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Gagne Ewedscray Ybay Odgersday (Igpay Atinlay)
The Dodgers re-signed Eric Gagne to a $550K contract today, APreported.
They further offer that Gagne is "Coming off one of the best seasons for a reliever in the big-league history." Gagne did save 52 (out of 56 chances) last year with a 1.97 ERA in 82.1 innings. Those 52 saves are the fifth highest all-time, though only good enough for second place last year (behind John Smoltz' 55 saves).
Anyway, aside from the high save totals, was his season really that impressive, I wondered. Opponents batted .189 against him, he has a .89 WHIP (walks plus hits per innings pitched), and he had 16 and 114 strikeouts, which translate into a 7-1/8 strikeout-to-walk ratio and 12.5 strikeouts per nine innings. All very worthy numbers, but are they among the best "for a reliever in the big-league history"?
Well, I have a table of team closers from my reliever history study. It contains all of the team save leaders from the dawn of time. Since what constitutes a closer has changed over time, this, probably the definition, is what I use. Anyway, there are 210 such "closers" with ERAs under 2.00.
If you want to limit this definition to something more closely matching the definition of a closer from the late-Seventies until today, we can limit this group to just those pitchers who recorded 20 saves in the season discussed. That gets us down to 83. Here they are in ascending ERA order:
Name Year SV IP BB SO ERA K:BB K/9 IP WHIP Dennis Eckersley 1990 48 73.33 4 73 0.61 18.25 8.96 0.61 Rollie Fingers 1981 28 78.00 13 61 1.04 4.69 7.04 0.87 Jose Mesa 1995 46 64.00 17 58 1.13 3.41 8.16 1.03 Ted Abernathy 1967 28 106.33 41 88 1.27 2.15 7.45 0.98 Ugueth Urbina 1998 34 69.33 33 94 1.30 2.85 12.20 1.01 Bruce Sutter 1977 31 107.33 23 129 1.34 5.61 10.82 0.86 Ken Tatum 1969 22 86.33 39 65 1.36 1.67 6.78 1.04 John Wetteland 1993 43 85.33 28 113 1.37 4.04 11.92 1.01 Frank Linzy 1965 21 81.67 23 35 1.43 1.52 3.86 1.21 John Hiller 1973 38 125.33 39 124 1.44 3.18 8.90 1.02 Trevor Hoffman 1998 53 73.00 21 86 1.48 4.10 10.60 0.85 Robb Nen 2000 41 66.00 19 92 1.50 4.84 12.55 0.85 Randy Myers 1997 45 59.67 22 56 1.51 2.55 8.45 1.16 Robb Nen 1998 40 88.67 25 110 1.52 4.40 11.17 0.95 Bruce Sutter 1984 45 122.67 23 77 1.54 3.35 5.65 1.08 Mike Jackson 1998 40 64.00 13 55 1.55 4.23 7.73 0.88 Steve Farr 1992 30 52.00 19 37 1.56 1.95 6.40 1.02 Dennis Eckersley 1989 33 57.67 3 55 1.56 18.33 8.58 0.61 Billy Wagner 1999 39 74.67 23 124 1.57 5.39 14.95 0.78 John Franco 1988 39 86.00 27 46 1.57 1.70 4.81 1.01 Jim Kern 1979 29 143.00 62 136 1.57 2.19 8.56 1.13 Jay Howell 1989 28 79.67 22 55 1.58 2.50 6.21 1.03 Gregg Olson 1993 29 45.00 18 44 1.60 2.44 8.80 1.22 Bryan Harvey 1991 46 78.67 17 101 1.60 5.94 11.56 0.86 Phil Regan 1966 21 116.67 24 88 1.62 3.67 6.79 0.93 Rich Gossage 1977 26 133.00 49 151 1.62 3.08 10.22 0.95 Dave Smith 1987 24 60.00 21 73 1.65 3.48 10.95 1.00 Lee Smith 1983 29 103.33 41 91 1.65 2.22 7.93 1.07 Al Hrabosky 1975 22 97.33 33 82 1.66 2.48 7.58 1.08 Bill Landrum 1989 26 81.00 28 51 1.67 1.82 5.67 1.09 Ron Perranoski 1963 21 129.00 43 75 1.67 1.74 5.23 1.20 Gregg Olson 1989 27 85.00 46 90 1.69 1.96 9.53 1.21 Bryan Harvey 1993 45 69.00 13 73 1.70 5.62 9.52 0.84 Tug McGraw 1972 27 106.00 40 92 1.70 2.30 7.81 1.05 Randy Myers 1988 26 68.00 17 69 1.72 4.06 9.13 0.91 Joe Sambito 1979 22 91.33 23 83 1.77 3.61 8.18 1.13 Jeff Shaw 1998 23 49.67 12 29 1.81 2.42 5.26 1.05 Tom Henke 1995 36 54.33 18 48 1.82 2.67 7.95 1.10 Rich Gossage 1985 26 79.00 17 52 1.82 3.06 5.92 1.03 Mudcat Grant 1970 24 123.33 30 54 1.82 1.80 3.94 1.09 Mariano Rivera 1999 45 69.00 18 52 1.83 2.89 6.78 0.88 Bobby Thigpen 1990 57 88.67 32 70 1.83 2.19 7.11 1.04 Greg Minton 1982 30 123.00 42 58 1.83 1.38 4.24 1.22 John Franco 1996 28 54.00 21 48 1.83 2.29 8.00 1.39 Rich Gossage 1975 26 141.67 70 130 1.84 1.86 8.26 1.19 Mark Davis 1989 44 92.67 31 92 1.85 2.97 8.94 1.05 Armando Benitez 1999 22 78.00 41 128 1.85 3.12 14.77 1.04 Ellis Kinder 1953 27 107.00 38 39 1.85 1.03 3.28 1.14 Doug Jones 1992 36 111.67 17 93 1.85 5.47 7.50 1.01 Mike Henneman 1988 22 91.33 24 58 1.87 2.42 5.72 1.05 Roy Face 1962 28 91.00 18 45 1.88 2.50 4.45 1.01 Jim Brewer 1971 22 81.33 24 66 1.88 2.75 7.30 0.97 Mariano Rivera 1997 43 71.67 20 68 1.88 3.40 8.54 1.19 Stu Miller 1965 24 119.33 32 104 1.89 3.25 7.84 1.00 Jeff Russell 1992 28 56.67 22 43 1.91 1.95 6.83 1.29 Al McBean 1964 22 89.67 17 41 1.91 2.41 4.12 1.04 Mariano Rivera 1998 36 61.33 17 36 1.91 2.12 5.28 1.06 Rick Camp 1980 22 108.33 29 33 1.91 1.14 2.74 1.12 Dennis Eckersley 1992 51 80.00 11 93 1.91 8.45 10.46 0.91 Roberto Hernandez 1996 38 84.67 38 85 1.91 2.24 9.04 1.22 Ken Sanders 1971 31 136.33 34 80 1.91 2.35 5.28 1.06 Troy Percival 2002 40 56.33 25 68 1.92 2.72 10.86 1.12 Rollie Fingers 1973 22 126.67 39 110 1.92 2.82 7.82 1.15 Bob Lee 1965 23 131.33 42 89 1.92 2.12 6.10 1.04 Donnie Moore 1985 31 103.00 21 72 1.92 3.43 6.29 1.09 Sparky Lyle 1972 35 107.67 29 75 1.92 2.59 6.27 1.05 Willie Hernandez 1984 32 140.33 36 112 1.92 3.11 7.18 0.94 Dave Giusti 1972 22 74.67 20 54 1.93 2.70 6.51 1.06 Terry Forster 1978 22 65.33 23 46 1.93 2.00 6.34 1.21 John Wetteland 1997 31 65.00 21 63 1.94 3.00 8.72 0.98 Dan Quisenberry 1983 45 139.00 11 48 1.94 4.36 3.11 0.93 Robb Nen 1996 35 83.00 21 92 1.95 4.38 9.98 1.06 Rollie Fingers 1984 23 46.00 13 40 1.96 3.08 7.83 1.11 Eric Gagne 2002 52 82.33 16 114 1.97 7.13 12.46 0.86 Dick Radatz 1963 25 132.33 51 162 1.97 3.18 11.02 1.10 Doug Bair 1978 28 100.33 38 91 1.97 2.39 8.16 1.25 Doug Corbett 1980 23 136.33 42 89 1.98 2.12 5.88 1.06 Jeff Russell 1989 38 72.67 24 77 1.98 3.21 9.54 0.95 Jorge Julio 2002 25 68.00 27 55 1.99 2.04 7.28 1.21 Hoyt Wilhelm 1964 27 131.33 30 95 1.99 3.17 6.51 0.94 Bill Dailey 1963 21 108.67 19 72 1.99 3.79 5.96 0.91 Jack Aker 1966 32 113.00 28 68 1.99 2.43 5.42 0.96 Tom Burgmeier 1980 24 99.00 20 54 2.00 2.70 4.91 1.08
The things about Gagne's 2002 campaign that impress me more than the saves are the strikeout-to-walk ratio and the strikeouts per nine innings. I thought, how rare is it to have a closer with at least five times as many strikeouts as walks, at least 10 strikeouts per nine innings, a WHIP under .90 and an ERA under 2.00.
Of the list above, nine besides Gagne exceed five strikeouts per walk with Dennis Eckersley twice exceeding ten (18.33 and 18.25).
14 besides Gagne top 10 strikeouts per nine innings (and Rob Nenn barely misses at 9.98) with Billy Wagner (14.95) and Armando Benitez (14.77) leading the list.
Eleven besides Gagne have a WHIP under .90, with Dennis Eckersley twice leading the pack (with .61 in 1989 and '90, he's the only person under .78).
Finally, there are just three other men who meet all three criteria (BB:K, K/9 IP, and WHIP). They are Bruce Sutter in 1977, Billy Wagner in 1999, and Bryan Harvey in 1991. Harvey just missed (9.52 K/9 IP) in 1993, and Dennis Eckerlsey was even closer (.91 WHIP) in 1992.
That's a pretty unique set of circumstances. However, I do not know if that means that he had one of the greatest seasons by a reliever all-time. For my money the Eckersley 1989-'90 seasons, and even his 1992, blow away Gagne's 2002 year. Gagne's numbers are not that much better than Troy Percival's and even Jorge Julio's last season (and Byung-Hyun Kim wasn't far behind). But that you can make an argument for Gagne's 2002 being among the best still cannot be ignored.
That said, the Dodgers get off easy with Gagne's salary in 2003. One has to wonder if the strategy is penny-wise and pound-foolish. We'll have to see when Gagne becomes arbitration-eligible next year (Rotowire reports he was just 18 days shy of qualifying this year) and a free agent to follow.
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