2.00 16 1.33 10 0.83 4 0.33 1894 108 9.00 52 4.33 39 3.25 35 2.92 28 2.33 23 1.92 13 1.08 9 0.75 5 0.42 1895 104 8.67 53 4.42 44 3.67 36 3.00 33 2.75 21 1.75 12 1.00 8 0.67 3 0.25 1896 98 8.17 54 4.50 44 3.67 37 3.08 27 2.25 22 1.83 17 1.42 11 0.92 3 0.25 1897 97 8.08 54 4.50 47 3.92 36 3.00 31 2.58 25 2.08 16 1.33 5 0.42 0 0.00 1898 111 9.25 56 4.67 49 4.08 46 3.83 40 3.33 31 2.58 21 1.75 8 0.67 1 0.08 1899 116 9.67 60 5.00 50 4.17 41 3.42 35 2.92 29 2.42 17 1.42 4 0.33 0 0.00 1900 61 7.63 39 4.88 33 4.13 32 4.00 26 3.25 15 1.88 10 1.25 1 0.13 0 0.00 1901 137 8.56 75 4.69 66 4.13 57 3.56 49 3.06 34 2.13 15 0.94 4 0.25 0 0.00 1902 165 10.31 81 5.06 67 4.19 52 3.25 42 2.63 30 1.88 9 0.56 4 0.25 1 0.06 1903 141 8.81 78 4.88 65 4.06 54 3.38 45 2.81 32 2.00 12 0.75 3 0.19 1 0.06 1904 129 8.06 86 5.38 75 4.69 61 3.81 45 2.81 40 2.50 24 1.50 10 0.63 4 0.25 1905 134 8.38 83 5.19 78 4.88 67 4.19 53 3.31 35 2.19 18 1.13 4 0.25 0 0.00 1906 156 9.75 87 5.44 77 4.81 64 4.00 52 3.25 35 2.19 16 1.00 3 0.19 0 0.00 1907 154 9.63 88 5.50 77 4.81 62 3.88 48 3.00 32 2.00 12 0.75 3 0.19 1 0.06 1908 158 9.88 92 5.75 79 4.94 60 3.75 46 2.88 31 1.94 14 0.88 3 0.19 1 0.06 1909 190 11.88 92 5.75 75 4.69 55 3.44 45 2.81 24 1.50 4 0.25 1 0.06 0 0.00 1910 176 11.00 92 5.75 78 4.88 59 3.69 46 2.88 27 1.69 9 0.56 1 0.06 0 0.00 1911 196 12.25 91 5.69 76 4.75 58 3.63 42 2.63 21 1.31 9 0.56 2 0.13 0 0.00 1912 193 12.06 87 5.44 76 4.75 56 3.50 43 2.69 29 1.81 11 0.69 2 0.13 0 0.00 1913 185 11.56 89 5.56 78 4.88 62 3.88 41 2.56 27 1.69 12 0.75 0 0.00 0 0.00 1914 238 9.92 138 5.75 115 4.79 91 3.79 68 2.83 48 2.00 24 1.00 5 0.21 0 0.00 1915 265 11.04 135 5.63 112 4.67 94 3.92 65 2.71 45 1.88 16 0.67 3 0.13 1 0.04 1916 159 9.94 98 6.13 78 4.88 59 3.69 39 2.44 24 1.50 12 0.75 2 0.13 1 0.06 1917 150 9.38 96 6.00 77 4.81 62 3.88 45 2.81 28 1.75 14 0.88 3 0.19 0 0.00 1918 169 10.56 81 5.06 62 3.88 43 2.69 27 1.69 15 0.94 1 0.06 0 0.00 0 0.00 1919 188 11.75 89 5.56 69 4.31 46 2.88 35 2.19 18 1.13 4 0.25 1 0.06 0 0.00 1920 164 10.25 87 5.44 71 4.44 65 4.06 52 3.25 39 2.44 15 0.94 1 0.06 0 0.00 1921 169 10.56 87 5.44 69 4.31 60 3.75 48 3.00 32 2.00 14 0.88 1 0.06 0 0.00 1922 164 10.25 93 5.81 72 4.50 61 3.81 50 3.13 33 2.06 8 0.50 1 0.06 0 0.00 1923 162 10.13 87 5.44 78 4.88 61 3.81 47 2.94 28 1.75 17 1.06 1 0.06 0 0.00 1924 180 11.25 99 6.19 76 4.75 61 3.81 43 2.69 24 1.50 5 0.31 0 0.00 0 0.00 1925 169 10.56 94 5.88 81 5.06 68 4.25 44 2.75 24 1.50 4 0.25 0 0.00 0 0.00 1926 164 10.25 101 6.31 80 5.00 63 3.94 40 2.50 19 1.19 2 0.13 0 0.00 0 0.00 1927 178 11.13 96 6.00 78 4.88 62 3.88 47 2.94 21 1.31 4 0.25 0 0.00 0 0.00 1928 174 10.88 95 5.94 75 4.69 60 3.75 44 2.75 24 1.50 4 0.25 0 0.00 0 0.00 1929 170 10.63 97 6.06 76 4.75 65 4.06 44 2.75 23 1.44 4 0.25 0 0.00 0 0.00 1930 175 10.94 91 5.69 78 4.88 62 3.88 40 2.50 26 1.63 6 0.38 0 0.00 0 0.00 1931 163 10.19 100 6.25 78 4.88 58 3.63 46 2.88 28 1.75 5 0.31 0 0.00 0 0.00 1932 163 10.19 95 5.94 80 5.00 63 3.94 41 2.56 27 1.69 3 0.19 0 0.00 0 0.00 1933 168 10.50 86 5.38 75 4.69 63 3.94 46 2.88 27 1.69 7 0.44 0 0.00 0 0.00 1934 182 11.38 91 5.69 76 4.75 60 3.75 40 2.50 29 1.81 6 0.38 0 0.00 0 0.00 1935 182 11.38 97 6.06 84 5.25 60 3.75 34 2.13 19 1.19 4 0.25 0 0.00 0 0.00 1936 181 11.31 88 5.50 71 4.44 59 3.69 44 2.75 28 1.75 6 0.38 0 0.00 0 0.00 1937 179 11.19 95 5.94 81 5.06 65 4.06 42 2.63 21 1.31 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1938 176 11.00 100 6.25 72 4.50 56 3.50 37 2.31 19 1.19 5 0.31 2 0.13 0 0.00 1939 193 12.06 106 6.63 80 5.00 58 3.63 35 2.19 13 0.81 5 0.31 0 0.00 0 0.00 1940 181 11.31 96 6.00 78 4.88 60 3.75 36 2.25 25 1.56 7 0.44 0 0.00 0 0.00 1941 195 12.19 94 5.88 78 4.88 62 3.88 34 2.13 17 1.06 5 0.31 1 0.06 0 0.00 1942 173 10.81 103 6.44 78 4.88 55 3.44 36 2.25 18 1.13 3 0.19 0 0.00 0 0.00 1943 185 11.56 101 6.31 76 4.75 62 3.88 43 2.69 19 1.19 2 0.13 0 0.00 0 0.00 1944 171 10.69 94 5.88 77 4.81 65 4.06 42 2.63 22 1.38 4 0.25 2 0.13 0 0.00 1945 194 12.13 102 6.38 74 4.63 53 3.31 32 2.00 16 1.00 2 0.13 0 0.00 0 0.00 1946 219 13.69 99 6.19 71 4.44 55 3.44 34 2.13 14 0.88 4 0.25 1 0.06 0 0.00 1947 188 11.75 97 6.06 82 5.13 58 3.63 37 2.31 19 1.19 6 0.38 0 0.00 0 0.00 1948 175 10.94 96 6.00 81 5.06 64 4.00 39 2.44 21 1.31 6 0.38 0 0.00 0 0.00 1949 164 10.25 96 6.00 74 4.63 64 4.00 51 3.19 25 1.56 7 0.44 0 0.00 0 0.00 1950 182 11.38 94 5.88 79 4.94 60 3.75 38 2.38 24 1.50 8 0.50 0 0.00 0 0.00 1951 192 12.00 97 6.06 77 4.81 54 3.38 34 2.13 22 1.38 5 0.31 0 0.00 0 0.00 1952 203 12.69 95 5.94 72 4.50 55 3.44 40 2.50 24 1.50 4 0.25 0 0.00 0 0.00 1953 187 11.69 104 6.50 79 4.94 56 3.50 38 2.38 19 1.19 4 0.25 1 0.06 0 0.00 1954 181 11.31 97 6.06 81 5.06 61 3.81 41 2.56 22 1.38 6 0.38 0 0.00 0 0.00 1955 194 12.13 102 6.38 73 4.56 56 3.50 36 2.25 23 1.44 2 0.13 0 0.00 0 0.00 1956 196 12.25 86 5.38 70 4.38 57 3.56 43 2.69 31 1.94 10 0.63 1 0.06 0 0.00 1957 183 11.44 96 6.00 77 4.81 57 3.56 45 2.81 23 1.44 5 0.31 0 0.00 0 0.00 1958 192 12.00 94 5.88 72 4.50 58 3.63 43 2.69 24 1.50 5 0.31 0 0.00 0 0.00 1959 177 11.06 90 5.63 74 4.63 61 3.81 47 2.94 27 1.69 13 0.81 0 0.00 0 0.00 1960 162 10.13 93 5.81 76 4.75 61 3.81 42 2.63 28 1.75 11 0.69 0 0.00 0 0.00 1961 191 10.61 112 6.22 84 4.67 69 3.83 54 3.00 31 1.72 14 0.78 0 0.00 0 0.00 1962 220 11.00 117 5.85 97 4.85 84 4.20 61 3.05 38 1.90 18 0.90 2 0.10 0 0.00 1963 216 10.80 119 5.95 97 4.85 84 4.20 59 2.95 43 2.15 16 0.80 4 0.20 0 0.00 1964 220 11.00 115 5.75 92 4.60 79 3.95 61 3.05 41 2.05 21 1.05 1 0.05 0 0.00 1965 205 10.25 113 5.65 99 4.95 79 3.95 68 3.40 46 2.30 22 1.10 5 0.25 0 0.00 1966 218 10.90 124 6.20 88 4.40 70 3.50 56 2.80 40 2.00 19 0.95 4 0.20 0 0.00 1967 233 11.65 118 5.90 91 4.55 74 3.70 59 2.95 38 1.90 19 0.95 1 0.05 0 0.00 1968 187 9.35 118 5.90 99 4.95 83 4.15 71 3.55 54 2.70 18 0.90 2 0.10 0 0.00 1969 244 10.17 142 5.92 116 4.83 92 3.83 75 3.13 59 2.46 36 1.50 7 0.29 0 0.00 1970 233 9.71 138 5.75 122 5.08 91 3.79 76 3.17 55 2.29 27 1.13 6 0.25 0 0.00 1971 223 9.29 135 5.63 112 4.67 98 4.08 79 3.29 65 2.71 40 1.67 2 0.08 1 0.04 1972 224 9.33 131 5.46 114 4.75 92 3.83 74 3.08 52 2.17 27 1.13 6 0.25 1 0.04 1973 236 9.83 134 5.58 112 4.67 90 3.75 76 3.17 61 2.54 33 1.38 12 0.50 1 0.04 1974 233 9.71 132 5.50 113 4.71 97 4.04 78 3.25 59 2.46 45 1.88 9 0.38 0 0.00 1975 245 10.21 139 5.79 114 4.75 94 3.92 75 3.13 57 2.38 28 1.17 3 0.13 0 0.00 1976 232 9.67 146 6.08 116 4.83 95 3.96 80 3.33 55 2.29 21 0.88 2 0.08 0 0.00 1977 274 10.54 150 5.77 121 4.65 102 3.92 80 3.08 58 2.23 20 0.77 2 0.08 0 0.00 1978 255 9.81 153 5.88 127 4.88 112 4.31 86 3.31 60 2.31 23 0.88 3 0.12 0 0.00 1979 266 10.23 159 6.12 128 4.92 97 3.73 80 3.08 57 2.19 20 0.77 1 0.04 0 0.00 1980 256 9.85 155 5.96 123 4.73 104 4.00 86 3.31 60 2.31 17 0.65 0 0.00 0 0.00 1981 227 8.73 128 4.92 93 3.58 71 2.73 7 0.27 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1982 264 10.15 151 5.81 125 4.81 110 4.23 84 3.23 58 2.23 21 0.81 1 0.04 0 0.00 1983 261 10.04 153 5.88 134 5.15 103 3.96 84 3.23 55 2.12 16 0.62 0 0.00 0 0.00 1984 261 10.04 155 5.96 129 4.96 108 4.15 86 3.31 64 2.46 13 0.50 0 0.00 0 0.00 1985 266 10.23 145 5.58 125 4.81 103 3.96 84 3.23 60 2.31 24 0.92 0 0.00 0 0.00 1986 268 10.31 158 6.08 128 4.92 100 3.85 86 3.31 63 2.42 15 0.58 0 0.00 0 0.00 1987 276 10.62 154 5.92 123 4.73 100 3.85 80 3.08 56 2.15 20 0.77 1 0.04 0 0.00 1988 259 9.96 162 6.23 128 4.92 109 4.19 81 3.12 63 2.42 11 0.42 0 0.00 0 0.00 1989 283 10.88 160 6.15 133 5.12 95 3.65 77 2.96 59 2.27 10 0.38 0 0.00 0 0.00 1990 286 11.00 154 5.92 125 4.81 107 4.12 84 3.23 54 2.08 7 0.27 0 0.00 0 0.00 1991 271 10.42 158 6.08 122 4.69 99 3.81 77 2.96 54 2.08 14 0.54 0 0.00 0 0.00 1992 281 10.81 152 5.85 119 4.58 98 3.77 85 3.27 60 2.31 9 0.35 0 0.00 0 0.00 1993 281 10.04 161 5.75 134 4.79 105 3.75 91 3.25 60 2.14 10 0.36 0 0.00 0 0.00 1994 249 8.89 142 5.07 106 3.79 81 2.89 16 0.57 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1995 294 10.50 169 6.04 122 4.36 83 2.96 65 2.32 28 1.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1996 298 10.64 170 6.07 132 4.71 105 3.75 86 3.07 63 2.25 18 0.64 0 0.00 0 0.00 1997 302 10.79 163 5.82 133 4.75 108 3.86 86 3.07 60 2.14 6 0.21 0 0.00 0 0.00 1998 304 10.13 185 6.17 147 4.90 123 4.10 95 3.17 66 2.20 5 0.17 0 0.00 0 0.00 1999 299 9.97 182 6.07 155 5.17 124 4.13 96 3.20 65 2.17 6 0.20 0 0.00 0 0.00 2000 322 10.73 196 6.53 153 5.10 113 3.77 82 2.73 60 2.00 7 0.23 0 0.00 0 0.00 2001 316 10.53 191 6.37 150 5.00 110 3.67 86 2.87 60 2.00 5 0.17 0 0.00 0 0.00 2002 323 10.77 185 6.17 146 4.87 115 3.83 87 2.90 62 2.07 4 0.13 0 0.00 0 0.00 Avg 9.51 5.21 4.24 3.41 2.56 1.73 0.71 0.25 0.14
Number of pitchers-in total and per team (PT)-who reached certain innings pitched plateaus (100, 150, etc.):
Year 100 PT 150 PT 200 PT 250 PT 300 PT 350 PT 1871 9 1.00 9 1.00 8 0.89 3 0.33 0 0.00 0 0.00 1872 9 0.82 7 0.64 5 0.45 5 0.45 5 0.45 4 0.36 1873 9 1.00 8 0.89 7 0.78 7 0.78 6 0.67 6 0.67 1874 10 1.25 10 1.25 8 1.00 7 0.88 7 0.88 6 0.75 1875 21 1.62 12 0.92 11 0.85 9 0.69 7 0.54 7 0.54 1876 13 1.63 13 1.63 11 1.38 7 0.88 5 0.63 5 0.63 1877 9 1.50 7 1.17 5 0.83 5 0.83 5 0.83 5 0.83 1878 8 1.33 7 1.17 6 1.00 6 1.00 6 1.00 4 0.67 1879 14 1.75 13 1.63 9 1.13 8 1.00 8 1.00 8 1.00 1880 15 1.88 12 1.50 10 1.25 8 1.00 8 1.00 8 1.00 1881 17 2.13 14 1.75 11 1.38 11 1.38 11 1.38 8 1.00 1882 31 2.21 23 1.64 22 1.57 20 1.43 16 1.14 14 1.00 1883 41 2.56 29 1.81 27 1.69 23 1.44 21 1.31 18 1.13 1884 82 2.48 61 1.85 47 1.42 42 1.27 35 1.06 26 0.79 1885 46 2.88 36 2.25 30 1.88 25 1.56 20 1.25 18 1.13 1886 49 3.06 45 2.81 36 2.25 32 2.00 29 1.81 24 1.50 1887 55 3.44 45 2.81 38 2.38 34 2.13 31 1.94 17 1.06 1888 59 3.69 52 3.25 42 2.63 35 2.19 28 1.75 19 1.19 1889 59 3.69 53 3.31 46 2.88 35 2.19 28 1.75 17 1.06 1890 94 3.76 73 2.92 59 2.36 46 1.84 34 1.36 25 1.00 1891 60 3.53 49 2.88 43 2.53 33 1.94 22 1.29 19 1.12 1892 50 4.17 42 3.50 33 2.75 28 2.33 22 1.83 19 1.58 1893 47 3.92 40 3.33 29 2.42 23 1.92 17 1.42 7 0.58 1894 49 4.08 36 3.00 31 2.58 22 1.83 14 1.17 8 0.67 1895 50 4.17 38 3.17 33 2.75 22 1.83 12 1.00 7 0.58 1896 48 4.00 41 3.42 29 2.42 22 1.83 17 1.42 8 0.67 1897 49 4.08 40 3.33 32 2.67 24 2.00 16 1.33 1 0.08 1898 57 4.75 46 3.83 42 3.50 32 2.67 21 1.75 7 0.58 1899 52 4.33 45 3.75 36 3.00 30 2.50 16 1.33 6 0.50 1900 39 4.88 32 4.00 30 3.75 14 1.75 7 0.88 0 0.00 1901 69 4.31 63 3.94 49 3.06 40 2.50 19 1.19 5 0.31 1902 76 4.75 60 3.75 46 2.88 32 2.00 11 0.69 4 0.25 1903 77 4.81 57 3.56 47 2.94 33 2.06 15 0.94 3 0.19 1904 84 5.25 67 4.19 57 3.56 39 2.44 23 1.44 12 0.75 1905 82 5.13 72 4.50 60 3.75 41 2.56 21 1.31 1 0.06 1906 84 5.25 71 4.44 61 3.81 36 2.25 12 0.75 1 0.06 1907 84 5.25 67 4.19 54 3.38 35 2.19 13 0.81 3 0.19 1908 89 5.56 69 4.31 51 3.19 33 2.06 13 0.81 3 0.19 1909 87 5.44 64 4.00 48 3.00 26 1.63 5 0.31 1 0.06 1910 91 5.69 68 4.25 49 3.06 27 1.69 7 0.44 3 0.19 1911 86 5.38 68 4.25 45 2.81 22 1.38 9 0.56 2 0.13 1912 82 5.13 72 4.50 41 2.56 30 1.88 9 0.56 2 0.13 1913 88 5.50 69 4.31 47 2.94 24 1.50 8 0.50 0 0.00 1914 138 5.75 104 4.33 70 2.92 49 2.04 19 0.79 4 0.17 1915 133 5.54 102 4.25 74 3.08 42 1.75 12 0.50 2 0.08 1916 98 6.13 75 4.69 43 2.69 25 1.56 9 0.56 2 0.13 1917 96 6.00 74 4.63 54 3.38 25 1.56 7 0.44 1 0.06 1918 78 4.88 54 3.38 32 2.00 13 0.81 3 0.19 0 0.00 1919 84 5.25 58 3.63 37 2.31 16 1.00 3 0.19 0 0.00 1920 85 5.31 69 4.31 54 3.38 35 2.19 10 0.63 1 0.06 1921 89 5.56 67 4.19 46 2.88 24 1.50 9 0.56 0 0.00 1922 90 5.63 70 4.38 44 2.75 25 1.56 3 0.19 1 0.06 1923 90 5.63 72 4.50 45 2.81 22 1.38 9 0.56 1 0.06 1924 96 6.00 70 4.38 41 2.56 12 0.75 3 0.19 0 0.00 1925 94 5.88 73 4.56 45 2.81 12 0.75 1 0.06 0 0.00 1926 101 6.31 73 4.56 36 2.25 13 0.81 1 0.06 0 0.00 1927 88 5.50 75 4.69 42 2.63 15 0.94 4 0.25 0 0.00 1928 93 5.81 68 4.25 45 2.81 14 0.88 3 0.19 0 0.00 1929 96 6.00 71 4.44 42 2.63 15 0.94 1 0.06 0 0.00 1930 97 6.06 72 4.50 36 2.25 13 0.81 0 0.00 0 0.00 1931 95 5.94 66 4.13 45 2.81 16 1.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1932 95 5.94 69 4.31 44 2.75 17 1.06 1 0.06 0 0.00 1933 94 5.88 65 4.06 45 2.81 17 1.06 2 0.13 0 0.00 1934 93 5.81 68 4.25 42 2.63 18 1.13 3 0.19 0 0.00 1935 98 6.13 68 4.25 35 2.19 14 0.88 3 0.19 0 0.00 1936 92 5.75 62 3.88 40 2.50 15 0.94 4 0.25 0 0.00 1937 96 6.00 68 4.25 38 2.38 11 0.69 0 0.00 0 0.00 1938 95 5.94 66 4.13 30 1.88 8 0.50 2 0.13 0 0.00 1939 105 6.56 68 4.25 25 1.56 6 0.38 2 0.13 0 0.00 1940 98 6.13 63 3.94 31 1.94 12 0.75 2 0.13 0 0.00 1941 98 6.13 66 4.13 29 1.81 8 0.50 3 0.19 0 0.00 1942 100 6.25 66 4.13 33 2.06 9 0.56 0 0.00 0 0.00 1943 97 6.06 66 4.13 33 2.06 13 0.81 1 0.06 0 0.00 1944 96 6.00 72 4.50 39 2.44 14 0.88 3 0.19 1 0.06 1945 97 6.06 57 3.56 26 1.63 8 0.50 1 0.06 0 0.00 1946 92 5.75 56 3.50 26 1.63 9 0.56 1 0.06 1 0.06 1947 96 6.00 57 3.56 25 1.56 9 0.56 0.00 0 0.00 1948 95 5.94 58 3.63 31 1.94 7 0.44 1 0.06 0 0.00 1949 90 5.63 64 4.00 41 2.56 10 0.63 1 0.06 0 0.00 1950 95 5.94 65 4.06 38 2.38 13 0.81 2 0.13 0 0.00 1951 98 6.13 52 3.25 29 1.81 11 0.69 2 0.13 0 0.00 1952 88 5.50 60 3.75 32 2.00 9 0.56 2 0.13 0 0.00 1953 103 6.44 63 3.94 22 1.38 8 0.50 1 0.06 0 0.00 1954 95 5.94 60 3.75 29 1.81 11 0.69 1 0.06 0 0.00 1955 89 5.56 53 3.31 29 1.81 4 0.25 1 0.06 0 0.00 1956 91 5.69 57 3.56 30 1.88 13 0.81 1 0.06 0 0.00 1957 99 6.19 56 3.50 34 2.13 7 0.44 0 0.00 0 0.00 1958 88 5.50 53 3.31 31 1.94 8 0.50 0 0.00 0 0.00 1959 89 5.56 62 3.88 37 2.31 9 0.56 0 0.00 0 0.00 1960 98 6.13 60 3.75 31 1.94 14 0.88 0 0.00 0 0.00 1961 106 5.89 69 3.83 36 2.00 11 0.61 0 0.00 0 0.00 1962 119 5.95 76 3.80 40 2.00 18 0.90 1 0.05 0 0.00 1963 118 5.90 78 3.90 46 2.30 17 0.85 3 0.15 0 0.00 1964 118 5.90 80 4.00 43 2.15 14 0.70 1 0.05 0 0.00 1965 117 5.85 76 3.80 41 2.05 18 0.90 2 0.10 0 0.00 1966 116 5.80 70 3.50 41 2.05 15 0.75 4 0.20 0 0.00 1967 107 5.35 72 3.60 44 2.20 17 0.85 1 0.05 0 0.00 1968 111 5.55 80 4.00 56 2.80 21 1.05 4 0.20 0 0.00 1969 139 5.79 83 3.46 58 2.42 24 1.00 9 0.38 0 0.00 1970 135 5.63 84 3.50 56 2.33 27 1.13 4 0.17 0 0.00 1971 130 5.42 89 3.71 64 2.67 33 1.38 4 0.17 1 0.04 1972 133 5.54 89 3.71 51 2.13 27 1.13 4 0.17 1 0.04 1973 129 5.38 93 3.88 61 2.54 32 1.33 7 0.29 1 0.04 1974 141 5.88 90 3.75 64 2.67 34 1.42 8 0.33 0 0.00 1975 137 5.71 87 3.63 55 2.29 25 1.04 4 0.17 0 0.00 1976 141 5.88 90 3.75 57 2.38 23 0.96 2 0.08 0 0.00 1977 163 6.27 88 3.38 57 2.19 14 0.54 4 0.15 0 0.00 1978 152 5.85 95 3.65 57 2.19 22 0.85 1 0.04 0 0.00 1979 148 5.69 96 3.69 54 2.08 14 0.54 1 0.04 0 0.00 1980 158 6.08 101 3.88 55 2.12 17 0.65 1 0.04 0 0.00 1981 97 3.73 29 1.12 1 0.04 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1982 166 6.38 96 3.69 48 1.85 13 0.50 0 0.00 0 0.00 1983 152 5.85 95 3.65 49 1.88 12 0.46 0 0.00 0 0.00 1984 153 5.88 97 3.73 50 1.92 9 0.35 0 0.00 0 0.00 1985 137 5.27 87 3.35 56 2.15 16 0.62 0 0.00 0 0.00 1986 143 5.50 87 3.35 51 1.96 11 0.42 0 0.00 0 0.00 1987 144 5.54 87 3.35 44 1.69 13 0.50 0 0.00 0 0.00 1988 141 5.42 93 3.58 52 2.00 10 0.38 0 0.00 0 0.00 1989 141 5.42 80 3.08 48 1.85 5 0.19 0 0.00 0 0.00 1990 137 5.27 85 3.27 40 1.54 1 0.04 0 0.00 0 0.00 1991 133 5.12 85 3.27 48 1.85 3 0.12 0 0.00 0 0.00 1992 131 5.04 85 3.27 52 2.00 6 0.23 0 0.00 0 0.00 1993 141 5.04 94 3.36 49 1.75 8 0.29 0 0.00 0 0.00 1994 106 3.79 43 1.54 1 0.04 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1995 117 4.18 63 2.25 18 0.64 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1996 128 4.57 88 3.14 45 1.61 4 0.14 0 0.00 0 0.00 1997 131 4.68 86 3.07 40 1.43 5 0.18 0 0.00 0 0.00 1998 145 4.83 97 3.23 52 1.73 4 0.13 0 0.00 0 0.00 1999 148 4.93 90 3.00 41 1.37 2 0.07 0 0.00 0 0.00 2000 142 4.73 88 2.93 34 1.13 1 0.03 0 0.00 0 0.00 2001 145 4.83 86 2.87 42 1.40 1 0.03 0 0.00 0 0.00 2002 141 4.70 87 2.90 40 1.33 2 0.07 0 0.00 0 0.00 Avg 4.96 3.46 2.17 1.04 0.43 0.20
One thing you would notice are the heavy-start pitchers in the Sixties and Seventies. Apparently, when the idea of a five-man rotation was developing, the idea was to give the pitcher an extra day's rest but also to add to his burden on the day he was pitching. A higher percentage of complete games was expected. The number-one pitcher assumed more of the burden never missing a start every fifth day, which translated into 40-start years. This would fade in the 1980s, but this development affected the relief pitcher's role immensely.
Just a passing comment or two on rotations over history from the data above: Staffs went from basically one man possibly without a backup to 5-man rotations very slowly even though the move to four-man rotations was rather quick. By the early 1880s most teams employed two pitchers regularly. By the mid-1880s three-man "rotations" were employed-I'm not sure if the term "rotation" fits exactly, but three men were employed regularly. Somewhere in the 1890s, 4-man rotations became the norm. Staffs grew very quickly and by 1902, using 10 different starters per team (5 of which started at least 10 games) was the norm.
As staffs grew, the bulk of the work was transferred from the one main pitcher to the staff, but that had fits and starts as well. By the mid-1890s, 45-game starters were rare. By World War I, 40-game starters had almost disappeared (both were resurrected in the 1960s, however). Also, note that high innings pitchers still remained as the number-one starter pulled double duty as the number one reliever. They had almost died out by the turn of the Twentieth Century, until John McGrw latched onto the idea of using them in the swingman role. However, by World War I the 350-inning pitcher was just about dead and the 300-inning pitcher was becoming rare (again until the Sixties).
Five-man rotations were extremely long in coming. From the data above, it's difficult to determine when the change occurred. As I mentioned the data from the Sixties onward (ignoring the 40-game started revival from 1964-'78) do not waver. The average team employs 10 starting pitchers over the year. About 6 pitchers per staff start 10 or more games. About five start 15 games. About four start 20; about 3 start 25, and about 2 start 30. Actually aside from the 30-game starters, these numbers have held pretty steady since around 1905 (30-game starters were rarer in the Forties and Fifties as swingmen prevailed). From this data, it is even difficult to say that 5-man rotations are in actuality employed today, or at least that the workload of the average starting pitcher has changed tremendously in the past 100 years. Of course, there have been changes, like having an extra day of rest, that have made an impact, but they have had more to do with how the starting pitcher's work is allotted than the amount of workload (i.e., starts not innings) each pitcher has.
Lastly, the resurgence of the high-start, high-innings pitcher in the Sixties helps explain why there is a gap in the Forties and Fifties in 300- and 250-game winners. This is something that I noted about six months ago, and a fellow blogger posted a response opining that it was just an aberration. Clearly, it was not.
One final note on the DH as promised: Some of you may be skeptical of any numbers related to the mid-'70s because the DH changed everything in the AL starting in 1973. Well, since I love tables, here's one that shows that the DH may have prolonged the comeback of the complete game (and buoyed AL CG totals for about 15 years), but it certainly didn't start it:
Year AL CG% NL CG% Overall AL-NL 1960 25.28% 28.59% 26.94% -3.31% 1961 25.71% 26.49% 26.05% -0.79% 1962 23.86% 28.20% 26.03% -4.35% 1963 25.12% 28.30% 26.71% -3.17% 1964 21.44% 27.59% 24.51% -6.15% 1965 19.94% 25.58% 22.77% -5.65% 1966 20.72% 24.85% 22.79% -4.13% 1967 22.53% 25.74% 24.14% -3.21% 1968 26.23% 28.97% 27.60% -2.74% 1969 23.18% 27.29% 25.23% -4.11% 1970 19.63% 24.20% 21.91% -4.57% 1971 27.80% 28.09% 27.94% -0.29% 1972 27.02% 27.26% 27.14% -0.24% 1973 31.58% 23.02% 27.30% 8.57% 1974 33.40% 22.58% 27.99% 10.82% 1975 32.45% 21.99% 27.20% 10.46% 1976 30.51% 23.10% 26.79% 7.41% 1977 25.91% 16.51% 21.56% 9.39% 1978 28.51% 20.03% 24.60% 8.48% 1979 24.45% 18.64% 21.76% 5.80% 1980 24.25% 15.78% 20.33% 8.47% 1981 22.27% 13.66% 18.29% 8.60% 1982 19.60% 14.87% 17.42% 4.74% 1983 20.66% 14.17% 17.66% 6.49% 1984 17.55% 12.05% 15.01% 5.50% 1985 15.90% 13.75% 14.91% 2.15% 1986 15.65% 11.56% 13.77% 4.09% 1987 16.40% 9.73% 13.33% 6.67% 1988 15.56% 13.93% 14.81% 1.63% 1989 11.69% 11.20% 11.47% 0.49% 1990 10.11% 10.29% 10.19% -0.18% 1991 9.52% 7.73% 8.70% 1.79% 1992 10.67% 9.10% 9.95% 1.57% 1993 9.22% 7.14% 8.18% 2.08% 1994 9.60% 6.35% 7.97% 3.25% 1995 7.48% 6.16% 6.82% 1.32% 1996 7.19% 5.60% 6.40% 1.59% 1997 5.43% 6.31% 5.87% -0.87% 1998 6.22% 6.20% 6.21% 0.02% 1999 4.77% 4.94% 4.86% -0.17% 2000 4.72% 4.90% 4.82% -0.17% 2001 4.55% 3.70% 4.10% 0.84% 2002 5.08% 3.83% 4.41% 1.25%
Now, back to our story. When we had last left our hero, the relief pitcher, he had just survived the experimentation of the Sixties and entered an era of reflection and retrenchment in the Seventies. Now, tell me that life does not reflect baseball.
Although the Seventies were the decade in which most of our relief pitching archetypes were established (Fingers, Gossage, Sutter, Lyle, etc.), it was not necessarily the greatest decade for relievers. First, the DH and five-man rotation put the experimentation in the bullpen on the back burner. Then, realizations were made regarding relief pitching, were forgotten for a few years, and then re-discovered. There was change even though in the end the statistics for relievers looked very similar to those at the end of the Sixties since it was anything but a linear progression.
So what happened in the Seventies anyway? Well, the 100-appearance reliever (Mike Marshall) was born. The saves record changed hands three times by 1973, but remained unchanged at 38 for the rest of the decade. A number of the old career relievers retired (Hoyt Wilhelm, Ron Perranoski, and Lindy McDaniel) to be replaced by a new group of career relievers.
One of the revelations that was discovered, lost, and re-discovered was that a career reliever was now the way to go. Swingmen fell to 51% of all pitchers in 1970, but their number fluctuated throughout the decade. By 1979, however, the swingmen comprised fewer than 50% of all pitchers (for the first time since 1888). Their numbers have been dwindling since.
The pure relief pitcher swelled to 38% of all pitchers to start the decade (the highest percentage up until that point), but their numbers fell for the rest of the decade. They rose back to 34% by 1979, but wouldn't top their 1970 numbers in a full season until 1986. They have been steadily climbing since the Seventies.
Starting pitchers were the winners of the mid-'70s as 5-man rotations opened up more jobs. Their numbers grew by about 80% between 1970 and 1977, and then fell off a bit. They too have been climbing steadily as swingmen are cannibalized into pure starters.
Relievers became better quality pitchers. Teams learned from the career relievers in the Sixties. They developed relievers from a higher quality of pitcher than in the past and that resulted in better performance on the field. It's a simple concept but it took them decades to learn it or it took them decades to unlearn the idea of getting by on the cheap in the bullpen.
For the first time, relievers eclipsed 600 appearances in a decade (by Mike Marshall, Rollie Fingers, and Sparky Lyle). The number of 500-appearance relievers increased from 5 in the Sixties to 7 in the Seventies, 400-appearance relievers from 11 to 17, 300-appearances relievers from 28 to 31, and 200-appearance relievers from 60 to 72. It's a subtle change but an important one.
By the end of the decade, relief pitchers had better ERAs than starters for the first time. They also struck out more men per nine innings and gave up fewer home runs. They did tend to be a little wilder though, with a higher WHIP and a lower strikeouts-to-walk ratio. By the end if the decade, swingmen had the worst numbers of three and they have been getting progressively worse ever since, as the specialists ruled the day.
As far as the development of the reliever, the decade could be seen to have three distinct periods (1970-72, 1973-76, and 1977-79). The first was from 1970 to '72. Relief pitchers were starting to evolve into today's paradigm: fewer appearances, fewer innings, and more saves. The closer was being used to hold leads. The maximum number of appearances fell from 90 in 1969 to in the 80s 1970-71 to 66 in 1972. The maximum number of innings pitched fell as well from 140s at the end of the Sixties to 116 by 1972.
John Hiller sets the save record in 1973 with 38 in 65 relief appearances (and 125.1 innings), as the culmination of this first wave of relief pitching evolution. But it proved to be short-lived.
By the way here is a table of the maximum relief appearances and maximum relief innings pitched (by a pure reliever) for the Sixties and Seventies:
Year Max IP Max RA 1960 127.0 70 1961 122.0 65 1962 124.7 70 1963 132.3 71 1964 157.0 81 1965 165.3 84 1966 126.0 71 1967 124.7 77 1968 134.7 86 1969 144.7 90 1970 135.3 80 1971 136.3 83 1972 116.0 66 1973 179.0 92 1974 208.3 106 1975 141.7 75 1976 167.7 81 1977 146.7 78 1978 135.0 91 1979 143.0 94
Then the DH arrives and throws a spanner in the works. In 1973, the Montreal Expos who had been using closer Mike Marshall in 60-odd games a year to pitch 110-120 innings for a couple of years, decide that they want to use him basically everyday. In 1973 Marshall throws 179 innings in 92 games. In 1974, now as a Los Angeles Dodger, he throws over 208 innings in 106 appearances. He is 15-12 with 21 saves that year.
The idea of using a closer to save games seemingly evaporates as Terry Forster leads the majors in saves with 24, the lowest major-league leader total since 1959. There are only two other pitchers over 20 that year (Hiller and Tom Murphy). Here are the leaders in relief appearances for the year. Note the low number of saves among the group and these include almost all of the closers of the day. Also note that almost all of these men are relievers 100% of the time:
Pitcher RA Saves GP Mike Marshall 106 21 106 Rollie Fingers 76 18 76 Larry Hardy 75 2 76 Pedro Borbon 73 14 73 Ken Forsch 70 10 70 Tom Murphy 70 20 70 Steve Foucault 69 12 69 Elias Sosa 68 6 68 Sparky Lyle 66 15 66 Al Hrabosky 65 9 65 Mike Garman 64 6 64 Bill Campbell 63 19 63 Dave Giusti 62 12 64 Chuck Taylor 61 11 61 Randy Moffitt 60 15 61 John Hiller 59 13 59 Mac Scarce 58 5 58 Ramon Hernandez 58 2 58 Terry Forster 58 24 59 Bob Miller 58 2 58 Diego Segui 58 10 58 Tom House 56 11 56 Oscar Zamora 56 10 56 Rich Folkers 55 2 55 Tom Buskey 55 18 55 Clay Carroll 54 6 57 Doug Bird 54 10 55 Bob Reynolds 54 7 54 Fred Scherman 53 4 53 Vicente Romo 53 9 54 Gene Garber 51 5 51 Tom Burgmeier 50 4 50
Over the next few years, closers started to re-assumed their "modern" role. They were used in fewer games and they recorded more saves.
Rollie Fingers re-crossed the Rubicon of 30 saves in a season with 35 in 1977. Since then no major-league leader has recorded less than 30 in a full season. Also in 1977, closers were being surpassed by setup men as far as the leaders in relief appearances, though Fingers did lead the majors.
Then Kent Tekulve and Mike Marshall arrived in 1979 and everything seemed to go caflooey again. Most teams continued to limit their closers and use their setup men more. But as the decade closed here were the league leaders in relief appearances:
Pitcher RA Saves GP Kent Tekulve 94 31 94 Mike Marshall 89 32 90 Enrique Romo 84 5 84 Dick Tidrow 77 6 77 Sid Monge 76 19 76 Grant Jackson 72 14 72 Jim Kern 71 29 71 Gary Lavelle 70 20 70 Gene Garber 68 25 68 Dale Murray 67 5 67 Sparky Lyle 67 13 67 Doug Bair 65 16 65 Tug McGraw 64 16 65 Joe Sambito 63 22 63 Mark Littell 63 13 63 Bruce Sutter 62 37 62
But Bruce Sutter's Cy Young winning year galvanizes baseball. His final numbers don't look all that different from his 1977-'78 numbers, but instead of accumulating them mostly in the first half of the season and injuring his arm, as he had done the two previous seasons, he staggers those appearances throughout the year.
What isn't apparent about Bruce Sutter from a cursory perusal of the statistics is how overwhelming he was his first four years and how he became the blueprint for all future closers until today. That's why he finishes ahead of Goose Gossage in the Hall-of-Fame voting (266 to 209 votes this year), even though the statheads cannot understand it. The ensuing debate has established that Gossage was a better pitcher for his career and that his peak wasn't far behind Sutter's. Both valid points, but the impression that Sutter left on the game has been more important. Maybe he should get extra points like a Candy Cummings as a modern-day pioneer of the closer role. However, given the foundation of quicksand on which the relief pitcher role is built, basing Sutter's enshrinement on his imprimatur on the closer role may be as spurious an argument as using the claim that Cummings invented the curveball as cause for his plaque in Cooperstown.
So what exactly did Sutter do that doesn't show up in the stats? He played for a .500 team, and though his stats were impressive, were they that revelatory? Let's take a look at the first four years of his career, 1976-'79.
Sutter joined the Cubs on May 9, 1976. Chicago, though they started the year 5-1, were 11-15 on May 8 and had just lost 4 straight. Herman Franks, the Cubs manager, was having a devil of a time trying to find a reliable closer. He tried Buddy Schultz, Darold Knowles, Mike Garman, Tom Dettore (who gave up three runs to the Mets in the ninth and lost 10-8 in his one chance on April 15), Garman again, Oscar Zamora, Schultz again, and Garman again. I don't believe it was a bullpen by committee since Franks would go to the same guy until he had blown two or three save opportunities in a row and then he would try someone else. There were some real gems in there, too. On April 17, the Cubs lost to the Phils 18-16 in ten innings. The game is best remembered as Mike Schmidt's four-homer game (by the way Schmidt batted 6th in that game). It was considered so remarkably high-scoring at the time, that the Phils rebroadcast it a week later, something unheard of at the time. The Cub bullpen (Garman, Knowles, Paul Reuschel, and Schultz) had the following linescore: 3 innings pitched, 10 hits, 3 home runs (2 to Schmidt), 11 runs all earned, 2 walks, and 1 K. The final straw came in a 14-4 home loss to the Reds on May 8. The bullpen (Zamora, Ken Crosby, and Garman) allowed 7 runs, all earned, on 10 hits, four walks and one strikeout in 5.2 innings. That was the end of Mike Garman's trial as the closer-he gave up 4 of those runs in 2 innings. Franks then turned to the 23-year-old rookie Sutter.
Sutter pitched very well, but showed a pattern that would plague him the next three years:
Month G GS CG SHO GF SV IP H BFP HR R ER BB IBB K WP HBP BK GDP W L ERA May 7 0 0 0 5 2 9.1 6 37 0 2 2 5 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 1.93 June 12 0 0 0 4 0 16.2 14 68 0 4 4 4 2 13 2 0 0 0 0 0 2.16 July 9 0 0 0 5 2 18 13 70 2 6 6 6 1 16 0 0 0 1 2 1 3.00 August 13 0 0 0 9 4 19 13 69 1 2 2 3 1 21 0 0 0 2 1 1 0.95 September 10 0 0 0 4 1 19.2 17 86 1 13 11 8 4 20 0 0 0 1 3 0 5.03 October 1 0 0 0 1 1 0.2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
Sutter was growing slowly into the closer's role and by July was starting to show signs of the pitcher he would become. Franks, however, still was toying with the bullpen using Knowles, Zamora, and Joe Coleman in the closer's role until the end of July.
Sutter was regularly used for two to four innings. He would also be used in consecutive games often. He pitched 4.2 scoreless innings in three consecutive games in two days, May 22-23 (and then was not used for over a week). Between June 19 and June 27, he was used in eight consecutive Cub games and on four of those days pitched 2 or more innings. These weren't save opportunities-he only finished two games in the span- but he didn't allow a run and recorded 10 strikeouts and only 6 hits in 9.2 innings through the first 7 games. On June 26, his ERA stood at a Bob Gibson-like 1.12. Then on June 27 he was used for two innings in a 13-3 blowout at the hands of the Mets at Wrigley, and he finally broke down, allowing 3 runs and 4 hits. His ERA almost doubled. He was then ignored for five games until the Cubs had a doubleheader. He pitched three no-hit innings against the Padres to complete a July 6th shutout by Steve Stone. Sutter also collected 5 Ks and 1 walk in the three innings and recorded his first save since May 31.
But in August Sutter was used in 13 of the Cubs' 30 games and the team had its first winning month of the year (17-13). Sutter had a 2.00 ERA by the end of August and would be the team's closer for the rest of the year. Sutter's September (5.03 ERA) would be far from spectacular, but it was due mostly to a few poor performances following overuse earlier in the year. For example, on July 9 Sutter tallied his first major-league win hurling four scoreless innings with five K's against the Giants. Then Franks' overuse of Sutter led to three consecutive poor performances (7/11-7/21: 4 innings and 5 runs allowed with only two strikeouts). Between August 3 and 12, he was used on 8 of nine Cub game days. He threw 10 scoreless innings (with 11 K's) in nine days. On August 12, he allowed two runs and recorded no outs in the eighth inning to give the Reds the lead in an eventual 8-3 loss. Franks then started using Sutter for 2-3 innings at a time one or two times a week. During the first week of September he broke down again, allowing 6 runs (and 8 K's) in 8.1 innings.
After the season, did Franks evaluate how he used the budding star and make adjustments? Of course not. Sutter started 1977 with an ERA under 1.00 until basically the All-Star break. However, Franks continued his abusive pattern. Sutter was used for 3.1 innings each of two consecutive appearances (5/1 and 5/4). Surprise! He gave up two runs in the second appearance. He was used in 7 of 9 games May 20-29, including two 3-inning and two 2+ inning games. He had a couple of small breakdowns during that period but was on too good a roll. Not coincidentally, at the beginning of July the Cubs were in first place 7.5 games ahead. On July 12, The Mets' Steve Henderson hit a game-winning, two-run home run off of Sutter. From Baseball-library.com: "After the game the Cubs relief ace admits his arm is bothering him, and asks to be excused from the All-Star game. Bleeding will be found in Sutter's arm and he will get the week off after the All-Star break to rest it." He returns to pitch two games (one for 3 innings!) but then goes onto the disabled list on August 3rd, at which time the Cubs still lead the Phillies in the NL East by 1.5 games. When he returns on August 23, the Cubs are tied for second, 7.5 games back. He finishes the year pitching well, but the Cubs finish 81-81, in fourth place and 20 games back. Sutter does have one amazing outing September 8, in which he ties the NL record for consecutive strikeouts for a reliever with 6 after whiffing the first 6 Expos he faces on just nine pitches. This is including Hall-of-Famers Tony Perez and Gary Carter as well as Andre Dawson, Larry Parrish, Ellis Valentine, and Warren Cromartie-not too shabby.
So of course, Franks now realizes that overworking his star has been leading to injury and ineffectiveness, right? Not yet. After a rough start, Sutter has his ERA well under 2.00 at the All-Star break and the Cubs are doggedly chasing the Phils in the NL East. Franks' pattern of abuse continues. After missing the last week in July, Sutter is used in a string of games, saving 5 in 7 days (8/1-8/7). On August 19, the Cubs trail the Phillies by 2 games, and Sutter has a 1.91 ERA with 22 saves. That day against the Reds, Sutter is brought in with two out in the seventh and the Cubs leading 5-3 and two men on. He strikes out Ken Griffey to end the inning and strikes out two in a scoreless eighth (though he allows Johnny Bench to steal a base). The Cubs leave him in to pitch the ninth, and he gives up a two-out single to Joe Morgan and then a three-run home run to Griffey, to allow the Reds to tie the game. In the 10th-yes, Sutter is still pitching-he gives up three singles on one out and the Reds capture the lead. From that point forward, Sutter would pitch 16 games and was 1-7 with a 7.33 ERA in 23.1 innings with 28 hits, 4 wild pitches, 4 home runs, 4 unerned runs (in addition to 19 earned), 24 strikeouts, 11 walks, a 1.67 WHIP, 5 saves, and only 12 games finished. Even Franks could see that there was a problem. The Cubs were 17-25 from August 19 on and finished in third place, 11 games behind the Phillies.
In 1979, Franks used Sutter in key situations and he recorded 37 saves in the Cubs' 80 wins. Franks goes back to his abusing ways in August and Sutter's September suffers, but he still wins the NL Cy Young:
Month G GS CG SHO GF SV IP H BFP HR R ER BB IBB K WP HBP BK GDP W L ERA April 5 0 0 0 5 5 7.2 5 29 0 0 0 2 0 6 2 0 0 1 0 0 0.00 May 10 0 0 0 9 4 19.1 14 80 2 6 5 7 2 20 0 0 0 1 1 2 2.33 June 10 0 0 0 9 8 17 6 62 0 2 2 5 0 21 1 0 0 0 1 0 1.06 July 10 0 0 0 10 6 16 3 60 0 3 2 7 2 19 3 0 0 1 2 1 1.12 August 15 0 0 0 14 12 21 19 83 0 5 3 3 0 24 2 0 0 1 0 0 1.29 September 12 0 0 0 9 2 20.1 20 89 1 13 13 8 1 20 1 0 0 1 2 3 5.75
When Herman Franks finally decided to try to limit Sutter to get the most out of him over a season, it paid off big. This proves to be a success even though Franks does not survive the season. It is also sufficient impetus to managers to extinguish the 80- to 90-appearance closer once and for all. Sutter was a living litmus test for closers. Everyone knew that he was a tremendous pitcher, but he broke down over the course of a season when asked to provide Mike Marshall-like innings. When Franks finally solved the problem by using him mostly in save situations and limiting his appearances and innings (only three appearances of three or more innings in 1979),-Q.E.D., the path was discovered. Eureka!
I think that during this period managers were convinced that the old abusing ways were not the way to use closers. But they just couldn't be convinced to use them any other way. Given any excuse (the DH, Mike Marshall, etc.), they would fall back on old habits. Franks went out on the thin ice and survived, so now other managers could be more adventurous.
Also, given Bill James' analysis in The New Historical Baseball Abstract, the most appropriate times to use closers is when the score is tied or your club is ahead by a one-run margin. James also recommends using your closer when your team is behind by a run and he is well rested. The save statistic was not developed with this value system in mind. First, three-inning relief appearances were common then, so that was an automatic save when the reliever finishes the game in the first place and his team wins. Helping your team win tie ballgames was left to the win-loss figures. And the situation that the relief creates through ineffectiveness, at least initially, is just as important as the situation when he entered the game as far as the save stat is concerned. That is why other unofficial stats like blown saves and holds have cropped up ever since. I also believe that managers in the '70s were not sold on the modern-day closer role as defined via the save. Once there was empirical proof using Sutter as a guinea pig, they could no longer argue against the modern closer. One last note regarding Sutter, however: his team did not improve once he was used effectively as a closer. His numbers improved and he enjoyed more success over the course of the season, but that did not translate into team success. So maybe the managers of the day shouldn't have been so convinced.
So ends the topsy-turvy Seventies.
Here are the leaders in relief appearances and saves for the decade. These names should be much more familiar to the average fan than the ones from the previous decades:
First Last RA Saves GP Mike Marshall 618 177 628 Rollie Fingers 611 209 640 Sparky Lyle 600 190 600 Pedro Borbon 557 79 561 Dave LaRoche 538 122 543 Darold Knowles 537 99 543 Tug McGraw 533 132 542 Dave Giusti 467 140 470 Tom Burgmeier 457 59 458 Paul Lindblad 453 46 460 Al Hrabosky 444 90 445 Gene Garber 436 110 444 Clay Carroll 436 106 447 Randy Moffitt 435 83 436 Elias Sosa 421 66 423 John Hiller 409 115 426 Grant Jackson 407 63 443 Steve Mingori 383 42 385 Dale Murray 371 48 372 Charlie Hough 367 59 382 Dave Tomlin 367 12 368 Kent Tekulve 363 83 363 Gary Lavelle 350 74 350 Bill Campbell 346 95 355 Fred Scherman 331 39 342 Wayne Granger 327 77 327 Rich Gossage 322 101 359 Terry Forster 321 100 360 Ken Sanders 318 82 318 Danny Frisella 313 55 315 Jerry Johnson 309 40 316 Jim Brewer 299 92 299 Mike Garman 295 42 301 Tom Murphy 291 59 388 Dave Heaverlo 290 22 290 Skip Lockwood 288 66 390 Ramon Hernandez 283 41 283 Rawly Eastwick 281 67 282 Doug Bird 280 58 324 Joe Hoerner 279 39 279 Tom Hall 278 32 319 Steve Foucault 277 52 277 Horacio Pina 271 35 271 Chuck Taylor 270 31 278 Will McEnaney 269 29 269 Ken Forsch 268 50 389 Tom House 268 33 289 Jim Todd 262 24 270 Lindy McDaniel 260 45 268 Diego Segui 258 46 309 Bob Locker 254 41 254 Jim Kern 244 75 256 Ron Reed 244 52 412 Bruce Sutter 240 105 240 Dick Drago 240 49 396 Mark Littell 240 52 258 Charlie Williams 235 4 268 Frank Linzy 227 34 228 Eduardo Rodriguez 225 32 264 Tom Buskey 225 34 225 Dave Hamilton 224 31 280 Jack Aker 222 51 222 Dick Tidrow 222 27 359 Jim Ray 220 24 223 Lerrin LaGrow 217 51 284 Bob Miller 213 19 228 Jim Willoughby 210 34 238 Vicente Romo 210 28 224 Ron Schueler 205 11 291 Eddie Watt 204 41 204 Cecil Upshaw 203 38 203 Dan Spillner 200 11 277 First Last RA Saves GP Rollie Fingers 611 209 640 Sparky Lyle 600 190 600 Mike Marshall 618 177 628 Dave Giusti 467 140 470 Tug McGraw 533 132 542 Dave LaRoche 538 122 543 John Hiller 409 115 426 Gene Garber 436 110 444 Clay Carroll 436 106 447 Bruce Sutter 240 105 240 Rich Gossage 322 101 359 Terry Forster 321 100 360 Darold Knowles 537 99 543 Bill Campbell 346 95 355 Jim Brewer 299 92 299 Al Hrabosky 444 90 445 Randy Moffitt 435 83 436 Kent Tekulve 363 83 363 Ken Sanders 318 82 318 Pedro Borbon 557 79 561 Wayne Granger 327 77 327 Jim Kern 244 75 256 Gary Lavelle 350 74 350 Rawly Eastwick 281 67 282 Elias Sosa 421 66 423 Skip Lockwood 288 66 390 Grant Jackson 407 63 443 Tom Burgmeier 457 59 458 Charlie Hough 367 59 382 Tom Murphy 291 59 388 Doug Bird 280 58 324 Don Stanhouse 190 57 256 Danny Frisella 313 55 315 Steve Foucault 277 52 277 Ron Reed 244 52 412 Mark Littell 240 52 258 Doug Bair 184 52 184 Jack Aker 222 51 222 Lerrin LaGrow 217 51 284 Ken Forsch 268 50 389
Here are the totals per role for the decade:
Year GP GS SV CG CG% RA P/G #P SP SP% RP RP% SP/RP Swing% 1970 10356 3888 878 852 21.91% 6468 2.664 363 37 10.19% 140 38.57% 186 51.24% 1971 9661 3876 689 1083 27.94% 5785 2.493 343 37 10.79% 121 35.28% 185 53.94% 1972 9127 3718 733 1009 27.14% 5409 2.455 339 43 12.68% 122 35.99% 174 51.33% 1973 9209 3886 819 1061 27.30% 5323 2.370 330 41 12.42% 106 32.12% 183 55.45% 1974 9330 3890 517 1089 27.99% 5440 2.398 344 48 13.95% 120 34.88% 176 51.16% 1975 9270 3868 669 1052 27.20% 5402 2.397 339 44 12.98% 108 31.86% 187 55.16% 1976 9364 3878 683 1039 26.79% 5486 2.415 325 50 15.38% 104 32.00% 171 52.62% 1977 10621 4206 845 907 21.56% 6415 2.525 371 69 18.60% 115 31.00% 187 50.40% 1978 10095 4204 804 1034 24.60% 5891 2.401 369 58 15.72% 122 33.06% 189 51.22% 1979 10573 4196 840 913 21.76% 6377 2.520 390 64 16.41% 134 34.36% 192 49.23%
Year
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