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Roger Clemens won his record seventh Cy Young today and his first in the National League. I didn't have him on my ballot, but what the hey, he is the best pitcher I've ever seen, so what the heck.
Here's a comparison of the pitchers who received Cy Young votes and a few of the more salient non-vote getters based on Bill James' Win Shares, Baseball Prospectus' Value Over Replacement Player (VORP), and Baseball Reference's Adjusted ERA (ERA+). I have split the table in two to fit on the page but note the inconsistency between the players' performance and their votes:
Pitcher | Team | Batting | Pitching | Fielding | Total WS | Rank | VORP | Rk | ERA+ | RK |
Johnson | ARI | -1.8 | 26.9 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 69.3 | 1 | 171 | 4 |
Sheets | MIL | -2.3 | 22.6 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 66.8 | 2 | 154 | 6 |
Clemens | HOU | -1.3 | 21.3 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 61.3 | 4 | 145 | 7 |
Zambrano | CHC | -1.1 | 20.5 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 61.3 | 4 | 165 | 5 |
Pavano | FLO | -0.9 | 20.6 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 62.4 | 3 | 137 | 10 |
Schmidt | SFG | -1.7 | 20.7 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 60.1 | 6 | 139 | 8 |
Lidge | HOU | 0 | 17.1 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 39.0 | 11 | 227 | 1 |
Peavy | SD | 16 | 11 | 57.5 | 8 | 177 | 3 | |||
Hernandez | MON | 0.6 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 58.3 | 7 | 115 | 12 |
Gagne | LA | 16 | 11 | 28.2 | 12 | 189 | 2 | |||
Perez | PIT | -1.6 | 18.5 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 54.5 | 9 | 139 | 8 |
Oswalt | HOU | -1.3 | 19.8 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 51.8 | 10 | 123 | 11 |
Now the final rankings:
Pitcher | Avg Rk | CY Votes | Rk |
Johnson | 2.00 | 97 | 2 |
Sheets | 3.33 | 1 | 9 |
Clemens | 4.33 | 140 | 1 |
Zambrano | 4.67 | 8 | 6 |
Pavano | 5.00 | 6 | 7 |
Schmidt | 6.33 | 13 | 5 |
Lidge | 7.00 | 1 | 9 |
Peavy | 7.33 | 0 | NA |
Hernandez | 8.00 | 0 | NA |
Gagne | 8.33 | 3 | 8 |
Perez | 8.67 | 0 | NA |
Oswalt | 9.67 | 19 | 3 |
It's particularly odd that Ben Sheets, who was second in my comparison, received just one third-place vote. Well, then again a losing record (12-14) will do that.
Anyway, Clemens becomes just the fourth pitcher to win a Cy Young in both leagues. Those four are as follows:
Name | Lg | Yr(s) |
Gaylord Perry | AL | 1972 |
NL | 1978 | |
Pedro Martinez | AL | 1999, 2000 |
NL | 1997 | |
Randy Johnson | AL | 1995 |
NL | 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002 | |
Roger Clemens | AL | 1986, 1987, 1991, 1997, 1998, 2001 |
NL | 2004 |
There are any number of eccentricities—I am loath to call them records—surrounding Clemens winning his seventh Cy Young. First, the stretch between his first and last Cy Young is the longest by 8 years of any pitcher:
Name | First CYA | Last CYA | Diff |
Roger Clemens | 1986 | 2004 | 18 |
Steve Carlton | 1972 | 1982 | 10 |
Tom Glavine | 1991 | 1998 | 7 |
Randy Johnson | 1995 | 2002 | 7 |
Tom Seaver | 1969 | 1975 | 6 |
Gaylord Perry | 1972 | 1978 | 6 |
Bret Saberhagen | 1985 | 1989 | 4 |
Sandy Koufax | 1963 | 1966 | 3 |
Pedro Martinez | 1997 | 2000 | 3 |
Jim Palmer | 1973 | 1976 | 3 |
Greg Maddux | 1992 | 1995 | 3 |
Bob Gibson | 1968 | 1970 | 2 |
Denny McLain | 1968 | 1969 | 1 |
He also becomes the first pitcher to win the award in a year predominately after he turned 40. Here are the oldest (Note the age represent the pitcher's age as of July 1 of the given year):
Name | Yr | Age |
Roger Clemens | 2004 | 41 |
Gaylord Perry | 1978 | 39 |
Early Wynn | 1959 | 39 |
Roger Clemens | 2001 | 38 |
Randy Johnson | 2002 | 38 |
Steve Carlton | 1982 | 37 |
Dennis Eckersley | 1992 | 37 |
Randy Johnson | 2001 | 37 |
Randy Johnson | 2000 | 36 |
Warren Spahn | 1957 | 36 |
Steve Carlton | 1980 | 35 |
Roger Clemens | 1998 | 35 |
Randy Johnson | 1999 | 35 |
Actually, Clemens and Johnson are just the second and third pitchers to receive votes after turning 40. The other was Gaylord Perry in 1978, who just turned 40 on September 15 of that year (technically he is considered as being 39 for the season).
Clemens also becomes the 25th pitcher to win a Cy Young for a league in which he had fewer than 20 wins:
Name | Yr | W |
Eric Gagne | 2003 | 2 |
Mark Davis | 1989 | 4 |
Steve Bedrosian | 1987 | 5 |
Rollie Fingers | 1981 | 6 |
Bruce Sutter | 1979 | 6 |
Dennis Eckersley | 1992 | 7 |
Willie Hernandez | 1984 | 9 |
Sparky Lyle | 1977 | 13 |
Fernando Valenzuela | 1981 | 13 |
Mike Marshall | 1974 | 15 |
Rick Sutcliffe | 1984 | 16 |
David Cone | 1994 | 16 |
Greg Maddux | 1994 | 16 |
Randy Johnson | 1999 | 17 |
Pedro Martinez | 1997 | 17 |
Pete Vuckovich | 1982 | 18 |
Pedro Martinez | 2000 | 18 |
Randy Johnson | 1995 | 18 |
Mike Scott | 1986 | 18 |
Roger Clemens | 1991 | 18 |
Roger Clemens | 2004 | 18 |
Greg Maddux | 1995 | 19 |
John Denny | 1983 | 19 |
Tom Seaver | 1973 | 19 |
Randy Johnson | 2000 | 19 |
Of the above pitchers, the top nine of ten were relievers. Valenzuela, Cone, and Maddux pitched in a strike year. And Sutcliffe started 1984 in the American League. So, technically 17 is the lowest for a Cy Young-winning starter in a full season. Maybe Randy Johnson only getting 16 scuttled his prospects this year though it's hard to belief that two wins made all the difference, especially considering that Clemens pitched on a playoff-caliber team and Johnson pitched for the worst team in baseball. At least they didd't bite on Roy Oswalt's 20 wins.
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