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Competitive Balancing Act III, Scene II—Games Back to Where You Once Belonged: Competitiveness Expressed in the Playoff Race Quality
2004-09-17 00:15
by Mike Carminati

Other entries in the series:

Competitive Balancing Act I—The King James Version: An Overview of the Literature, Scenes I, II, III, and IV
Competitive Balancing Act II—This Is Pop: Redefining Large- and Small-Market by Population, Scenes I, II, III, and IV
Competitive Balancing Act III—Games Back to Where You Once Belonged, Scene I
Competitive Balancing Act IV—C'mon Freddy, Everyone into the Poo-el: Reviewing the Available Player Pool
Competitive Balancing Act V—Natural Resources: Attendance and Competitive Balance

In the last installment we showed that the last three decades have been, by far, the best for competitive balance based on teams in the playoff hunt at the All-Star break. Next, let's break down historically (by decade) how teams in each strata at the break have finished the season:

POS
Decade1stGB1%2%3%4%5 to 10%Grand Total
1930s<=5 GB1142%935%415%14%14%26
<10 GB1425%1425%1018%916%916%56
>=12 GB0%0%24%24%4391%47
Other0%111%111%333%444%9
1930s Total1413%1513%1312%1413%5650%112
1940s<=5 GB1943%1125%511%511%49%44
<10 GB12%717%921%410%2150%42
>=12 GB0%0%35%610%5085%59
Other0%213%320%533%533%15
1940s Total2013%2013%2013%2013%8050%160
1950s<=5 GB1934%1425%1018%713%611%56
<10 GB2026%1823%1519%1013%1418%77
>=12 GB0%11%23%710%5785%67
Other0%16%319%319%956%16
1950s Total2013%2013%2013%2013%8050%160
1960s<=5 GB2034%1729%915%814%58%59
<10 GB2121%1818%1818%1212%3332%102
>=12 GB0%11%34%56%6988%78
Other16%317%16%528%844%18
1960s Total2211%2211%2211%2211%11056%198
1970s<=5 GB3646%1418%1418%911%68%79
<10 GB3930%3224%2721%2015%1310%131
>=12 GB0%11%1011%1516%6672%92
Other14%730%313%626%626%23
1970s Total4016%4016%4016%4117%8535%246
1980s<=5 GB3734%2725%2220%1312%109%109
<10 GB4023%3821%3218%3017%3721%177
>=12 GB0%12%35%610%5284%62
Other0%15%524%419%1152%21
1980s Total4015%4015%4015%4015%10038%260
1990s<=5 GB5044%3531%1513%87%54%113
<10 GB5230%4626%3319%2213%2313%176
>=12 GB0%67%1619%2024%4250%84
Other0%16%317%950%528%18
1990s Total5219%5319%5219%5118%7025%278
2000s<=5 GB2349%1226%1123%12%00%47
<10 GB2536%2029%1623%811%11%70
>=12 GB0%25%716%1227%2352%44
Other0%117%117%467%00%6
2000s Total2521%2319%2420%2420%2420%120
Grand Total23315%23315%23115%23215%60539%1534

So there have been more teams close to the division leaders at the break and those teams have won the division with more regularity. Of course, adding more divisions will do that.

To be continued…

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