Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Will Carroll and I have a piece over at Baseball Prospectus (login required) today on whether swinging and missing, free swingers being free swingers, actually matters. Guess what? It doesn't. Enjoy.
There's a difference between swinging and missing with 0 or 1 strike, and swinging and missing with 2 strikes. There's a difference between swinging and missing with nobody on base and two outs and swinging and missing with a runner on third and nobody out.
On the whole, I'm sure you're right. But I suspect that if you break down the swinging and missing by context, you'll find that the "take your cuts" conclusion is not always correct. I'm sure there are some contexts when a "put the ball in play" approach will produce more runs, and more wins, for the team as a whole, even if it hurts the individual player's OPS.
Give me the data and I'll analyze it. If I had my druthers, I'd not only look at pitch count, I'd look at game situation (men on, outs, score, etc.). I'd rather see the glass half full than half empty.
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