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Leiter Fluid
2006-03-20 22:16
by Mike Carminati

Al Leiter returned from the WBC, pitched to one batter for the Yankees, and then decided to hang 'em up. And when I say "'em", I mean "'em".

After 19 years of fairly decent pitching, Leiter retires after one batter and then retires himself. At least he got the guy out, and what pitcher doesn't want to go out pitching a shutout, or at least pitching in a shutout.

But it seems a rather circuitous route to retirement. His own version of "veni, vedi, vici". Eh, then again, he did retire in Florida: that's pretty typical.

Leiter will be remembered as a very good, fairly intelligent pitcher for a number of years but even in the steroid-diluted list of Hall eligibles, Leiter will have a hard time even getting the necessary five percent of the vote to remain on the ballot his first year.

It's a shame since his career is somewhat unique in its own way. Leiter, you may remember was a "can't miss" prospect—I think I have is "Topps Top Rookie" Rookie card from 1987—who missed, for a while. He broke in at age 21 and followed that up with 14 starts, a 4-4 record, and a slightly better than league average ERA of 3.92 in 1988. Then injuries limited him to 13 games and just 5 starts at the major-league level over the next four seasons.

He finally made the Blue Jay rotation in 1994, and then registered a double-digit win total for the first time the next year. He would then collect at least ten (and as many as 17) for every season through 2004.

I wondered if Leiter had the most wins for any pitcher who did not win ten in a season until the age of 29. He's not but he's close. Here are the most wins for pitchers who qualified with the age and stats for the season in which he first won ten:

PitcherYrAgeWL ERA Career WCareer L Career ERA
Dazzy Vance1922311812 3.70 197140 3.24
Mike Cuellar1966291210 2.22 185130 3.14
Bill Hutchison1889291617 3.54 183163 3.59
Murry Dickson194629156 2.88 172181 3.66
Alvin Crowder192829215 3.69 167115 4.12
Al Leiter1995291111 3.64 162132 3.80
Curt Davis1934301917 2.95 158131 3.42
Rube Walberg1926291210 2.80 155141 4.16
Hoyt Wilhelm195229153 2.43 143122 2.52
Ray Kremer1924311810 3.19 14385 3.76
Rip Sewell193932109 4.08 14397 3.48
Harry Brecheen194429165 2.85 13392 2.92
George Mogridge1918291613 2.18 132131 3.21
Vic Raschi194829198 3.84 13266 3.72
Frank Kitson1899292216 2.77 128117 3.18
George Earnshaw192929248 3.29 12793 4.38
Preacher Roe1944291311 3.11 12784 3.43
Larry Gura197830164 2.72 12697 3.76
Bob Ewing1903301413 2.77 124118 2.49
Jeff Fassero199330125 2.29 120123 4.08
Sal Maglie195033184 2.71 11962 3.15
Thornton Lee1937301210 3.52 117124 3.56
Bill Bernhard1900291510 4.77 11682 3.04
Togie Pittinger1901291316 3.01 115113 3.10
Ken Forsch197831106 2.70 114113 3.37
Woody Williams199831109 4.46 11296 4.12

And after the long wait, he went ahead and pitched 19 seasons, a sort of Minnie Minoso on the mound. Leiter is one of a handful of pitchers to pitch 19 years. They are an interesting group of second-tier Hall of Famers and memorable if not Hall-worthy pitchers. Here they are sorted by wins:

PitcherWLERA
Robin Roberts286245 3.41
Fergie Jenkins284226 3.34
Tom Glavine275184 3.44
Burleigh Grimes270212 3.53
Jim Palmer268152 2.86
Luis Tiant229172 3.30
David Wells227143 4.06
Jerry Koosman222209 3.36
Freddie Fitzsimmons217146 3.51
Rick Reuschel214191 3.37
Kevin Brown211144 3.28
Jesse Haines210158 3.64
Jamie Moyer205152 4.16
Babe Adams194140 2.76
Doyle Alexander194174 3.76
Tom Zachary186191 3.73
John Candelaria177122 3.33
Scott Sanderson163143 3.84
Al Leiter162132 3.80
Ron Reed146140 3.46
Terry Mulholland124142 4.40
Syl Johnson112117 4.06
Gene Garber96113 3.34
Tug McGraw9692 3.14
Bob McClure6857 3.81

Leiter is pretty far down on the list. I tried projecting out his win total for the injury-plagued years to see if it helped his Hall credentials. I came up with a 199-181 record, still not really Hall-worthy.

SEASONGGSWL ERA W projL proj
19874422 6.35 22
1988141444 3.92 99
19895512 5.67 612
19904000 - 810
19913000 27.00 810
19921000 9.00 810
1993341296 4.11 96
1994202067 5.08 911
199528281111 3.64 1111
199633331612 2.93 1612
19972727119 4.34 119
19982828176 2.47 176
199932321312 4.23 1312
20003131168 3.20 168
200129291111 3.32 1111
200233331313 3.48 1313
20033030159 3.99 159
20043030108 3.21 108
20053326712 6.13 712
Total419382162132 3.80 199181

The hard part in those projects were his three consecutive years with zero wins. I based those on the two adjacent years before and after the futility streak. Whatever. I did make me wonder how many pitchers went through three consecutive seasons without a win and then went on to win at least once more at the major-league level. Well, there were 72 occurrences, so it's not as rare as I thought. However, few very went on to have successful careers. Here are the pitchers in the group who won the most. Leiter makes a better showing here:

PitcherFirst 0-W YrLast 0-W YrWL
Charlie Hough19701972216216
Wilbur Wood19611964164156
Al Leiter19901992162132
Gary Peters19591962124103
Dick Donovan1950195212299
Bill Singer19641966118127
Syl Johnson19251927112117
Fred Norman19621964104103
Cal McLish194619489292
Jesse Orosco199920018780
Nick Altrock191219158375
Phil Ortega196019634662
Carl Scheib194319454565

So good bye to Al Leiter the pitcher, and after his decent job as a color man in the playoffs a couple of years ago, I hope it's "Hello" to Al Leiter, the broadcaster. I mean, the guy's IQ is higher than the aggregate for the entire Fox crew. Then again, that's probably reason enough for him not to get the job.

By the way, my Toaster-mate Alex Belth's biography of Curt Flood was officially released today. I have my own signed copy in hand. Make sure to get one yourself. And congrats to Alex on publishing his first book. It couldn't happen to a nicer guy.

Comments
2006-03-21 09:04:21
1.   ChuckM
I'm not saying Leiter would've made the hall by any stretch of the imagination, but the early part of his career was a disaster thanks to Big Stein needing a young flamethrower to take some of the thunder away from Gooden in Shea. Leiter then hurt his shoulder and that was that-another brilliant idea from Steinbrenner...

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