Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
For a team that many picked to contend, this Phils team seems to have a fear of having a winning record. For the fourth time this seasonall within the course of seven games, the Phils lost after reaching the .500 mark last night, 5-4 to the Marlins in 11.
The Phillies lost two of three in the Marlins series due to various and sundry miscuesyesterday third base coach Steve Smith sending pinch-runner and potential tying run Michael Bourn who ended up being out at home by a good six feet, two separate miscues in two separate games by veteran defensive specialist Rod Barrajas each allowing a run, Greg Dobbs' brain fart of throwing home on Hanley Ramirez' bunt with a two-run lead and a man on third, leaving the bases loaded in the top of the llth yesterday. Oh, and they also lost their closer, their second on the year, for who knows how long.
The Phils seemed destined to reside at or below .500 all season. The record for games at .500 is 35 by the 1959 Cubs (see below), but this team seems destined to destroy it. Here are the teams with the most games at .500note that none made the postseason:
Yr | Team | Gs at .500 | W | L | POS |
1959 | Chicago Cubs | 35 | 74 | 80 | 6 |
1939 | Brooklyn Dodgers | 34 | 84 | 69 | 3 |
1993 | Chicago Cubs | 33 | 84 | 78 | 4 |
1999 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 32 | 78 | 83 | 3 |
1971 | Houston Astros | 31 | 79 | 83 | 4 |
1998 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 31 | 83 | 79 | 3 |
2002 | Montreal Expos | 30 | 83 | 79 | 2 |
1957 | Detroit Tigers | 30 | 78 | 76 | 4 |
1904 | St. Louis Cardinals | 29 | 75 | 79 | 5 |
1974 | Chicago White Sox | 29 | 80 | 80 | 4 |
1997 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 29 | 79 | 83 | 2 |
1983 | Kansas City Royals | 28 | 79 | 83 | 2 |
1985 | Chicago White Sox | 28 | 85 | 77 | 3 |
1903 | Brooklyn Superbas | 27 | 70 | 66 | 5 |
1984 | Montreal Expos | 27 | 78 | 83 | 5 |
2005 | New York Mets | 27 | 83 | 79 | 3 |
1991 | Cincinnati Reds | 26 | 74 | 88 | 5 |
1992 | St. Louis Cardinals | 26 | 83 | 79 | 3 |
1996 | Houston Astros | 26 | 82 | 80 | 2 |
1910 | Cincinnati Reds | 26 | 75 | 79 | 5 |
1958 | Detroit Tigers | 26 | 77 | 77 | 5 |
1898 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 26 | 72 | 76 | 8 |
1962 | Detroit Tigers | 26 | 85 | 76 | 4 |
1993 | Seattle Mariners | 26 | 82 | 80 | 4 |
As for the closer or lack thereof, it seems that the Phils are seriously considering 37-year-old Troy Percival, who last pitched, and quite ineffectively, for Detroit in 2005. With no one else having "closer stuff", the Phils will inevitably turn to former closer Antonio Alfonseca, who has wavered between pitching very and well and residing in Charlie Manuel's doghouse all season. I would prefer that they turn to 26-year-old Anderson Garcia, who has been closing very effectively at Reading this year (7 saves, 3.12 ERA, 19 strikeouts in 17.1 innings, 0.98 WHIP). Whoever the Phils turn to will have to avoid the seemingly inevitable injuries that result from Charlie "I Need A Frickin'" Manuel's inability to use a bullpen and overuse of his relievers who produce.
The Phils seemed destined to be the first team in two years with a closer who has at least double-digit save totals. The last were the 2005 Tigers:
Yr | Team | Closer | Sv | Team SV |
2005 | Detroit Tigers | Fernando Rodney | 9 | 37 |
2005 | Detroit Tigers | Ugueth Urbina | 9 | 37 |
2003 | Detroit Tigers | Chris Mears | 5 | 27 |
2003 | Detroit Tigers | Franklyn German | 5 | 27 |
1998 | Florida Marlins | Matt Mantei | 9 | 24 |
1996 | Detroit Tigers | Gregg Olson | 8 | 22 |
1994 | Cleveland Indians | Jeff Russell | 5 | 21 |
1994 | Cleveland Indians | Paul Shuey | 5 | 21 |
1994 | Detroit Tigers | Mike Henneman | 8 | 20 |
1994 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Alejandro Pena | 7 | 24 |
1990 | Atlanta Braves | Joe Boever | 8 | 30 |
1987 | Cleveland Indians | Doug Jones | 8 | 25 |
1987 | Detroit Tigers | Eric King | 9 | 31 |
1987 | Kansas City Royals | Dan Quisenberry | 8 | 26 |
1987 | Kansas City Royals | Gene Garber | 8 | 26 |
1985 | Cleveland Indians | Tom Waddell | 9 | 28 |
1985 | Pittsburgh Pirates | John Candelaria | 9 | 29 |
If they get another pitcher to save at least five to go along with Tom Gordon (5 saves) and Bret Myers (6), they will join this short list of teams without a ten-save closer but with at least three pitchers with five. Of course, they all predated the advent of the modern closer but then again, so does Pat Gillick:
Yr | Team | Closer | Sv | Team SV | # w/ 5 Svs |
1947 | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 27 | 5 | 3 |
1934 | Boston Braves | 5 | 20 | 5 | 3 |
1962 | Chicago White Sox | 6 | 28 | 5 | 3 |
1973 | Houston Astros | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 |
1948 | Philadelphia Athletics | 5 | 18 | 5 | 3 |
The Phils also have a good shot of passing the all-time "record" for most relievers, 22, by the 2002 Padres. The Phils have used 12 through the first quarter of a season and, which will grow to 13 if and when Myers goes on the DL. Also, they currently have no left-handed specialists nor, apparently, a real closer on the roster so you should expect that number to balloon soon. Here's the competition for the most relievers ever:
Yr | Team | # RPs | Sv |
2002 | San Diego Padres | 22 | 40 |
2000 | Cleveland Indians | 19 | 34 |
2004 | Cleveland Indians | 18 | 32 |
2004 | Boston Red Sox | 18 | 36 |
2000 | St. Louis Cardinals | 18 | 37 |
1997 | Kansas City Royals | 18 | 29 |
2000 | San Diego Padres | 18 | 46 |
2003 | Cleveland Indians | 17 | 34 |
2006 | Washington Nationals | 17 | 32 |
2005 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 17 | 45 |
2006 | Cincinnati Reds | 17 | 36 |
2005 | Florida Marlins | 17 | 42 |
2002 | Detroit Tigers | 17 | 33 |
1995 | Florida Marlins | 17 | 28 |
2005 | Atlanta Braves | 17 | 38 |
1996 | California Angels | 17 | 38 |
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