Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
The baseball writers' Hall of Fame vote was announced today and though the voters seemed to like a bunch of candidates (five got over fifty percent), they only took one to the big dance. Bruce Sutter is now a Hall of Fame or at least a Hall of Famer-elect.
Many will look at Sutter's stats and say that he doesn't deserve the honor, but if you study the history of relief pitching (as I have), his impact is without question. If that makes him more of a Candy Cummings-type of selection, so be it. It all ends up in the same place, as they say.
And though the naysayers had be believing that no one would garner enough votes to merit election, I should have seen the writing on the wall. Last year Sutter got two-thirds of the vote.
Of the previous 48 men who received at least two-thirds of the vote but not the requisite 75% for election, 73% made it to the Hall within by the next ballot. All of them got into the Hall eventually, though one (Nellie Fox) took 12 years.
As for the next four in the vote, all of whom received at least 50%, I say take heart. Gil Hodges is the only man to receive at least 50% of the writers' vote and not get elected (and he might finally get there next year if the vets can ever pick anyone again). As for Rice, Gossage, and Dawson, who all got at least 60% of the vote, in the past 54% of those receiving that high a percentage went in by the next ballot. 71% got in within two years.
Oh, and by the way, it's the second time since 1986 that at least three players have gotten at least 60% of the vote without reaching the magical 75%. '83 had the most with five, and 1946 and '51 are the only ones with four.
And don't feel so badly for Sutter given that he cleared the bar by a measly ten votes (390 were needed and he got 400). Plenty of previous Hall of Famers have Fosbury Flopped over the bar with less room to spare.
Sutter is the 24th to go in by ten votes or less:
Name | Yr | Votes | Needed | Over By | PCT |
Al Simmons | 1953 | 199 | 198 | 1 | 75.38% |
Fergie Jenkins | 1991 | 334 | 333 | 1 | 75.40% |
Ralph Kiner | 1975 | 273 | 272 | 1 | 75.41% |
Willie Keeler | 1939 | 207 | 206 | 1 | 75.55% |
Pie Traynor | 1948 | 93 | 91 | 2 | 76.86% |
Lefty Grove | 1947 | 123 | 121 | 2 | 76.40% |
Cy Young | 1937 | 153 | 151 | 2 | 76.12% |
Herb Pennock | 1948 | 94 | 91 | 3 | 77.69% |
Early Wynn | 1972 | 301 | 297 | 4 | 76.01% |
Jackie Robinson | 1962 | 124 | 120 | 4 | 77.50% |
Catfish Hunter | 1987 | 315 | 310 | 5 | 76.27% |
Ryne Sandberg | 2005 | 393 | 387 | 6 | 76.16% |
Bill Terry | 1954 | 195 | 189 | 6 | 77.38% |
Gabby Hartnett | 1955 | 195 | 189 | 6 | 77.69% |
Eddie Collins | 1939 | 213 | 206 | 7 | 77.74% |
Rogers Hornsby | 1942 | 182 | 175 | 7 | 78.11% |
Lou Boudreau | 1970 | 232 | 225 | 7 | 77.33% |
Joe Cronin | 1956 | 152 | 145 | 7 | 78.76% |
Mickey Cochrane | 1947 | 128 | 121 | 7 | 79.50% |
Gaylord Perry | 1991 | 342 | 333 | 9 | 77.20% |
Jimmie Foxx | 1951 | 179 | 170 | 9 | 79.20% |
Tony Perez | 2000 | 385 | 375 | 10 | 77.15% |
Whitey Ford | 1974 | 284 | 274 | 10 | 77.81% |
Bruce Sutter | 2006 | 400 | 390 | 10 | 76.92% |
It's not so bad for a pitcher to be in the company of Cy Young and Lefty Grove after all.
Percentage-wise, Sutter was a bit closer, coming in at 11th for the lowest among all Hall-of-Famers:
Name | Yr | Votes | Needed | Over By | PCT |
Al Simmons | 1953 | 199 | 198 | 1 | 75.38% |
Fergie Jenkins | 1991 | 334 | 333 | 1 | 75.40% |
Ralph Kiner | 1975 | 273 | 272 | 1 | 75.41% |
Willie Keeler | 1939 | 207 | 206 | 1 | 75.55% |
Early Wynn | 1972 | 301 | 297 | 4 | 76.01% |
Cy Young | 1937 | 153 | 151 | 2 | 76.12% |
Ryne Sandberg | 2005 | 393 | 387 | 6 | 76.16% |
Catfish Hunter | 1987 | 315 | 310 | 5 | 76.27% |
Lefty Grove | 1947 | 123 | 121 | 2 | 76.40% |
Pie Traynor | 1948 | 93 | 91 | 2 | 76.86% |
Bruce Sutter | 2006 | 400 | 390 | 10 | 76.92% |
Finally, the election of Sutter adds another Hall of Famer to the resumes of the Braves, Cubs, and Cards who are now third, fourth, and fifth (respectively) all time in Hall of Fame players. Here are the all-time standings. Surprisingly, the Yankees place seventh, one spot behind the Red Sox and just one ahead of the lowly Phils (though the Phils are famous for trading future Hall-of-Famers early in their careers):
Team | Active? | #Players |
San Francisco Giants | Y | 54 |
Los Angeles Dodgers | Y | 48 |
Atlanta Braves | Y | 45 |
Chicago Cubs | Y | 40 |
St. Louis Cardinals | Y | 37 |
Boston Red Sox | Y | 36 |
New York Yankees | Y | 34 |
Philadelphia Phillies | Y | 33 |
Oakland Athletics | Y | 32 |
Pittsburgh Pirates | Y | 32 |
Cincinnati Reds | Y | 30 |
Cleveland Indians | Y | 27 |
Chicago White Sox | Y | 22 |
Baltimore Orioles | Y | 21 |
Minnesota Twins | Y | 20 |
Detroit Tigers | Y | 19 |
New York Mets | Y | 9 |
Anaheim Angels | Y | 8 |
Houston Astros | Y | 8 |
Louisville Colonels | N | 6 |
Cleveland Spiders | N | 6 |
Troy Trojans | N | 5 |
Milwaukee Brewers | Y | 5 |
Baltimore Orioles | N | 5 |
San Diego Padres | Y | 5 |
Kansas City Royals | Y | 4 |
New York Giants | N | 4 |
Boston Reds | N | 4 |
Buffalo Bisons | N | 4 |
Providence Grays | N | 3 |
Texas Rangers | Y | 3 |
Toronto Blue Jays | Y | 3 |
Chicago Whales | N | 3 |
Detroit Wolverines | N | 2 |
Newark Pepper | N | 2 |
Pittsburgh Burghers | N | 2 |
Montreal Expos | Y | 2 |
Washington Senators | N | 2 |
St. Louis Terriers | N | 2 |
Brooklyn Ward's Wonders | N | 1 |
Brooklyn Tip-Tops | N | 1 |
Boston Red Stockings | N | 1 |
Baltimore Terrapins | N | 1 |
Boston Reds | N | 1 |
Chicago Pirates | N | 1 |
Tampa Bay Devil Rays | Y | 1 |
Cincinnati Kelly's Killers | N | 1 |
St. Louis Brown Stockings | N | 1 |
Cleveland Infants | N | 1 |
Seattle Mariners | Y | 1 |
Rockford Forest Citys | N | 1 |
Indianapolis Hoosiers | N | 1 |
Kansas City Cowboys | N | 1 |
Worcester Ruby Legs | N | 1 |
Middletown Mansfields | N | 1 |
Philadelphia Athletics | N | 1 |
New York Metropolitans | N | 1 |
Cincinnati Reds | N | 1 |
https://griddle.baseballtoaster.com/archives/311591.html)
The only current or non-eligible Yanks I can think of that are likely to go in are Jeter, Rivera and Torre and maybe Bernie Williams (though given Torre, I think Billy Martin should also go in as a mgr). They'll piggyback guys like Clemens & Unit. Rodriguez might actually go in as a Yank assuming he finishes his contract in NY. But still, I don't see them moving up on this list.
If you made an inner circle, however, I bet the Yankees' rank would go up.
In your relief study in which Goose ranked I think only behind Wilhelm, where did Sutter rank?
From http://www.all-baseball.com/mikesbballrants/archives/011977.html, Sutter is ranked second behind Dan Quisenberry under the "Bruce Sutter" archetype (boy, that's embarassing). He's 17th overall (through the 2003 season--see http://www.all-baseball.com/mikesbballrants/archives/011943.html).
I also have Hall of Fame evaluations for relievers at the bottom of the first link above. Basically, Goosage and Mariano Rivera are clear-cut Hall of Famers according to the results. Sutter is borderline, but I posit my argument for his enshrinement based on his role as a trailblazer.
Excellent work. I wonder what the numbers for Rivera are right now after his stellar (as usual) 2004 and 2005 seasons.
Gossage does have some legitimate beef with the baseball writers. This is truly the definition of ridiculous.
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