I finally get to wear my Phillies 2007 NL East Champs shirt, and it is on the night that they most probably will be eliminated.
As you have heard, one team in 21 tries has won a best-of-five after falling behind 0-2 at home. That was the 2001 Yankees. The Phils have better worse odds just to win the division, but how many times can they come back.
Two-thirds of those 21 teams who fell behind 0-2 at home have been swept out of the series in the third game. With the Cubs at the brink of elimination as I type, and the Phils, Yanks, and Angels down 0-2, this has been rather a lackluster division series round so far.
the only interesting thing about the lopsided series is that it might be the first time ever that all four series ended in sweeps. The Phils are the only one of the four potential sweepees who lost at home, so the odds for the other three are slightly better, but not much. 62% of the teams down 0-2 on the road went on to lose game three at home.
The most sweeps in the LDS round is two, done seven times including the last two seasons. Should all four LDS series end in sweeps it would mark the first time that a postseason witnessed four sweeps. The most is three, done three times (1995, 1998, 2005, and 2006).
So it might be that the most exciting thing that will happen is what won't happen: the trailing teams won't win and baseball will witness a new "record".