Baseball Toaster Mike's Baseball Rants
Help
This is my site with my opinions, but I hope that, like Irish Spring, you like it, too.
Frozen Toast
Search
Google Search
Web
Toaster
Mike's Baseball Rants
Archives

2009
01 

2008
10  09  07 
06  05  04  03 

2007
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2006
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2005
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2004
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2003
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2002
12  11  10  09  08  07 
Links to MBBR
Rivalry Much?
2006-06-05 22:29
by Mike Carminati

After putting the kids to bed, I turned on the old telly to check out the score of the Yankee-Red Sox game, and it was already 13-3 Yankees in the fourth inning. The Red Sox were already on their third pitcher, David Riske (pronounced risky), which seemed apropos. Josh Beckett lasted just 1-1/3 and gave up eight runs, though only 7 earned. Next, Jermaine Van Buren—he's the penultimate brother in the Van Buren Five after Martin—also last 1-1/3 and relinquished 5.

I was left wondering, is this really much of a rivalry? The score ended up 13-5, but that's nowhere near the most lopsided Yankee-Red Sox game this season. That honor goes to the 14-3 pasting the Sox laid on the Yanks on May 9.

In fact, on average in eight games this year, the two teams have been no closer than four and one half runs apart. The average margin of victory so far has been 4.625 runs.

So why is this rivalry so ridiculously hyped? Well, it does seem to sell.

Given the results so far this year, I wondered what was the greatest margin of victory for the series in any given year. Here's what I found:

YearRun DiffNum G Avg Run Diff
20059919 5.21
190310220 5.10
19788016 5.00
192710722 4.86
193210622 4.82
19866113 4.69
2006378 4.63
19956013 4.62
195910122 4.59
195010122 4.59
194010022 4.55
194110023 4.35
20005513 4.23
19239322 4.23
19349222 4.18
20037919 4.16
19017418 4.11
19379022 4.09
20047719 4.05
19208922 4.05
19984812 4.00

It seems that a lot of recent seasons are in that mix. What if we looked at the average run differential for all Yankee-Red Sox games per decade? Are the 2000s the worst?

Let's see…

DecadeRun DiffNum G Avg Run Diff
1900s685191 3.59
1910s616212 2.91
1920s823221 3.72
1930s806219 3.68
1940s745222 3.36
1950s778220 3.54
1960s563184 3.06
1970s566168 3.37
1980s394123 3.20
1990s408124 3.29
2000s453115 3.94
Total68371999 3.42

Wow, that's quite a job. Even the high-scoring Nineties did not see any sort of increase like we are seeing now in average margin of victory. But maybe it's happening in all games, nit just Yankee-Red Sox games.

Below is the average margin of victory for all games between all teams per decade:

DecadeRun DiffNum G Avg Run Diff
1870s115782031 5.70
1880s379728758 4.34
1890s407539468 4.30
1900s3780011342 3.33
1910s4120313324 3.09
1920s4287012323 3.48
1930s4421412311 3.59
1940s4142512376 3.35
1950s4166412374 3.37
1960s4964615961 3.11
1970s6275719806 3.17
1980s6575620337 3.23
1990s7388421594 3.42
2000s5157314573 3.54
Total643095186578 3.45

Yes, there has been a jump in margin of victory recently, but it's nowhere near what we are seeing in Boston-New York contests.

I submit that the Yankee-Red Sox rivalry has lost a bit of its old luster of late. Maybe they're just waiting for the playoffs. I'm a Phillies fan. I don't have that luxury.

Comments
2006-06-06 02:53:55
1.   DXMachina
Having grown up in Jersey, and lived in New England for thirty years, it always seemed to me that, until the media (especially ESPN) hyped it to it's current, ridiculous level, the rivalry was far more important to Sox fans than Yankees fans. Growing up, most of my Yankee fan friends were more worried about the Orioles. I was amazed at the epic proportions of the Sox fans' inferiority complex when I first moved up here in the seventies. The Yankee fans didn't care who they played, as long as they won the pennant, while the Sox fans didn't care who won the pennant, as long as they beat the Yankees.
2006-06-06 05:12:37
2.   NetShrine
Mike - what would the results be if the median was used instead of an average?
2006-06-06 11:46:06
3.   rbj
For a while there, the O's were better than the Sox.

I think it is less the margin of each victory, and the number of wins & losses between the two. IIRC, currently it is 42-42 over the last couple of seasons. And as long as the Yankees win, I don't care where the Sox finish.

Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.