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Silva Lining
2005-12-28 15:03
by Mike Carminati

The Twins had a rather disappointing season in 2005, losing the division crown they had owned for three seasons and falling all the way to third with an 83-79 record. The Twins revamped their lineup with a number of young players (Justin Morneau, Lew Ford, Joe Mauer, etc.). In fact, they had no starting position player over 31 (Shannon Stewart). Unfortunately, they ended up dead last in runs scored in the American League.

However, their pitching staff was very good all around. They finished with a 3.71 ERA and 118 adjusted ERA and had a good young rotation built around three 26-year-olds. They were Johan Santana, arguably the best pitcher in the AL; Kyle Lohse; and Carlos Silva.

Since being traded by the Phils with Nick Punto for Eric Milton in a deal that is true to the execrable Phils' trading history (though nowhere near as bad as the Sandberg and Jenkins deals), Silva has been one of the most surprising young starters in the AL. He won 14 games in 2004 after having started just one game in his previous major-league career. Then in an injury-plagued 2005, he posted a 3.44 ERA, good for fifth best in the AL.

He also did something that has been done just once since 1919, something that I completely overlooked until a message started floating around the SABR-L online news letter. So what did he do? Silva walked as many men (9) as games he won.

Big deal, right? Well, the poster at SABR-L wanted to know if any other starter had performed such a feat, to allow no more walks than games won. And aside from Bret Saberhagen in 1994, no starter since 1919 has appeared in at least ten games and been able to walk fewer men than the games he won (that's 10 games pitched and at least half being games started).

OK, if that doesn't float your boat. He averaged under one-half walk per nine innings pitched (actually .430). No starter has done that over a full season in over 120 years (.433 by Guy Hecker in 1882). And no one has bettered his walks per nine innings ratio in 125 years (.276 by George Bradley in 1880). The last time someone had a better walks-per-nine-innings ratio, the National League had just changed the bases on balls rule from nine to eight called balls (!).

I have not much more to add, but, "Wow." You just don't see something happen all that often in baseball that hasn't been done in 125 years. I guess that's why they haven't happened in 125 years. It sure beats Haley's comet (and destroys Frehley's Comet).

By the way, no one since 1876 has had fewer strikeouts than wins. Of course, they had not yet arrived at the three-strikes-yer-out rule. And for the truly trivia-starved, only eighteen starters have had fewer strikeout and fewer walks than wins.

All of the above is listed below in tabular form for the insomniacs in the crowd:

BB>=W Yr W L PCT BB K G GS ERA
Carlos Silva 2005 9 8 .529 9 71 27 27 3.44
Bret Saberhagen 1994 14 4 .778 13 143 24 24 2.74
Slim Sallee 1919 21 7 .750 20 24 29 28 2.06
Christy Mathewson 1914 24 13 .649 23 80 41 35 3.00
Christy Mathewson 1913 25 11 .694 21 93 40 35 2.06
George Bradley 1884 25 15 .625 23 168 41 38 2.71
Henry Boyle 1884 15 3 .833 10 88 19 16 1.74
Jim Whitney 1883 37 21 .638 35 345 62 56 2.24
Guy Hecker 1882 6 6 .500 5 33 13 11 1.30
Denny Driscoll 1882 13 9 .591 12 59 23 23 1.21
Fred Goldsmith 1880 21 3 .875 18 90 26 24 1.75
George Bradley 1880 13 8 .619 6 54 28 20 1.38
Pud Galvin 1879 37 27 .578 31 136 66 66 2.28
John Ward 1879 47 19 .712 36 239 70 60 2.15
Tommy Bond 1879 43 19 .694 24 155 64 64 1.96
Terry Larkin 1879 31 23 .574 30 142 58 58 2.44
Tommy Bond 1878 40 19 .678 33 182 59 59 2.06
Tommy Bond 1877 40 17 .702 36 170 58 58 2.11
George Bradley 1876 45 19 .703 38 103 64 64 1.23
Tommy Bond 1876 31 13 .705 13 88 45 45 1.68
Candy Cummings 1876 16 8 .667 14 26 24 24 1.67
Al Spalding 1876 47 12 .797 26 39 61 60 1.75
Al Spalding 1875 55 5 .917 14 9 72 63 1.52
Cherokee Fisher 1875 22 19 .537 9 8 41 41 1.92
Bobby Mathews 1875 29 38 .433 23 10 70 70 2.41
Candy Cummings 1875 35 12 .745 6 8 48 47 1.60
Jack Manning 1875 15 2 .882 14 10 27 17 2.19
Tommy Bond 1875 19 16 .543 10 8 40 39 1.56
George Bradley 1875 33 26 .559 16 9 60 60 2.05
George Zettlein 1875 29 22 .569 16 18 52 52 2.04
Joe Blong 1875 3 12 .200 2 11 15 15 3.35
Dick McBride 1875 44 14 .759 25 10 60 60 1.97
Al Spalding 1874 52 16 .765 23 11 71 69 2.35
Tommy Bond 1874 22 32 .407 10 11 55 55 3.19
Bobby Mathews 1874 42 22 .656 39 10 65 65 2.30
Candy Cummings 1874 28 26 .519 21 11 54 54 2.88
Cherokee Fisher 1874 14 23 .378 10 11 39 35 3.04
Dick McBride 1874 33 22 .600 29 10 55 55 2.55
Al Spalding 1873 41 14 .745 28 31 60 55 2.46
Dick McBride 1872 30 14 .682 26 44 47 47 3.01
George Zettlein 1872 15 16 .484 14 25 34 31 2.67
Al Spalding 1872 38 8 .826 27 27 48 48 1.98
Candy Cummings 1872 33 20 .623 30 43 55 55 2.52

 

K<=W Yr W L PCT BB K G GS ERA
Al Spalding 1876 47 12 .797 26 39 61 60 1.75
Cherokee Fisher 1875 22 19 .537 9 8 41 41 1.92
Al Spalding 1875 55 5 .917 14 9 72 63 1.52
Jack Manning 1875 15 2 .882 14 10 27 17 2.19
George Zettlein 1875 29 22 .569 16 18 52 52 2.04
Bobby Mathews 1875 29 38 .433 23 10 70 70 2.41
George Bradley 1875 33 26 .559 16 9 60 60 2.05
Dick McBride 1875 44 14 .759 25 10 60 60 1.97
Candy Cummings 1875 35 12 .745 6 8 48 47 1.60
Tommy Bond 1875 19 16 .543 10 8 40 39 1.56
Al Spalding 1874 52 16 .765 23 11 71 69 2.35
Bobby Mathews 1874 42 22 .656 39 10 65 65 2.30
Candy Cummings 1874 28 26 .519 21 11 54 54 2.88
Cherokee Fisher 1874 14 23 .378 10 11 39 35 3.04
Dick McBride 1874 33 22 .600 29 10 55 55 2.55
George Zettlein 1874 27 30 .474 46 12 57 57 3.07
Tommy Bond 1874 22 32 .407 10 11 55 55 3.19
George Zettlein 1873 36 15 .706 41 28 51 51 2.70
Jim Britt 1873 17 36 .321 40 15 54 54 3.89
Bill Stearns 1873 7 25 .219 15 4 32 32 4.55
Asa Brainard 1873 5 7 .417 9 3 14 14 4.14
Al Spalding 1873 41 14 .745 28 31 60 55 2.46
Al Spalding 1872 38 8 .826 27 27 48 48 1.98
Asa Brainard 1872 2 9 .182 5 1 11 11 6.52
Phonney Martin 1872 3 9 .250 6 3 18 12 4.86
John McMullin 1871 12 15 .444 75 12 29 29 5.53
Dick McBride 1871 18 5 .783 40 15 25 25 4.58
K<=W, BB<=W Yr W L PCT BB K G GS ERA
Al Spalding 1876 47 12 .797 26 39 61 60 1.75
Candy Cummings 1875 35 12 .745 6 8 48 47 1.60
Jack Manning 1875 15 2 .882 14 10 27 17 2.19
George Zettlein 1875 29 22 .569 16 18 52 52 2.04
George Bradley 1875 33 26 .559 16 9 60 60 2.05
Dick McBride 1875 44 14 .759 25 10 60 60 1.97
Al Spalding 1875 55 5 .917 14 9 72 63 1.52
Cherokee Fisher 1875 22 19 .537 9 8 41 41 1.92
Tommy Bond 1875 19 16 .543 10 8 40 39 1.56
Bobby Mathews 1875 29 38 .433 23 10 70 70 2.41
Al Spalding 1874 52 16 .765 23 11 71 69 2.35
Bobby Mathews 1874 42 22 .656 39 10 65 65 2.30
Cherokee Fisher 1874 14 23 .378 10 11 39 35 3.04
Dick McBride 1874 33 22 .600 29 10 55 55 2.55
Tommy Bond 1874 22 32 .407 10 11 55 55 3.19
Candy Cummings 1874 28 26 .519 21 11 54 54 2.88
Al Spalding 1873 41 14 .745 28 31 60 55 2.46
Al Spalding 1872 38 8 .826 27 27 48 48 1.98

 

Lowest BB/9IP Yr W L PCT BB K G GS ERA BB/9IP
Candy Cummings 1875 35 12 .745 6 8 48 47 1.60 .129
Joe Blong 1875 3 12 .200 2 11 15 15 3.35 .140
Tommy Bond 1874 22 32 .407 10 11 55 55 3.19 .181
Al Spalding 1875 55 5 .917 14 9 72 63 1.52 .219
Cherokee Fisher 1875 22 19 .537 9 8 41 41 1.92 .227
George Zettlein 1876 4 20 .167 6 10 28 25 3.88 .231
Cherokee Fisher 1876 4 20 .167 6 29 28 24 3.02 .235
Bill Stearns 1875 1 14 .067 4 15 17 16 5.36 .255
Tommy Bond 1875 19 16 .543 10 8 40 39 1.56 .256
George Bradley 1875 33 26 .559 16 9 60 60 2.05 .269
Bill Stearns 1872 0 11 .000 3 2 11 11 6.91 .273
George Bradley 1880 13 8 .619 6 54 28 20 1.38 .276
Cherokee Fisher 1874 14 23 .378 10 11 39 35 3.04 .284
Tommy Bond 1876 31 13 .705 13 88 45 45 1.68 .287
George Zettlein 1875 29 22 .569 16 18 52 52 2.04 .311
Tricky Nichols 1875 4 29 .121 10 10 34 33 3.03 .313
Bobby Mathews 1875 29 38 .433 23 10 70 70 2.41 .330
George Bechtel 1875 5 13 .278 6 24 18 18 3.56 .333
Al Spalding 1874 52 16 .765 23 11 71 69 2.35 .336
Hugh Campbell 1873 2 16 .111 7 5 19 18 2.84 .382
Tommy Bond 1879 43 19 .694 24 155 64 64 1.96 .389
Candy Cummings 1874 28 26 .519 21 11 54 54 2.88 .392
Dick McBride 1875 44 14 .759 25 10 60 60 1.97 .418
Bobby Mathews 1876 21 34 .382 24 37 56 56 2.86 .419
Carlos Silva 2005 9 8 .529 9 71 27 27 3.44 .430
Guy Hecker 1882 6 6 .500 5 33 13 11 1.30 .433

 

Lowest BB/9IP Since 1900 Yr W L PCT BB K G GS ERA BB/9IP
Carlos Silva 2005 9 8 .529 9 71 27 27 3.44 .430
Hal Brown 1963 5 11 .313 8 68 26 20 3.31 .509
Earl Yingling 1913 8 8 .500 10 40 26 13 2.58 .614
Babe Adams 1920 17 13 .567 18 84 35 33 2.16 .616
Christy Mathewson 1913 25 11 .694 21 93 40 35 2.06 .618
Bret Saberhagen 1994 14 4 .778 13 143 24 24 2.74 .660
Christy Mathewson 1914 24 13 .649 23 80 41 35 3.00 .663
Cy Young 1904 26 16 .619 29 200 43 41 1.97 .687
Red Lucas 1933 10 16 .385 18 40 29 29 3.40 .737
Jon Lieber 2002 6 8 .429 12 87 21 21 3.70 .766
Bob Tewksbury 1992 16 5 .762 20 91 33 32 2.16 .773
Comments
2005-12-28 16:52:35
1.   Todd S
Holy crap. Quite an accomplishment.
2005-12-29 07:26:01
2.   Mike from Hoboken
Not to diminish Silva's talent, but his stats are probably helped by the fact that the Twins play a lot of games against free-swinging teams like KC and Detroit. I'm guessing.
2005-12-30 08:32:26
3.   RME JICO
Combined with Radke, they combined for 389 IP with only 32 BBs. Now that is pretty amazing for 2 teammates. Too bad that doesn't translate into wins as they combined for a 18-20 record. Note to Twins, score some runs!

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