Parts I, II, III, IV, V, VI, VII, VIII, and IX
At the risk of beating a dead horse along with his jockey and the Hollywood producer in whose bed the horse's head was placed, I want to make one last foray into the history of the MVP vote. The last topic I want to cover is voter discrepancy between the two leagues.
It seems that for about the last decade NL voters had regularly given the award to the right man whereas the Juan Gonzalezes and Mo Vaughns also seemed to percolate to top of the AL vote. Maybe it's just the "Bonds Effect". Having Barry Bonds in the league has made picking the MVP pretty easy over the last bunch of years.
However, I decided to put the results to the test. Does one league get the MVP award "right" more often than the other? Has it changed over time?
So I ran the numbers for all players with non-zero Win Shares in years in which the MVP award was given away, and here's what I got:
It seems that the AL award was very accurate and the NL was not initially. Within a decade, that had reversed. Then for about five decades they were about equal. Since the 1980s, however, it seems that the NL has been consistently more accurate, if every so slight so.
Apparently, it wasn't our imagination: the AL voters have just done an inferior job of picking MVPs for quite some time. This effect is no Barry Bonds-generated phenomena. It's been happening since Bobby Bonds was playing.
OK, now I feel ready to tackle the Cy Young award.