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Dual Duel
2006-04-17 12:20
by Mike Carminati

Yesterday, the Phils improbably beat the Rockies, 1-0, in only the second one-zip game in Coors Field's eleven-plus-year history. A solo shot by Ryan Howard in the seventh was the difference. Brett Myer somehow escaped unscathed after scattering seven hits in 7.2 innings.

Meanwhile, the Tigers behind Mike Maroth's pitching and a homer by their first baseman, Chris Shelton, won 1-0 over the Indians at Comerica.

That's two 1-0 games in one day. There have been only two others this season, an Astro win at home and a Cards loss at the new Busch Stadium, in only the fourth game held there. Even so, until yesterday it had as many 1-0 games as Coors.

The odds of getting two 1-0 games in a full slate of fifteen games (based on last year's numbers) is 3.25%, if I remember my combinatorics correctly.

So far in 2006, there have been four 1-0 ballgames out of 182 played or about 2.20%, which would be the highest since 1992 if t keeps up. Here are the numbers per decade starting in 1901 with the home team record for 1-0 games:

Decade1-0 H GWLPCTTot H G%
1900s454252202.555107704.22%
1910s488295193.605120814.04%
1920s22414480.643123231.82%
1930s21712691.581123111.76%
1940s336186150.554123762.71%
1950s26117388.663123742.11%
1960s494306188.619159613.10%
1970s523304219.581198062.64%
1980s419249170.594203372.06%
1990s362209153.577215921.68%
2000s21712790.585147411.47%

As far as Coors being a difficult park to get a 1-0 pitchers duel, here are the parks that have been the hardest since 1901 (note that it's divided by ballpark name):

FranchisePark1-0 H GWLPCTTOT H GFirstLast%
Texas RangersAmeriquest Field000.00088200520060.00%
Houston AstrosEnron Field000.000162200020010.00%
Cincinnati RedsCrosley Field/Riverfront Stadium000.00081197019700.00%
Los Angeles Angels of AnaheimWrigley Field (LA)000.00082196119610.00%
San Francisco GiantsPolo Grounds III/Polo Grounds IV000.00075191119110.00%
Colorado RockiesCoors Field211.500888199520060.23%
Los Angeles Angels of AnaheimEdison International Field321.667569199720030.53%
San Francisco GiantsSBC Park101.000169200420060.59%
Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Memorial Coliseum2201.000309195819610.65%
Texas RangersThe Ballpark at Arlington624.333864199420040.69%
Colorado RockiesMile High Stadium1101.000138199319940.72%
Tampa Bay Devil RaysTropicana Field532.600653199820060.77%
New York YankeesOriole Park1101.000130190119020.77%
Cincinnati RedsGreat American Ball Park211.500250200320060.80%
Cincinnati RedsCinergy Field431.750487199720020.82%
Milwaukee BrewersMiller Park413.250411200120060.97%

Coors was the hardest to record a 1-0 game in for stadiums used in at least two seasons. Now, here are the easiest stadiums to get a 1-0 in:

FranchisePark1-0 H GWLPCTTOT H GFirstLast%
St. Louis CardinalsBusch Stadium III101.00062006200616.67%
Chicago White SoxSouth Side Park II/Comiskey Park945.444791910191011.39%
Los Angeles Angels of AnaheimDodger Stadium22193.864323196219656.81%
Baltimore OriolesSportsman's Park III361719.472530190219086.79%
Atlanta BravesFenway Park I / Braves Field5501.00078191519156.41%
Los Angeles Angels of AnaheimAngels Stadium of Anaheim523.40081200420046.17%
Houston AstrosColt Stadium1486.571244196219645.74%
Chicago White SoxSouth Side Park II392613.667690190119095.65%
Los Angeles DodgersWashington Park III452124.467902190119124.99%
Minnesota TwinsAmerican League Park II251411.560537190419104.66%
Chicago CubsWest Side Park II463214.6961150190119154.00%
St. Louis CardinalsRobison Field572631.4561435190119193.97%
San Francisco GiantsPolo Grounds III291811.621760190119103.82%
Atlanta BravesBraves Field1066244.5852787191619523.80%
Los Angeles DodgersDodger Stadium1338746.6543506196220063.79%
Atlanta BravesSouth End Grounds III402713.6751057190119143.78%
Texas RangersR.F.K. Stadium301515.500804196219713.73%
New York YankeesHilltop Park281513.536752190319123.72%
St. Louis CardinalsSportsman's Park IV/Busch Stadium II321.66781196619663.70%
Pittsburgh PiratesForbes Field/Three Rivers Stadium312.33382197019703.66%

The Rockies also lost their first 1-0 game at home (Coors or Mile High), thereby following from the top of the heap. The Braves now own the best 1-0 home record in baseball. The D-Backs are the only team with a losing record in 1-0 home games:

Franchise1-0 H GWLPCT
Atlanta Braves23115576.671
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim1127537.670
Colorado Rockies321.667
San Diego Padres754827.640
Houston Astros1137241.637
Cleveland Indians18311667.634
San Francisco Giants17911267.626
Chicago White Sox262162100.618
Milwaukee Brewers543321.611
Cincinnati Reds19712077.609
Baltimore Orioles20412480.608
Tampa Bay Devil Rays532.600
Los Angeles Dodgers249148101.594
Minnesota Twins21212686.594
Detroit Tigers1649767.591
Seattle Mariners342014.588
New York Mets1076245.579
Florida Marlins19118.579
St. Louis Cardinals19711483.579
Chicago Cubs234134100.573
Texas Rangers784434.564
Pittsburgh Pirates20611690.563
Toronto Blue Jays321814.563
Boston Red Sox1598970.560
New York Yankees19110685.555
Oakland Athletics1799782.542
Philadelphia Phillies19510590.538
Washington Nationals653530.538
Kansas City Royals492524.510
Arizona Diamondbacks725.286
Total399523711624.593

By the way, if you think that having a 1-0 game 2.2% of the time so far in 2006 is abnormally high, take a look at the years with the highest percentage:

Yr1-0 H GWLPCTTot H G%
1908804139.51312446.43%
1918624319.69410166.10%
1907703832.54312335.68%
1909684127.60312405.48%
1914644420.68812565.10%
1968824735.57316255.05%
1917612635.42612474.89%
1916603723.61712474.81%
1906593425.57612284.80%
1904543222.59312494.32%
1905532924.54712374.28%
1919472819.59611184.20%
1943523616.69212384.20%
1946511932.37312424.11%

Now, here are the seasons with the fewest, by percentage, 1-0 games. Surprise—most of them are during the hit-happy last decade and the early Thirties:

Yr1-0 H GWLPCTTot H G%
199626179.65422671.15%
1999281414.50024281.15%
200029227.75924291.19%
19301596.60012341.22%
2003312011.64524301.28%
1997291910.65522661.28%
1998321814.56324301.32%
193217512.29412331.38%
19241798.52912311.38%
1995291811.62120171.44%
2004351916.54324281.44%
192618162.88912341.46%
1979311615.51620991.48%
2001362412.66724291.48%
1983321814.56321091.52%

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