Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Roberto Alomar quietly, and mercifully, retired from the Devil Ray camp last week. Now, I'm not going to try to convince you that Almoar was a Hall of Famer. I believe that his inclusion among the game's greats is a fait accompli. The question remains whether he will be a first-ballot type or have to wait like fellow second baseman Ryne Sandberg, who seemed a no-brainer as well. We'll find out around 2010.
Given the psyche of the average Hall voter, instead of plumbing those depths, I'd rather focus on two other questions regarding Alomar's career. My first question is where Alomar ranks among the great second baseman. Second, I have to wonder where he would rank if not for his precipitous fall after being traded to the Mets in 2002.
Alomar had arguably his best year in 2001 at the ripe age of 33. He finished fourth in the AL MVP vote, had career highs in OPS (.956), batting average (.336), and OBP (.541), and registered a career-high park-adjusted OPS of 149 (seventh best in the AL).
Then after three successful years with the Indians, he was traded to Los Metsgoes replacing outgoing free agent Edgardo Alfonzo. The next to years witnessed the Mets, one year removed from the Series, fall to one of the worst teams in the NL as well as Alomar go from arguably the best second baseman in baseball to a guy who couldn't keep a job.
This mirrored an earlier fall from grace at second by an Indian turned Met. That is Carlos Baerga, a player who was being compared to Hornsby during his first six years in Cleveland and then after two-plus years as a Met became a journeyman supernumerary.
Both players regained a bit of success in Arizona, Baerga in 2003 and Alomar last year (117 OPS+). Oddly, Alomar was traded to the White Sox in each of the last two seasons ostensibly for the pennant drive, and in both seasons was a drag on the lineup (2003 OPS+ of 79 and 13 in 2004).
Anyway, I thought how unusual was a sudden decline like Alomar suffered as a nuevo Met? Let's see
Since 1900 eighteen players have had a larger dropoff in OPS than Alomar's .248 difference from 2001 to 2002 (based on players qualifying for the batting title). Oddly, a Hall of Fame second baseman tops the list:
Name | OPS Diff | Yr1 | OPS | Yr2 | OPS |
Rogers Hornsby | .394 | 1925 | 1.245 | 1926 | .851 |
Scott Brosius | .333 | 1996 | .909 | 1997 | .576 |
Max Carey | .315 | 1925 | .909 | 1926 | .594 |
Jeff Bagwell | .307 | 1994 | 1.201 | 1995 | .894 |
John Mayberry | .300 | 1975 | .963 | 1976 | .663 |
Don Buford | .297 | 1971 | .890 | 1972 | .593 |
Brook Jacoby | .292 | 1987 | .928 | 1988 | .635 |
Larry Sheets | .277 | 1987 | .921 | 1988 | .645 |
Carl Yastrzemski | .271 | 1970 | 1.044 | 1971 | .772 |
Cy Seymour | .271 | 1905 | .988 | 1906 | .718 |
Jimmy Sheckard | .268 | 1903 | .899 | 1904 | .630 |
Dale Murphy | .263 | 1987 | .997 | 1988 | .734 |
Darin Erstad | .260 | 2000 | .951 | 2001 | .691 |
Cito Gaston | .257 | 1970 | .907 | 1971 | .650 |
Norm Cash | .254 | 1961 | 1.148 | 1962 | .894 |
Babe Ruth | .252 | 1921 | 1.359 | 1922 | 1.106 |
Cal Ripken Jr. | .251 | 1991 | .940 | 1992 | .689 |
Boog Powell | .251 | 1964 | 1.005 | 1965 | .754 |
Roberto Alomar | .248 | 2001 | .956 | 2002 | .708 |
Also, the Mets suffered two straight years of blight at second: Edgardo Alfonzo's 2000-01 decline by 242 OPS points was 24th. Sadly, Baerga's similar deterioration upon becoming Met (1995-96) was just 133 points (448th).
OK, given that Alomar suffered a career-curtailing turn for the worse at age 34, how high can he rank among the all-time best. Here are the 15 second sackers with at least 300 Win Shares (min. 1000 games at second):
Name | WS | BA | OBP | SLUG | OPS |
Eddie Collins | 574 | .333 | .424 | .429 | .853 |
Joe Morgan | 512 | .271 | .392 | .427 | .819 |
Rogers Hornsby | 502 | .358 | .434 | .577 | 1.010 |
Nap Lajoie | 496 | .338 | .380 | .467 | .847 |
Craig Biggio | 395 | .286 | .373 | .435 | .807 |
Rod Carew | 384 | .328 | .393 | .429 | .822 |
Charlie Gehringer | 383 | .320 | .404 | .480 | .884 |
Roberto Alomar | 376 | .300 | .371 | .443 | .814 |
Frankie Frisch | 366 | .316 | .369 | .432 | .801 |
Lou Whitaker | 351 | .276 | .363 | .426 | .789 |
Ryne Sandberg | 346 | .285 | .344 | .452 | .795 |
Bobby Grich | 329 | .266 | .371 | .424 | .794 |
Willie Randolph | 312 | .276 | .373 | .351 | .724 |
Bid McPhee | 305 | .271 | .355 | .372 | .727 |
Nellie Fox | 304 | .288 | .348 | .363 | .710 |
Alomar ranks eighth using Win Shares. However, where did he rank at the end of 2001 among 33-year-old second basemen?:
Name | WS | BA | OBP | SLUG | OPS |
Rogers Hornsby | 472 | .363 | .436 | .584 | 1.020 |
Eddie Collins | 430 | .329 | .419 | .426 | .845 |
Joe Morgan | 382 | .282 | .402 | .445 | .847 |
Roberto Alomar | 345 | .306 | .378 | .455 | .833 |
Nap Lajoie | 340 | .348 | .386 | .502 | .888 |
Ryne Sandberg | 309 | .290 | .349 | .457 | .806 |
Frankie Frisch | 306 | .321 | .372 | .446 | .818 |
Craig Biggio | 306 | .292 | .380 | .437 | .817 |
Rod Carew | 298 | .333 | .395 | .444 | .839 |
Larry Doyle | 289 | .290 | .357 | .408 | .765 |
Bobby Doerr | 281 | .288 | .362 | .461 | .823 |
Billy Herman | 278 | .305 | .366 | .407 | .773 |
Charlie Gehringer | 276 | .325 | .396 | .488 | .885 |
Bobby Grich | 264 | .267 | .370 | .424 | .795 |
Nellie Fox | 262 | .294 | .355 | .371 | .726 |
Alomar at age 33 seemed on target to be in the argument for best second baseman ever. Today, he retires as one of the best, but he leaves the best ever argument to Hornsby, Collins, Morgan, and Lajoie.
After the 2001 season, Alomar's career line was .306./378/.455/.833
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