Baseball Toaster Mike's Baseball Rants
Help
This is my site with my opinions, but I hope that, like Irish Spring, you like it, too.
Frozen Toast
Search
Google Search
Web
Toaster
Mike's Baseball Rants
Archives

2009
01 

2008
10  09  07 
06  05  04  03 

2007
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2006
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2005
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2004
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2003
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2002
12  11  10  09  08  07 
Links to MBBR
Walk Like a Brady Anderson
2006-02-22 20:53
by Mike Carminati

They other day when it was a slow news day and I was dredging up the corpse of Sammy Sosa's career for the umpteenth time, I was asked if there had been any players who did not "learn" how to take a walk (as I contended Sosa did), but rather who had a one-year walking renaissance and then went back to his old non-walking ways. Ergo, the Brady Anderson reference.

Anderson as you will recall famously hit 50 homers in 1996 after never hitting more than 21 in a season before that in his first eight seasons. In his six remaining seasons he would never hit more than 24.

So who was the base on ball's version of Brady Anderson?

Well, first I have to explain that the answer is not as easy as it sounds. In the early days, baseball kept redefining not only the strike zone but the number of balls required to draw a walk. From nine to eight in 1880, to seven the next year, to six in 1884, to five in 1886, and finally to the current four in 1889 (with the three-strike-yer-out rule coming the previous season).

So numbers fluctuated throughout the era. But for the heck of it we will include all seasons. What we will look for is the player season in which the player's walks per plate appearance ratio exceed his career ratio (minus the given season) by the most (400 PA minimum for the season and for the rest of the player's career).

Here are the tops of all time:

Ratio YrPlayerAgeBBTPA%Career BBCareer TPA%
4.28 1890John Peltz2938515.07445921.049
3.43 1890Deacon White4267525.1283076972.044
3.40 1885Joe Start4239413.0941644911.033
3.32 1890Jimmy Knowles3359551.107891481.060
3.30 1884Billy Geer2442470.08955950.058
2.93 1884Joe Start4135416.0841644911.033
2.88 1926Clarence Huber2942430.09859932.063
2.82 1907Art Hoelskoetter2427434.062401024.039
2.80 1890Bob Gilks2532582.055491449.034
2.75 1887Abner Dalrymple2945409.1102044384.047
2.59 1891Dick Johnston2838419.0911333135.042
2.58 1890Dave Orr3030498.060983411.029
2.57 1889John Reilly3034479.0711574935.032
2.57 1905Hunter Hill2632446.072571341.043
2.56 1892John Ward3282699.1174208084.052
2.47 1975Manny Sanguillen3148537.0892235380.041
2.45 1920Dave Robertson3040555.0721133034.037
2.41 1890Pop Smith3380552.1453254623.070
2.39 1886Jim Lillie2411427.026231541.015
2.39 1949Don Kolloway3049542.0901894244.045

Aside from an odd Manny Sanguillen or two, most of those player seasons were byproducts of a base on balls rules change. But still, quadrupling one's walk ratio in one season?

Anyway, to determine who was the true Brady Anderson of the BB (and to avoid these rule-induced pretenders), I will look just at those players from 1900 on:

Ratio YrPlayerAgeBBTPA%Career BBCareer TPA%
2.88 1926Clarence Huber2942430.09859932.063
2.82 1907Art Hoelskoetter2427434.062401024.039
2.57 1905Hunter Hill2632446.072571341.043
2.47 1975Manny Sanguillen3148537.0892235380.041
2.45 1920Dave Robertson3040555.0721133034.037
2.39 1949Don Kolloway3049542.0901894244.045
2.30 1916Shano Collins3059606.0973317036.047
2.30 1906Phil Lewis2143513.084951940.049
2.20 1915Ollie O'Mara2451653.078861639.052
2.20 1903Charlie Dexter2761536.1141983184.062
2.18 1909Chappy Charles2835431.08154940.057
2.17 1948Pete Suder3260593.1012885473.053
2.15 1909Moose McCormick2849476.103921375.067
2.11 1952Don Mueller2534496.0691674594.036
2.09 1936Tony Piet2966432.1532472914.085
2.09 1913Heinie Zimmerman2641510.0802425740.042
2.07 1984Claudell Washington2959479.1234687367.064
2.07 1978Omar Moreno2581621.1303875481.071
2.06 2002Carlos Lee2675576.1303124334.072
2.04 1946Dain Clay2653502.1061151699.068
2.02 1979Larry Bowa3361619.0994749103.052
2.02 1929Russ Scarritt2634593.057491121.044
2.01 1944Dick Siebert3262535.1162764251.065
2.01 1908Boss Schmidt2716454.035361592.023
1.99 2004Barry Bonds39232617.376231111636.199

Gentlemen, I give you the infamous El Guapo, er, I mean, Clarence Huber. It's a bit anticlimactic, eh? Well, how about if we instead shot for Sanguillen? He did have a far more substantial career (four times as many plate appearances) than the three men ahead of him. And he had a stellar year in 1975 when he had his Brady-esque walk total. His .391 on-base percentage that year was almost fifty points higher than his season-high for the rest of his career and nearly seventy more than his career average.

Sanguillen stands out even more if you look at player seasons from 1970 on:

Ratio YrPlayerAgeBBTPA%Career BBCareer TPA
2.47 1975Manny Sanguillen3148537.0892235380
2.07 1984Claudell Washington2959479.1234687367
2.07 1978Omar Moreno2581621.1303875481
2.06 2002Carlos Lee2675576.1303124334
2.02 1979Larry Bowa3361619.0994749103
1.99 2004Barry Bonds39232617.376231111636
1.97 1975Garry Maddox2542478.0883236775
1.95 1989Shawon Dunston2630512.0592036276
1.95 2000Desi Relaford2675502.1492913319
1.94 1982Bill Russell3363576.1094838020
1.93 2000Charlie Hayes3557434.1314205765
1.93 2002Alex Sanchez2531435.071761651
1.91 2003Ivan Rodriguez3155578.0954117740
1.91 1991Hubie Brooks3444407.1083876476
1.91 1970Frank Howard33132706.1877827353
1.91 1991Jerald Clark2731411.075831728
1.91 2000Mark Quinn2635544.064561166
1.90 1994Don Mattingly3360436.1385887721
1.90 1984Mel Hall2347463.1022674575
1.87 2000Pat Meares3136514.0701503560

Manny's great 1975 season leads me to another question: Does a high-walk season improve one's batting ratios? I would think that it would have a direct bearing on one's on-base percentage and, therefore, a strong effect on OPS (since one of its two components is OBP). Let's test that theory.

Here are the OPS and OBP numbers for the three tables above. First, the all-time list:

Ratio YrPlayerOPSCareer OPSOPS %OBPCareer OBPOBP%
4.28 1890John Peltz.587.592 0.99 .289.266 1.09
3.43 1890Deacon White.688.738 0.93 .381.346 1.10
3.40 1885Joe Start.670.690 0.97 .344.322 1.07
3.32 1890Jimmy Knowles.728.618 1.18 .359.288 1.25
3.30 1884Billy Geer.576.540 1.07 .285.261 1.09
2.93 1884Joe Start.680.690 0.99 .337.322 1.04
2.88 1926Clarence Huber.659.683 0.97 .324.313 1.04
2.82 1907Art Hoelskoetter.590.552 1.07 .298.271 1.10
2.80 1890Bob Gilks.507.535 0.95 .265.265 1.00
2.75 1887Abner Dalrymple.618.732 0.84 .311.323 0.96
2.59 1891Dick Johnston.609.651 0.94 .301.285 1.05
2.58 1890Dave Orr.948.867 1.09 .414.366 1.13
2.57 1889John Reilly.752.763 0.99 .340.325 1.05
2.57 1905Hunter Hill.532.510 1.04 .278.257 1.08
2.56 1892John Ward.656.655 1.00 .355.314 1.13
2.47 1975Manny Sanguillen.842.724 1.16 .391.326 1.20
2.45 1920Dave Robertson.815.727 1.12 .353.318 1.11
2.41 1890Pop Smith.675.600 1.12 .353.287 1.23
2.39 1886Jim Lillie.394.502 0.78 .197.230 0.85
2.39 1949Don Kolloway.714.658 1.09 .359.305 1.17

Now, since 1900:

Ratio YrPlayerOPSCareer OPSOPS %OBPCareer OBPOBP%
2.88 1926Clarence Huber.659.683 0.97 .324.313 1.04
2.82 1907Art Hoelskoetter.590.552 1.07 .298.271 1.10
2.57 1905Hunter Hill.532.510 1.04 .278.257 1.08
2.47 1975Manny Sanguillen.842.724 1.16 .391.326 1.20
2.45 1920Dave Robertson.815.727 1.12 .353.318 1.11
2.39 1949Don Kolloway.714.658 1.09 .359.305 1.17
2.30 1916Shano Collins.664.671 0.99 .323.306 1.05
2.30 1906Phil Lewis.588.563 1.04 .309.281 1.10
2.20 1915Ollie O'Mara.608.559 1.09 .308.280 1.10
2.20 1903Charlie Dexter.603.646 0.93 .323.318 1.01
2.18 1909Chappy Charles.588.536 1.10 .310.270 1.15
2.17 1948Pete Suder.666.627 1.06 .321.290 1.10
2.15 1909Moose McCormick.775.732 1.06 .373.340 1.09
2.11 1952Don Mueller.754.712 1.06 .333.322 1.03
2.09 1936Tony Piet.787.728 1.08 .400.350 1.15
2.09 1913Heinie Zimmerman.868.750 1.16 .379.331 1.15
2.07 1984Claudell Washington.842.745 1.13 .374.325 1.15
2.07 1978Omar Moreno.642.649 0.99 .339.306 1.11
2.06 2002Carlos Lee.843.825 1.02 .359.337 1.07
2.04 1946Dain Clay.599.626 0.96 .318.314 1.01
2.02 1979Larry Bowa.630.620 1.02 .316.300 1.06
2.02 1929Russ Scarritt.749.705 1.06 .337.320 1.05
2.01 1944Dick Siebert.810.710 1.14 .387.332 1.17
2.01 1908Boss Schmidt.617.577 1.07 .297.270 1.10
1.99 2004Barry Bonds1.4221.053 1.35 .609.442 1.38

Finally, since 1970:

Ratio YrPlayerOPSCareer OPSOPS %OBPCareer OBPOBP%
2.47 1975Manny Sanguillen.842.724 1.16 .391.326 1.20
2.07 1984Claudell Washington.842.745 1.13 .374.325 1.15
2.07 1978Omar Moreno.642.649 0.99 .339.306 1.11
2.06 2002Carlos Lee.843.825 1.02 .359.337 1.07
2.02 1979Larry Bowa.630.620 1.02 .316.300 1.06
1.99 2004Barry Bonds1.4221.053 1.35 .609.442 1.38
1.97 1975Garry Maddox.750.733 1.02 .344.320 1.07
1.95 1989Shawon Dunston.724.712 1.02 .320.296 1.08
1.95 2000Desi Relaford.651.669 0.97 .351.321 1.09
1.94 1982Bill Russell.697.648 1.08 .357.310 1.15
1.93 2000Charlie Hayes.718.714 1.01 .348.316 1.10
1.93 2002Alex Sanchez.701.702 1.00 .343.330 1.04
1.91 2003Ivan Rodriguez.843.830 1.02 .369.343 1.08
1.91 1991Hubie Brooks.733.717 1.02 .324.315 1.03
1.91 1970Frank Howard.962.851 1.13 .416.352 1.18
1.91 1991Jerald Clark.647.709 0.91 .295.301 0.98
1.91 2000Mark Quinn.830.805 1.03 .342.324 1.06
1.90 1994Don Mattingly.808.830 0.97 .397.358 1.11
1.90 1984Mel Hall.764.755 1.01 .339.318 1.07
1.87 2000Pat Meares.685.673 1.02 .305.299 1.02

OK, so it does not appear that on-base percentage and OPS don't seem to improve with high-walk years. But maybe that's just what happens at the extremes. Let's see how well they correlate.

I ran the numbers for all qualifying player seasons, and here's what I found. Actually, they correlate not that well. The coefficient for walk improvement and OBP improvement was just 0.517. To OPS it was just 0.257.

So what does this mean? Not a whole lot, and that's meaningful. Let's say you have an epiphany and learn to walk one year, but the next year rolls around and you decide this walk thing isn't so hot. You would probably be right. That is, you probably didn't notice a tremendous change in your production in that year. Maybe it's the players who persist in this unproductive walking thing for one than a year that eventually reap the benefits.

OK, finally, here are the players who had the least Brady-like walk years. Alfredo Griffin makes a cameo:

Ratio YrPlayerAgeBBTPA%Career BBCareer TPA%OPSCareer OPSOPS %OBPCareer OBPOBP%
0.12 1884Germany Smith213402.0074086995.058.657.620 1.06 .276.289 0.96
0.15 1886Dick Johnston233416.0071333135.042.579.651 0.89 .245.285 0.86
0.17 1884Jimmy Wolf224493.0082295239.044.724.714 1.01 .310.327 0.95
0.19 1984Alfredo Griffin264441.0093387330.046.546.604 0.90 .248.285 0.87
0.19 1884Mike Slattery174417.010621549.040.448.610 0.74 .216.284 0.76
0.19 1875George Wright282410.005672942.023.768.717 1.07 .337.317 1.06
0.19 1885Joe Mulvey263446.0071344213.032.666.642 1.04 .274.287 0.95
0.20 1905Ossee Schreckengost303429.0071023216.032.624.642 0.97 .278.297 0.94
0.21 1918Ollie O'Mara277489.014861639.052.484.559 0.87 .242.280 0.86
0.21 1909Whitey Alperman292442.005301758.017.619.599 1.03 .262.268 0.98
0.24 1884John Peltz237402.01745921.049.598.592 1.01 .236.266 0.89
0.24 1884Joe Sommer258495.0162383933.061.652.607 1.07 .293.297 0.99
0.28 1884Curt Welch2210439.0233814939.077.552.698 0.79 .248.345 0.72
0.28 1915Art Fletcher306599.0102036039.034.606.684 0.89 .280.319 0.88
0.28 1901Candy LaChance317564.0122195295.041.696.697 1.00 .314.318 0.99
0.28 1922Shano Collins367504.0143317036.047.647.671 0.97 .289.306 0.94
0.29 1884Marr Phillips275419.01223851.027.630.559 1.13 .279.263 1.06
0.29 1888Ed Daily257461.0151252703.046.545.601 0.91 .239.276 0.86
0.29 1884Joe Mulvey254405.0101344213.032.519.642 0.81 .237.287 0.83
0.29 1929Bill Dickey2214473.0306787060.096.832.868 0.96 .346.382 0.91
0.30 1884Pete Browning2313462.0284665315.088.829.869 0.95 .357.403 0.89
0.30 1909George Stovall316595.0101725596.031.581.631 0.92 .259.292 0.89
0.30 1966Tito Fuentes229564.0162986073.049.637.653 0.97 .276.307 0.90
0.31 1884Charlie Comiskey245470.0111976035.033.566.631 0.90 .253.293 0.86
0.31 1888Billy Sunday2512519.0231342155.062.532.617 0.86 .256.300 0.85
Comments
2006-02-23 07:16:05
1.   monkeyball
Yes, but you've left the most important questions unanswered. What was Sanguillen injecting himself with that allowed him to draw all those walks? And what year did they start testing for it?
2006-02-23 07:44:00
2.   ChuckM
What about guys that didn't "Learn" to take a walk, but merely got off to hot starts, resulting in pitchers becoming more cautious when the guy is at the plate, pitching around him, etc. I know it's subjective, but a guy like Sosa was always highly touted, if he bangs out a hot start, word gets around the league that he "figured it out" and thus, gets pitched more carefully (whether or not it's justified). I'm not talking about guys who have always shown the ability to walk and work the zone, but rather the Wily Mo Pena's and Soriano's of the world...

Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.