That's not a bad list. Of 19 pitchers, There are three Hall of Famers plus Johnson who seems a lock right now. The rest of the list consists of guys who were just a step below the men who made it in the Hall. His 205 career Win Shares bear that out as well. It's only good for 519th place tied with the likes of Hippo Vaughn, Jim Perry, Pat Zachary, and Bobby Thomson.
I think that's an appropriate place for Cone. I wonder what will be his fate when he becomes eligible. He's seems too good a pick to be dropped upfront by the voters. However, his numbers will never be enough to build a consensus. He's the type of player who will float in limbo perhaps for the full 15 years, if they don't change the system first. After that, who knows, some former teammates may put in him via the Veterans' Committee. I doubt it but it could happen. There are worse pitchers in the Hall after all.
Not All Ks Are Alike
2003-05-30 20:01
by Mike Carminati
The estimable Leonard Koppett has an interesting article on the inherent inaccuracy of pitch counts. He rightly argues that lumping pitches that are called strikes, pitches that are fouled off, and pitches that are struck for either an out or a hit under one umbrella called strike misrepresents the calliber of the pitcher's performance.
On my scorecard I record each pitch. I have a separate section under the batter's diamond for all the pitches thrown against that batter. I have symbols for a ball (B), a strike swinging (K), a called strike (backwards K), a foul fly (F), a pitched fouled back (backwards F), a foul tip (T), a check swing (check), a ball bunted foul (f), a pitch out (O), a hit batsman (H), an intentional ball (I), a wild pitch (W), and a ball put in play (P). I record all of these events on the sheet and then when I taly them for the inning, I just record balls and strikes. I think I'll take Koppett's advice and break strikes down into balls in play and ones not struck.
Everybody try it: it's what the cool sabermatricians are doing.
Bruin June Swoon
2003-05-30 19:41
by Mike Carminati
Our old friend Christian Ruzich investigates the history of the Cubs' woes in June. I thought it ended with the demise of day games at Wrigley but Christian proves otherwise.
Let's hope for Christian's sake the Cubbies can shake their blues in 2003.
Bill-ious
2003-05-30 01:41
by Mike Carminati
I used to enjoy ESPN's The Sports Reporters. It was a Meet the Press for the sports world. They discussed the issues of the day in a humorous, but still journalistic vein. Host Dick Schaap was a dignified, well-spoken, diplomatic consensus builder resolving any issue among his guests with a droll aside. I looked forward to it every Sunday.
Little did I know that it would lead to sports journalism being ruled by sound-bite heads shouting each other down.
Schaap passed away, and with him the spirit of the show died. But that didn't stop ESPN from proliferating the show with The Sports Reporters II, Pardon the Interruption, and now the Jim Rome Is Burning (we don't need no water yudda yudda) show. Tony Kornheiser and Michael Wilbon were frequent guests on the old Sports Reporters and had their fair share of gibes and well-played points, but they were always within the Schaap-inspired context of the show. As the hosts of PTI, Kornheiser and Wilbon "play" two angry sports fans shouting at each other with ill-conceived, ill-researched, and ill-mannered opinions, or more to the point rants (not that there's anything wrong with it). Bob Ryan, another frequent Sports Reporter guest was suspended recently by the Boston Globe for obnoxious comments he made about Jason Kidd's wife that must have sounded like a great sound-bite to his id at the time.
That is the root of the problem, this type of "reporting" is so contextually based that unbelievable comments may be uttered by somewhat intelligent people but they sound reasonable at the time. It's some ultra-cool sports journalism Fight Club that is understood on a visceral level but nobody talks about (since that's the first rule of Fight Club after all).
Along the same lines, a guilty pleasure appeared on Comedy Central a few years ago that poked fun at the politically correct world with two hosts who played dumb boors but were obviously smart, sophisticated individuals. Yes, they were offensive but they made fun of themselves and the medium they exploited. I'm talking about Frasier of course? No, sad to say, I mean The Man Show. I never watched it regularly but if I passed it by channel surfing, it was always good for a chuckle or two. When one of the hosts, Jimmy Kimmel, was given his own late-night show, I thought that he could shake up the genre the way Letterman did in the Eighties. Unfortunately, his show has been a crashing bore and will probably soon go the way of the deer-in-the-headlights-ness that was the Chevy Chase Show.
What do these two things have to do with each other you ask?
Enter one Bill Simmons, who is a columnist of sorts for ESPN2 (the Deuce, you say?). He is a sound-biter of the highest, or lowest, order as well as a writer on the ill-fated Kimmel Dead show.
Simmons recently wrote about Roger Clemens' failed attempt to secure his 300th win against his former teammates and Mr. (and I use the word loosely) Simmons' favorite team, the Red Sox. You see, Simmons still carries a grudge against Clemens for having the audacity to have left his beloved Sox in the first place. He wrote an article a few years ago explaining why Clemens is the antichrist. It's kind of a funny idea if done with the proper tone, but Simmons' ham-fisted screed against Clemens that totally ignored the facts regarding Clemens' career as well as his departure from Beantown was far from funny. It was a good sound bite though. He presented the rest of the sports world as some sort of idealized Rockwellian romp that was despoiled by the roué (Clemens), who deflowered the girl, er, franchise while continually twirling his evil moustache.
In the non-300-win article, Simmons calls Clemens a "traitor" who "sold out an entire city. He didn't care about us." Simmons relayed that when Clemens was hit on the hand during win 299, also against the Red Sox, he "was muttering under my breath, 'I hope it's broken in eight places.'" Look, I'm a Philadelphia fan, and I know mean-spirited fandom.
I have witnessed, but never participated in, my fellow fans cheering a severe injury to the Cowboy's Michael Irving, throwing batteries at J.D. Drew, and throwing snowballs at Santa Claus. And even I cannot understand wishing serious injury to an opposing player, especially one who for so long plied his trade for your team. When Robert Person entered the Clemens game as a Red Sox reliever, I gave him a hand, not that he could hear it (or heaven forefend, the Yankees fans in my section could), but he had played for my Phils and I just wanted to tip my cap to him.
So back to the mouth that roared: why did Simmons so hate Clemens that he would enjoy a serious injury to the Rocket? He gives us three reasons in his diatribe-"there are three smoking guns against Clemens which are indisputable". I will list them and review the basis in reality, if any, in each:
"1. After signing with Toronto -- and let there be no doubt, Clemens grabbed the highest offer -- he didn't spend more than five seconds thanking the Boston fans in the 'I'm fleeing for Canada even though I always said I would only play for Boston or Texas' press conference."
So? Ballplayers say a lot of things. "I'll never play for them" or "I only want to play for them" or "it's not about the money". Playing baseball is a job. It's always been a job and it will always be a job. If your heroes don't live up to your expectations by taking less money to stay with an organization that sees him as being in "the twilight of his career" when he still have at least three Cy Youngs in his arm, then maybe you should stick to fiction instead of reality.
Clemens was a free agent. Toronto offered him a lot of money. Dan Duquette was busy running the Red Sox into the ground. He didn't believe in Clemens. He wrote at the time:
"For a number of reasons -- such as his health and conditioning, poor run support and minimal support from the bullpen -- his record and performance had slipped in his last few years with the Red Sox."
Tom Verducci has a great response to this:
The numbers clearly do not suggest that Clemens let himself go physically. In fact, he averaged a whopping 125 pitches per start in '96, a career high. And if somehow you did think Clemens wasn't in proper condition while posting the second-best strikeout rate of his career and throwing his career high in pitches per start, wouldn't you keep him to find out what he could do by "getting into shape?"
Clemens did have a few injuries toward the end of his career with Boston, but isn't that part of the game? Doesn't it happen to a number of athletes without the claim that they are "dogging it"?
For Clemens' part he explains the departure as so:
"It's no different than one corporation asking you to work for them, saying we want you, and the other corporation lets you go," Clemens said. "It's pretty easy. If [the Red Sox] had gotten anywhere close in the ballpark it would have been an easy decision [to stay]."
Bill, if CNN/SI offered you twice what you were making at ESPN, are you seriously going to tell us that you would stay with ESPN? If so, you are as dumb as you sound.
Look, sports are big business. He worked his tail off; he left. Now move on.
As shall I, to this "throwing the fans a bone issue." What bone? And to whom should he throw it? Simmons talks about Drew Bledsoe taking out full-page ads thanking the fans. Well, that's nice, but he still left and what does your "thank you" get you? Besides why thank a city and a team that had made it clear you were no longer wanted.
"2. The following spring, Mr. Ungrateful arrived in Toronto in the best shape of his career. Why? As he kept telling reporters, he wanted to prove to Boston management that they were wrong about him."
Maybe Clemens wanted to prove that he was not in the twilight of his career. He had a personal challenge and he did his best to overcome it.
David Eckstein is revered for considering his height, or lack thereof, as a personal challenge that he had to overcome. Sports figures especially the ones getting longer in the tooth are fighting the detritus that befalls their bodies on a daily basis. So Clemens had a place to focus that challenge, the Red Sox management. He got himself in great shape and owes the latter half of his career to that training regimen. Good for him.
J-Lo uses a past relationship that ended badly to impel her forward and she's Driven. Clemens does it and he's a wicked a-hole? He was no longer on your team. When he was, he pitched well. Move on.
"3. Frustrated by the losing in Toronto, Clemens orchestrates a shady trade to our archrivals -- the Yankees, a little like switching over from the Bloods to the Crips -- with help from an illegal 'You can ask for a trade if you're not happy after two years' clause in his contract."
First, "illegal"? If the contract were illegal, why didn't the Jays take it to court?
Second, he was 35 and coming of his best back-to-back years of his career. His team was treading water, and he wanted a championship. He had an opportunity to go to a sports dynasty. Why not explore that opportunity?
No one forced the Blue Jays to offer Clemens an out in his contract. They're big boys with big lawyers, who all knew what the implications were. They got three major-league players in the trade so don't bleed for the Blue Jays.
Besides, aren't you a Red Sox fan? What do you care if Clemens screws over Toronto? What does it have to do with you?
And don't talk about shady trades when Boston has been able to exploit its close ties to Bud Selig to pick a star player off of the baseball-owned Expos roster and retrieve a player who had signed a contract with a Japanese team. Let's discuss illegalities for a second...
To sum up, "he just doesn't give a crap. And that's the root of the problem here. That's why Roger Clemens is the only modern-day superstar who doesn't belong to a single city."
First, that's not true. Bonds played for Pittsburgh and the Giants. Maddux, the Cubs and Braves. Glavine, the Braves and Mets. Randy Johnson, four clubs. And your beloved Pedro Martinez started life as a Dodger, blossomed as an Expo, and then was wrested away from Montreal by a richer organization, your Sox. And by the way, Larry Bird coached the Pacers, not the Celtics. And you beloved Bobby Orr finished his career with the Blackhawks, you moron--sorry, it just slipped out.
And second, of course Clemens doesn't care about you. Is he supposed to be altruistic or is he supposed to play baseball? As Durocher said, "Nice guys finish last." You had a great pitcher for many years. That does not mean that he has to send you flowers the morning after or call you the next week. The fans are big boys. They can handle it.
By the way, Simmons says that:
There are many ways to figure out true Sox fans -- like when someone calls Bill Mueller "Mule-er" (it's pronounced like "Miller")
Are you really that mental? Mueller played seven seasons in San Fran and Chicago before you, who are afflicted with a Boston-strain of baseball myopia, discovered him.
This is really what it's all about, isn't it? I have defended my choice of Boston fans as the best on my "About Me" to Yankees fans on numerous occasions. I harken back to my days at Fenway when I lived in Boston in the late Eighties and Early Nineties. It was a time when older fans seemed to collect around the infield portion of the stands keeping score and discussing the pros and cons of certain strategies employed in the game. In the outfield bleachers, younger fans enjoyed a college-like atmosphere, tossing beach balls and acting obstreperously charming.
I finally realize that those days are gone. Maybe it was the strike. Maybe it was Dan Duquette. Maybe it was the end of the Yawkey regime. Maybe it was the deification of this "Curse of the Bambino" tripe.
Whatever the cause, I can no longer characterize the Red Sox fans as the most intelligent any longer. When the spirit of the fans is typified by troglodytic, self-involved, self-important horses asses like Simmons, I have to reassess my opinion. For the time being, I'll leave the space fallow while I mull it over. It's not as if it matters to anyone else, but it matters to me.
Reconciliation in a Nationally-Televised Commercial...Priceless
2003-05-29 23:42
by Mike Carminati
Apparently, George Steinbrenner and Derek Jeter are not only willing to bury the hatchet, they are happy to be paid to do so according to this NY Post article from my friend Mike. The Boss and the playboy will poke fun at this past ofseason's imbroglio with, what else, a VISA commercial. To paraphrase Gil Scott-Heron, the reconciliation will be televised.
It's too bad that the lightheartedness of this commercial belies what has been an acrimonious 6 months for the Bombers. Maybe this is Steinbrenner's first of many attempts at fence-mending, but it seems that as this ad ends one contoversy another mushrooms in its place. I get the feeling that if things don't go their way this season, the Boss is going to make some sweeping changes for 2004, and Joe Torre and his staff seem to head that list.
Good Thing He Doesn't Get Rattled at Yankee Stadium
2003-05-29 17:03
by Mike Carminati
ESPN reports that the Red Sox and Diamondbacks have agreed in principle to swap Shea "Scotty Cooper II" Hillenbrand for Byung-Hyun "Derek Lowe II" Kim. Apparently, the D'Backs are ready to give up on underproducing Matt Williams. The Red Sox have a starting third baseman in Bill Mueller and can replace Hillenbrand easily at first with either Jeremy Giambi or Kevin Millar. They get a tail-end starter or possible closer.
Grading Grady
2003-05-29 00:51
by Mike Carminati
The Yankees won the rubber match in their series with the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium in a rather odd fashion. After being led by Mike Musina for eight strong innings, the righty allowed two baserunners in the ninth and was replace by closer Mariano Rivera. Rivera proceeded to give up five hits and allow the Red Sox to tie the game in his one-inning performance but he earned the win because of an unusual couple of plays.
The score was tied, 5-5, there were two out, and there were men at first and second. The lead runner, Hillenbrand, was the go-ahead run. On the next play, Trot Nixon hit a ground ball that went through Todd Zeile at first and went toward the right-field line but was retrieved in time by Alfonso Soriano to get the sluggish Hillenbrand at home.
In the bottom of the ninth with one out, Hideki Matsui hit a long fly ball to left that was a sure double. Designated left fielder Manny Ramirez threw the ball toward teh third-base, visitors' dugout, which allowed Mastui to go to third. The Red Sox were lucky that the Yankees had installed a fence in front of both dugouts. If the ball had gone into the dugout, Matsui woukld have been awarded two bases, and the Yankees would have won right there.
As it was, the next two batters were walked intentionally to load the bases. Jorge Posada then drew a full count walk to force in the winning run. Baseball Tonight argued as to whether the third ball was a bad call or not, and I have to agree with Harold Reynolds that it was too far inside.
So there were a couple of key decsions made by Red Sox manager Grady Little that affected the outcome of the game that I's like to critique. First, I agree with the decision to keep Hillenbrand representing the go-ahead run at second base in the ballgame and not bring in a pinch-runner. One could argue that a speedier runner would have scored on the loose ball, but the Red Sox didn't have any speedy runners left. Damian Jackson had already been used in that inning and that left a collection of first base/corner outfield types plus the backup catcher. You're better off with Hillenbrand.
And as far as sending Hillenbrand home on that play, sometimes you have to say what the... heck. Soriano had to make a very good play, first to retrieve the ball and second to make a good throw. Even with Rivera on the ropes, there's no reason to play conservatively. If it takes a very good play to stop the runner from scoring then I would send him. It seems a high-percentage call to me.
Second, I disagree with the walk that loaded the bases full in the bottom of the ninth. This is an easy one to disagree with as it led to the bases-loaded walk and the winning run. However, with one out, I do not see much of an advantage in walking the bases loaded as opposed to walking the first batter and playing for the double play. In either case, a single, a deep fly ball, a wild pitch/passed ball, or a balk will score the run. However, the advantages in just walking one man are that the pitcher cannot walk in the winning run on the next batter. The disadvantage is that you lose the out at every base. Big deal! Also, the runner at third can hold up on a shallow ground ball hit to the drawn-in infield. You still have the same doubleplay possibility, however. I know that the load-the-bases strategy is set in stone, but I believe the obvious disadvantages outweigh the plusses. The advantage of a force out at home does not outweigh the possibility of walking in the winning run.
Maroth to the Flame
2003-05-29 00:15
by Mike Carminati
Mike Maroth lost his tenth decision of the year tonight for the moribund Tigers, 8-2 to Cleveland. That puts Maroth half way to becoming the first man in 23 seasons to reach the magical tally of 20 losses.
Maroth has a 5.56 ERA but if you consider that his 1.18 WHIP is the best in the Tigers' starting rotation, he should stay in their Detroit rotation for some time.
ESPN projects Maroth's season total at a 3-32 record. If he actually lost thirty ballgames, he would be the first pitcher since 1899 to do so.
Homers the Braves
2003-05-29 00:08
by Mike Carminati
The Braves first three hitters today, Rafael Furcal, Mark DeRosa and Gary Sheffield, led off the game with consecutive home runs. The pitcher, Jeff Austin, was grooved each pitch like a BP tosser. This is the second time in baseball history.that the first three batters for a team have all hit home runs The other time was by Marvell Wynne, Tony Gwynn, and John Kruk April 13, 1987 for the Padres.
The odd thing is that Mark DeRosa only has two home runs on the season and this is his first as the number 2 hitter this season. You say that he had only had 15 at-bats in the #2 spot oming into the season. That's true. However, consider in 84 at-bats in the two hole over the last four years, DeRosa only had one home run.
Wynne only hit two home runs for the entire season in 1987. So maybe it's not so odd after all.
Gammon's Normalcy
2003-05-28 23:45
by Mike Carminati
Main Entry: 1gam·mon
Pronunciation: 'ga-m&n
Function: noun
Etymology: Middle English, from Old North French gambon ham, from gambe leg -- more at GAM
Date: 15th century
1 chiefly British : HAM 2
2 chiefly British a : a side of bacon b : the lower end of a side of bacon
- Webster's online
Peter Gammons invented a word tonight on Baseball Tonight: exuberation. Look it up. It's a figment of his imagination, but then again a lot of things are.
Harold Reynolds seemed ready to laugh in Peter's gibbering face when he claimed that the Orioles should be content not to contend because they have a four-year plan. Gammons further blathered on about the amount of money that the O's had lost over the last three years and how they needed to cut salary. Reynolds rightly pointed out that everyone is in the same boat except the Yankees.
Reynolds and Bobby Valentine continued to spit out giddy asides of "But they have a four-year plan" for the rest of the program. Gammons seemed slightly annoyed and confused whenever it happened, but that seems to be his usual demeanor so it's difficult to say if the gibes registered.
One thing's for sure, he did not display any exuberation irregardless.
"The Worst Baserunning in the History of Baseball"
2003-05-28 23:31
by Mike Carminati
That was Jon Miller's hilarious call on the Ruben Rivera baserunning brain freeze from yesterday's Giants-D'Backs game, which I finally saw on Baseball Tonight tonight.
If you are not familiar with the play, I'll set the mood: Ruben Rivera pinch-ran for Andres Galarraga at first with one out in the ninth inning of a 2-2 ballgame. Galarraga himself had reached on an error by Arizona's shortstop, Tony Womack. Marquis Grissom was the next batter and he sent a high fly ball to right that David Dellucci misjudged for another error. Thinking the ball would be caught, Rivera was returning from beyond second base to first when the ball bounced. He headed back toward second, but took a Grete Waitz-like shortcut across the infield grass toward third instead. About three yards past second base, he realized his mistake (reportedly fans were gesticulating for him to return to second) and doubled back to second. And then he mysteriously tried to proceed to third. Cut-off man Junior Spivey at this point had relayed the ball to third. Even though he had plenty of time to get the chicken-with-his-head-cut-off baserunner, Spivey's throw went through Alex Cintron for the third error of the inning. Seeing the ball loose, the ever-creative Rivera headed home. Unfortunately, the ball caromed back onto the field and Womack threw him out by a good 10 feet.
Then Jose and Miguel Agilar ran into each other on a ground ball up the middle on the next play (That's a Bad News Bears reference, by the way). The Giants ended up winning the game, but Rivera had not looked that bad since he stole Derek Jeter's glove.
If you are curious as to why Rivera was not automatically out for running outside the baselines and cutting across the infield, the reason is that the rule says that he's only out if he's avoiding a tag. The only thing Rivera was avoiding was baserunning logic. Here's the rule:
7.08
Any runner is out when (a) (1) He runs more than three feet away from a direct line between bases to avoid being tagged unless his action is to avoid interference with a fielder fielding a batted ball
No tag, no out.
So why isn't he out for passing second and then doubling back? You are allowed to touch 'em all as long as you retrace your steps on the way back:
7.02
In advancing, a runner shall touch first, second, third and home base in order. If forced to return, he shall retouch all bases in reverse order, unless the ball is dead under any provision of Rule 5.09. In such cases, the runner may go directly to his original base.
If Rivera had not touched second on returning to first, the D'Backs could have appealed at second and he would have been out. The only way that Rivera's baserunning makes any sense is that he thought he had not re-touched first and, therefore, could bypass second altogether. It didn't look that way in the replay and besides it does not mean that he can cut accross the infield to get to third anyway.
This one, in my opinion, is a close rival to the botched infield fly play by the Expos also at Pac Bell earlier this year. That one gets the slight age as three Expos misunderstood the infield fly rule on the play as opposed to one bench player getting turned around on the bases. However, the number of mistakes and duration of the play, a good 20 seconds, do weigh in Rivera's favor (or disfavor).
A Bronx Tale
2003-05-28 01:16
by Mike Carminati
Though my trip to the Bronx yesterday did not yield being witness to Roger Clemens' 300th win, it was nonetheless a fun visit to the ballpark.
The day began ominously with my drive on the New Jersey Turnpike in a driving rain. I met my friend Mike and we took off for the Stadium hoping that the game would not be canceled before we got there. On exiting the subway train we saw Yankee fans leaving in droves, or at least drovelets, and feared the worst. After a call to Mike's brother Murray confirmed that the game was still on, we decided to look around a grab a bite since the game was still delayed indefinitely.
This afforded us the opportunity to walk about the neighborhood that George Steinbrenner so often denigrates. I had never left the unfriendly confines of the area adjacent to the Stadium before. Given that my impression of the area was formed by the dense travel, elevated train tracks, and dilapidated, urban detritus surrounding the stadium, I was pleasantly surprised to find a thriving, attractive neighborhood in the two or three block trek we attempted in and around Lou Gehrig Plaza. So the next time George spouts off about the area, don't buy it.
The trip yielded a Babe Ruth T-shirt, but the restaurants were packed so we decided to ballpark and grab a dog or two there. We headed towards our seats in deep right field and stopped at a concession stand. Mike explained to me how Yankees Stadium has a graduated pricing scheme, that regular hot dogs behind homeplate cost as much as jumbo hot dogs in the outfield. Baseball's version of bread and circus, I guess.
Anyway, we munched our lunch down in our designated seats that were luckily high enough to protect us from the weather. It afforded us a nice view of the municipal park adjacent to the stadium, the George Washington Bridge between Jersey and Manhattan, the cluster of buildings where Hilltop Park used to sit, and the housing projects that stand were the Polo Grounds had been.
The rain started to let up as well, but the crowd was pretty thin. Another call to Mike's brother, informed us that they had secured better seating in the loge section that also happened to be better protected from the elements. We were lucky enough to remain in those seats for the rest of the game.
My friend Armando, I found out later, had made the trek down from Boston and was stuck up in the nosebleed section for the entire ballgame. I told him that was the difference between New Yorkers and Bostonites, much to his chagrin.
Anyway, we met up with Murray and Chris (who wrote the article on the 2002 Reinsdorf Award that I posted). Soon it was announced that the game would start at 2:45, an hour and forty minutes later than scheduled, but a happy announcement nonetheless. We spent the remaining time watching old Yankee footage and discussing baseball in general. Chris had a great story about his one-time encounter with then-Yankee Ed Whitson. And we speculated as to whether Joe Morgan's crew would be covering the game for ESPN, and if so, whether or not he would beat the bejesus out of my for continual roasting of him.
Finally, the game started and before the first pitch, there was a meeting at the mound. We saw Roger Clemens throw his club towards the dugout and receive a different one. Somehow we figured out that second-base ump Joe West had asked Clemens to remove the glove due to a 300-win logo. Clemens looked very strong in the first, expending 11 pitchers, eight of which were strikes. Unfortunately for Clemens, his opponent, Tim Wakefield, was having a great night with his knuckleball-I guess it is added by the damp weather.
The Yankees anemic offense was hitless through three and one-third, though they had collected three walks. Clemens struck out the side in the second but allowed the first of many runs on the day. Even though Manny Ramirez had the big hit in the inning, the strike out to Doug Mirabelli to end the inning, I thought, was the most telling at-bat. The weak-hitting Mirabelli, made Clemens throw 10 pitches (35 for the inning). After Clemens got ahead 1-2, Mirabelli fouled back four pitches and worked the count full before the final whiff. I said at the time that when Mirabelli is timing your fastball, it's not a good sign, and it wasn't.
Clemens gave up two more runs in the third and threw another 29 pitches. We all questioned the wisdom of intentionally walking Ramirez to load the bases (after a wild pitch put runners at second and third) with Clemens looking wild. That decision looked worse after Nixon walked and Walker scored the fourth Boston run, but given that only one other run scored, it almost felt like a lucky break.
The fourth was more of the same with Clemens relinquishing two more runs, one on a wild pitch (his second) and another couple of balls that looked like batting practice shots.
Meanwhile, Wakefield looked like he was playing catch with his kid. His easy motion-just a flick of the wrist that started seemingly behind the ear-made it appear that he could pitch all day.
This seemed to change as Ventura broke up the no-hitter and a couple of hits from the bottom of the order drove in three runs (after Mondesi struck out looking on three pitches). The score was now, 5-3, and Clemens seemed to have newfound resolve, striking out the side n the fifth.
The Yankees walked the bases full with one out in the fifth, but Mondesi grounded into a 6-4-3 doubleplay to end the inning, and in essence, the Yankees' night. Clemens came out and got two quick outs, including his ninth strikeout on the night and his fourth in five batters, but Doug Mirabelli stroked a single on a 1-2 pitch over Ventura's head and Clemens night was done two batters and two singles later.
The Yankees managed one more night on the night, a seeing-eye fly between three fielders by Soriano that led to the only other New York run. Both defenses looked poor, each committing two errors. The Yankees looked especially bad on almost every play, except for a nice catch by Matsui in center. We were joking that the Columbus express would be waiting for Rivera after the game (Mike invoked the name of classic flunky Bobby Meacham).
PA announcer Bob Sheppard had a particularly tough night. My friend Mike proved prescient when he joked that the Sox have two players named "Miller" and neither can spell it right during the announcement of the lineups. Bill Mueller (pronounced "Miller") and Kevin Millar (pronounced "Mill-R") gave Sheppard fits all night. First, he called Millar "Miller" in announcing the lineups and prior to his first AB. The second time he corrected himself, however. One time when Mueller came up, Sheppard called him "Mill-R", which was heartily enjoyed by all.
The crowd was particularly excited but for the most part in a good way, and we saw no fights break out (which is still somewhat disappointing at a Yankees-Red Sox game). There was only one incident in which a fan (apparently a Boston one according to the guy sitting next to me with binoculars) threw a foul ball back and it dribbled toward the mound while Clemens was stationed there. The Red Sox fans seemed to outnumber the Yankees faithful, perhaps because the New Yorkers expected the game to be canceled. The Boston fans had already made the trip-they were going nowhere.
In the men's room line after the ballgame, we heard cheers of "A-hole" and "1918" whenever a Boston fan appeared. But given that their Saux had just shellacked the Yanks, they didn't seem to care. The Yankees fans themselves seemed too jovial about in the first place. It's like some sort of dance that both parties have resolved themselves to be a part of. The Yankees don't mind because they have the confidence of champions and the Red Sox don't get too upset because they have the neuroses of an also-ran. As someone who has lived in both cities for a substantial period of time, I just sit back and enjoy it.
I didn't get Roger's 300th win, but I got a free clear plastic bag with a Yankees logo to hold my stuff (clear so that they can see what you are carrying) and at the beginning of the day, it didn't even look like I would get a ballgame, so why complain?
Go Joe
2003-05-28 00:04
by Mike Carminati
Last week's Joe Morgan chat review is finally done. Scroll down to see.
The New Phone Books Are Here!
2003-05-27 13:31
by Mike Carminati
From MLB:
--- 2003 ALL-STAR ONLINE BALLOT - VOTE NOW
Blogged Down
2003-05-27 00:17
by Mike Carminati
I'm still working on the Joe Morgan chat session for this week.
I was delayed today by a trip to Yankee stadium to see Roger Clemens (unsuccessfully) attempt to garner his 300th win with friends Mike, Murray, and Chris.
I should finish it tomorrow.
One Joe Morgan Chat Day at a Day (So Walk on Your Feet)
2003-05-26 01:50
by Mike Carminati
Did you ever notice that a Joe Morgan chat session is like a trip back in time to the baseball age of jive, when commentators could promulgate stands like wins are all that matter in evaluating pitchers, that ballplayers today are inferior to those in the commentator's day, that RBI is the true measuring stick for a batter, etc. In other words their homespun hokum was the commerce of the day and since no one ever checked any of it out, their word was sacrosanct. Joe's more retro than a J.R. Richard jersey.
Not only did the sabermetric revolution that took root in the Seventies with the founding of SABR and the first publication of Bill James' Baseball Abstracts (on his own dime yet) pass Joe completely by; Joe believes that the baseball world is centered around his mid-Seventies Big Red Machine Cincinnati club. He will be trying in the coming years to induct everyone from that club starting with Dave Concepcion down to Ed Armbrister into the Hall of Fame via his Vets' Committee. Yeah, they were a great team, but Morgan, Johnny Bench, Sparky Anderson, Tony Perez, and eventually Pete Rose should be enough to represent that team in the Hall.
But I digress-To repeat, Joe is stuck in the Seventies when pitchers were expected to finish the games they started, stadiums were all alike cookie cutters, and hitting 50 homers was as rare as a doubleheader is today. Listening to his broadcasts is like watching an episode of Welcome Back, Kotter on Nick at Nite: it's got that reassuring nostalgic feel of a simpler and gentler time but just does not stack up to the way you remember them to be. Aside from the nostalgic value, he leaves me as flat as an umpteenth listening to Play That Funky Music, White Boy.
Joe is so Seventies that his chat sessions make about as much sense as an episode of Happy Days with Ted McGinley. His responses are as trite and nonsensical as the catchphrases from the Seventies sitcoms. For example:
Ooo Ooo Ooo! (Arnold Horshack, Welcome Back, Kotter)
Heyyyyy! (The Fonz, Happy Days)
Hey HEY Hey! (Dewayne, What's Happening!!)
Dynomite! (J.J., Good Times
Nanoo Nanoo (Mork, Mork and Mindy)
Who?... What?... Where? (Vinny Barberino, Welcome Back, Kotter)
Sit on it! (Various, Happy Days)
Hello (Lenny & Squiggy, Laverne and Shirley
Kiss My Grits! (Flo, Alice)
Up your nose with a rubber hose! (Sweathogs et al, Welcome Back, Kotter)
De Plane (Tattoo, Fanstasy Island)
Zoinks! (Shaggy, Scoobey Doo, Where Are You?)
Handle It! Handle It! (Governor, Benson)
You get the point.
Actually, the Seventies nostalgia that has gripped the country the past five years or so could only appeal to someone who did not actually have to live through the Seventies. It is remembered for its awful disco music, but anyone who lived through the decade knows that its two greatest crimes were garish baseball uniforms and Sid and Marty Krofft. The Seventies featured some of the ugliest uniforms ever conceived. Here are my top-10 most garish in no particular order:
1. The Indians' all-crimson pullovers (introduced 1975).
2. The Astros' rainbow orange (1975)
3. Phils' all-burgundy (1979-they were so ugly the players revised to wear them more than once)
4. Pirates' all-yellow with pillbox hat (1977)
5. Orioles' all-orange (1971)
6. Braves' powder blue with fake cartoon feather on sleeves (1973)
7. Reds form-fitting home pullovers (1972-Pete Rose in lycra, eek!)
8. White Sox shorts and old-timer uniforms (1978 and '76 respectively)
9. Excrement-colored Padres home uniforms (1973)
10. A's all-yellow sleeveless with green undershirt (1970-the one that started it all)
As far as Sid and Marty Krofft, they were purveyors of hallucinogenic children's television programs throughout the Seventies. My top-10 "What the..?" Krofft TV show list:
10. Lidsville-a show about a kid lost in a world of hats. Too derivative: H.R. Pufnstuf with hats and Charles Nelson Reilly.
9. Dr. Shrinker-A mad scientist shrinks a bunch of kids.
8. Far Out Space Nuts-Gilligan's Island in outer space with Bob Denver and some fat guy riffing the Skipper.
7. Sigmund and the Sea Monsters-Bily Barty crammed into a green garbage bag with Jody from "Family Affair" as his companion and local would-be songster.
6. The Bugaloos-The Monkees with a PC bend. Oh, and they are bugs for some reason, and Martha Raye plays someone named Benita Bizarre, who wants to do something nefarious and/or kooky to the band.
5. Big Foot and Wild Boy-A feral child and his avuncular Sasquatch, which made his cameo on "The Six Million Dollar Man" seem heavy-handed.
4. The Brady Bunch Variety Hour-Exactly as monumentally great and earth-shatteringly horrific as the title indicates.
3. The Bay City Rollers Show-Billy Barty was some evil German guy with a monocle chasing a no-hit wonder band.
3A. The Lost Saucer-Jim Nabors and Ruth Buzzi play space robots that abduct two earth children in a good way. Wackiness ensues.
3B. The Krofft Supershow-extra doses of pain.
2. The Land of the Lost-"Marshall, Will, and Holly on a routine expedition, met the greatest earthquake ever known. High on a rapids they lost that tiny raft and plunged them down a thousand feet below. To the land of the lost (lost lost lost)." Cha-Ka. Sleestacks. Uncle Jack replaces Marshall in another earthquake (huh?).
1. H.R. Pufnstuf-The granddaddy of all mind f's. The Citizen Kane of hallucinations. Drugs had to be used constantly and in great abundance on the set. From the trippy song that somehow explains the plot to the English kid with the magic, talking flute (that looks like Ken Burns-the kid, not the flute) to Witchy-poo to the froggish dude who gave the show its name to the midget identical-except one was green and one was red-cops, one of which was again Billy Barty, to a talking mushroom (ahem!). Witchypoo wants Freddy the Flute for some reason and tricks the young Ken Burns to come to her talking island. He is aided by the rest of the characters to get back home or at least score some good T. This was the basis for Star Wars in the sense that it wasn't.
With this heinousness afoot, who cared about silly disco music? Especially, when it was commonly known that the great songwriters of the day, before they turned to punk music, plied their trade via television theme songs. Theme songs in the Seventies were in most cases better than the shows they introduced. Today, shows come and go so quickly, no one even remembers their songs, but in the Seventies they could become big hits and stay with you, literally, for the rest of your life:
"Welcome Back" (from Welcome Back, Kotter)
The Ballad of "The Partridge Family" ("To make you happy")
Sanford and Son (penned by Quincy Jones)
Good Times ("Aint we lucky we got 'em?")
Movin' on Up to the East Side ("The Jeffersons")
All in the Family ("Boy, the way Glen Miller played...")
Bob Newhart Show ("Hello")
Brady Bunch (you know)
Odd Couple (Loved the into(s))
Quincy (More students faint than in a class with Mr. Vargas from Fast Times)
Love Boat (love the Tom Jones)
(And then there's) Maude
Barney Miller (I think it's Weather Report)
One Day at a Time (Two words: Valerie Bertonelli)
Taxi (How long is that darn bridge?)
(I'm at) WKRP in Cincinnati
MASH (what happened to the lyrics though?)
What's Happenin!!! (Does Rerun ever make it on that truck?)
Mary Tyler Moore (The hat)
Rhoda (La la la. La La...)
Hello Larry (They killed Henry Blake for this?)
NBC Mystery Movie (Columbo, McCloud, McMillan and Wife, etc.-great whistling theme)
Even the kids shows had great songs:
Scooby-Doo
Land of the Lost
H.R. Pufnstuf
Josie and the Pussycats
Bugaloos
Fat Albert (Hey Hey Hey)
Hong Kong Phooey
Super Chicken
George of the Jungle
Electro Woman and Dyna Girl
Wonder Woman
Groovie Ghoulies
Friends ("Sigmund and the Sea Monsters", sung by Jody)
Stop the Pigeon ("Dick Dastardly and Muttley in their Flying Machines")
The New Zoo Review
Not to mention Sesame Street, Electric Company, or School House Rock
So what does all this have to do with Joe Morgan? Not a whole heck of a lot, but this week's session was a bid dry so I had to pad it out.
With that great into, here 'tis:
The Good
Nick (San Diego): Hey Joe, is there anything better than broadcasting a Red Sox-Yankees game with Curt Goudy? That was terrific! Where does it rank on your list of most memorable achievements?
It ranks high on my list of accomplishments, esp. as a broadcaster. It was very enjoyable for me. When I played, he was the voice of the game during that era. I just loved his style of broadcasting. He was always fair to everyone. It was a treat to be in the booth with him.
[Mike: Yeah, that was pretty good (even with Joe in the booth).]
Nick (Greensboro, NC): HEY Joe. Enjoy your work. In your opinion do you see batters in the future still trying to hug the plate? Or do you see them backing off a little? Thanks.
There is no reason for them to back off. Pitchers don't pitch inside much anymore. With the protection they get from the umps, with all the warnings, I don't see any of that changing.
[Mike: Right, enforce the batter's box and things will change. Otherwise, there is no reason for batters to change.]
Travis Cammilleri (Candia, NH): Joe, how long do you think it will be before the Mets begin their fire sale? Boston sure could use Stanton, Weathers or Benitez!!!
Well, they are in a very difficult situation. There are not a lot of players they can get rid of. They all have high salaries. They are also not playing very well. The fire sale for them will be difficult.
[Mike: Besides this Ghordian Knot of a team will not be solved until a new GM is in place. Phillips having a fire sale is tantamount to accepting defeat and probably dismissal.]
The Bad
Matt (Bradenton, FL): For some reason, Lou Piniella started batting Rocco Baldelli fourth behind Aubrey Huff this week. This is a reversal of their usual positions. Why would you ever want to bat your best hitter for average behind your best home run hitter? I don't understand why he made this swap -- and it doesn't seem to be working, as the Rays lost all three games against Texas.
He's trying to get more production out of his HR hitter. He wants to have a good hitter behind him so Huff will get some more pitches to see. He's saying that Baldelli doesn't need as much help to get the job done.
[Mike: No, he's saying Huff is really a better hitter and he needs more at-bats. His average is lower but he can take a walk which Baldelli has not yet learned to do. So their on-base percentage is about the same, but Huff hits for much more power. If the Devil Rays had a decent lineup, Huff would bat third no question.
Adam (Ottawa, Canada): Hi Joe, What is going on with the A's in 1 run ball games? Last year they seemed to win the majority of them, and this year can't seem to win any. Is their bullpen just not that good? Or is it lack of offensive production from their star players when it counts? Who's your pick to win it all this season?
I remember last year Tejada was the MVP and he had a great percentage with runners in scoring position. He is off to a slow start and that probably contributes to losing the 1 run games. I think it's more the offense.
[Mike: How about good old fashioned luck? The A's were 26-13 in one-run games in 2002, but only 6-9 this year. Their Pythagorean record for 2002 projected to 96-66, 7 games worse than actual. Their 2003 Pythagorean record so far is 31-18, two ahead of actual. So they got a lot of lucky wins last year and aren't getting them this year (so far). Before you blame the bullpen, consider that their pen's ERA is 44 points better than it was in 2002. I doubt Tejada is responsible for each of the nine one-run losses.]
Jeff (Los Altos): Joe, what is the most over rated statistic in baseball?
Batting average. If you hit .300 they say you are a great hitter. That means you are making 7 outs out of 10 and if you make those outs with runners in scoring position, you are not a good hitter.
[Mike: What, not on-base percentage? Joe, you disappoint me.
I prefer RBI since they are to a large degree a function of what the rest of the lineup is doing and where you fall in the batting order, but batting average is a good'un. But it's not necessarily because of how someone bats with men in scoring position. It's just that all hits and all outs are not created equal, and that's basically what batting average records.
Besides Joe is being disingenuous here: he is one of the main culprits of overvaluing batting average in the first place.]
wayne (new yawk): Joe, I understand that players sometimes pick which team they want to go into the HoF for greedy reasons, but I think players should really be able to at least speak to a committee or something about the reasons they want the team they want to be picked. On that note, I think Roger has earned the right to choose whichever team he wants to go into the HoF. It doesn't hurt for me that he wants to go in as a New York Yankee! What are your thoughts?
The HOF is a museum which chronologically follows a players career. Wade Boggs reportedly signed a contract with the Devil Rays to go in as a Devil Ray and he should be allowed to do that. There has to be some rhyme or reason and at this point, the HOF, which is a museum, does it without any emotion. If you get mad at an organization and decide to not honor them, then what? The point is, it is being done properly.
I didn't have a choice myself. I accomplished more with the Reds and that is how they put me in. They did not ask me if I wanted to go in as an Astro but they were my first team. I played 8 years with each team.
[Mike: "Chronologically"? How about alphabetically? Or multi-dimensionally? Whatever.
Look, the Hall doesn't want players selling their cap rights. It's their museum; they're entitled. It started with the well traveled Gaylord Perry, blossomed with the Red Sox fawning all over Carlton Fisk, and became out-and-out venal with the Padres and Yankees bidding over Dave Winfield's chapeau. Gary Carter may consider himself a Met and Clemens a Yankee, but their predecessors ruined it for them.
By the way, Clemens seems to have forgotten that he ever played for the Blue Jays let alone had two of his best years there.]
Don (Mtn. View, CA): Joe, Now that Bernie Williams is out 4-6 weeks, Nick Johnson is out, Karsay will not return this year, do the Yankees need to make some moves?
Injuries are part of the game, that is why when someone asked me earlier if they would win 120 games, I said it was too early to say. Sometimes you have to ride with the injuries for awhile. If it looks like it will be longer, then you make moves. I think it is still a little too early.
[Mike: Sure, they'll make moves: They'll place Williams on the DL and recall Juan Rivera.
The Boss will get involved if the losing continues unabated. They needed relief help before Karsay was lost for the year.
By the way, here is what Joe said two weeks ago in his last chat session about the Yankees: "It's too early to give them the championship but they are not a bad pick!! Being the best team in the game doesn't always translate to winning it all." ]
Jim (Bayfield, WI): Joe - Is there anything good to say about the Brewers? Tell me there's something! Thanks.
Yeah, they have a beautiful stadium!!!
[Mike: That leaks.]
Jack, Moncton, Canada: Joe. Do you think Tim Raines has a shot at the hall of fame?
I think he does have a shot. But the writers vote on Raines. I only get a vote on the Veteran's Committee. But he does have a shot.
[Mike: To quote Bill Ray Valentine in Trading Places, "Thanks. You've been halpful."
So Raines has a shot. Is that what your saying. Well, he has played over 10 major-league seasons, so you're right.
How about an opinion on the matter though? I think Raines is a clear-cut Hall-of-Famer but I doubt he will get a lot of support because what he did well does not necessarily translate well into today's analysis. I see him as an ideal Veteran' Committee candidate. See, Joe-it didn't hurt a bit.]
Joey, Nj: Do you think Jesse Orosco is going to be playing until he is 50 years old?
If you are a lefthanded pitcher and you have a funky motion like he does and you can get left handers out, you can pitch forever!
[Mike: Yuck, yuck. There have been 341 major-league pitching seasons past the age of forty (not including this year): 259 by right-handers, 80 by lefthanders, and 2 by pitchers of unknown handedness.
Here is the breakdown by age and handedness:
| Throws | Age | # Seasons |
|---|
| N/A | 40 | 2 |
| L | 40 | 34 |
| L | 41 | 19 |
| L | 42 | 10 |
| L | 43 | 8 |
| L | 44 | 5 |
| L | 45 | 2 |
| L | 46 | 1 |
| L | 47 | 1 |
| R | 40 | 74 |
| R | 41 | 67 |
| R | 42 | 47 |
| R | 43 | 28 |
| R | 44 | 18 |
| R | 45 | 9 |
| R | 46 | 7 |
| R | 47 | 4 |
| R | 48 | 3 |
| R | 49 | 1 |
| R | 58 | 1 |
By the way, the 58-year-old was a one-time appearance by Stachel Paige in a KC A's game (three shutout innings of one-hit ball with one strikeout an no walks).
Clearly there is no reason besides a few outliers to think lefties "can pitch forever!" ]
Tony (Arlington Heights, IL): Hey Joe, do you think Cory Patterson is for real this year or is going to tail off like he did last year. He seems to have gotten much better at hitting pitches up in the strike zone which has to be a good sign. Right?
You get experience from playing in the majors. Each year you should get better. It appears he is a better player now. Dusty Baker is always so positive and always keeps his players positive. Dusty will help him through the tough times. This could be the year he becomes the star everyone predicted he would be.
[Mike: Patterson is batting .318 with a .896 OPS, pretty impressive. He was batting .303 with a .767 OPS at this time last year. The big difference is in home runs, 10 so far this year and only two by May 27, 2002. Patterson had that many on opening day alone.
It could be luck. It could be Patterson maturing due to the added experience in the majors. But none of it means that Dusty Baker is the genius Joe makes him to be.
Besides Patterson struck out 142 times last year with only 19 walks. He is on a pace to duplicate those numbers (146 Ks and 19 BBs) in 2003. So I would say that no, it is not necessarily a good sign that he is swinging at, let alone hitting, pitches high in the strike zone. But maybe he'll be the next Alfonso Soriano. It's too early to tell, but I doubt it.]
The Ugly
Scott (Toledo): Bud Selig did lees than well with Bob Costes this week on HBO. How important is it for the next Commissioner to do well in the media and Public appearances? What are the chances of anyone outside baseball ever serving in this position?
One of the things that makes the NBA and NFL great is that they are media friendly. Their commissioners lead the way. The difference is Bud is straight honest, and not necessarily a politician or media darling.
[Mike: Is he joking? Sure, Selig is no media darling. His pugnacious mug would frighten small children, but if there is one thing that Selig is it's a politician. He is a master-I have to hand it to him-at garnering support within a group of disparate ownership groups ranging from multinational, multimedia conglomerates to individual hands-on autocrats.
By the way, Joe didn't answer the two questions presented. My answers: it's important for the next commissioner to please the owners. They are the only ones who can say whether PR makes a difference. It didn't with Bud, and it will only matter with the next commissioner if it affects the owners bottom line.
There have been commissioners from outside of baseball. Kennesaw Mountain Landis was a federal judge. William D. "Spike" Eckert was a retired air force general. Peter Ueberroth was a travel agent and Olympics organizer. Bart Giamatti was Yale's president. Fay Vincent was an attorney and ran Columbia Pictures.
Really, only Ford Frick (journalist) and Bowie Kuhn (league lawyer) came from a baseball background. I guess you could include Giamatti and Vincent who served as league president and deputy commissioner before taking on the reins of commissioner. ]
Josh (US Army in Korea): Hey Joe, Given the Japanese position players that are starting to jump to the Majors, what kind of numbers do you think a Japanese player will need to put up to be considered for the Hall of Fame, given the length of their contracts with the Japanese teams? And do you think that the voters will consider their combined accomplishments in both the majors and Japan (ie, what they might have accomplish if all of the time was in MLB) when voting?
They will only consider their accomplishments in MLB. It will be tough to get in because they spend half their careers there and half here. That said, the Veteran's Committee could put someone in.
[Mike: Two things: Japan has it's own Hall of Fame. They don't need a handout from the Vets' Committee, who, by the way, can't decide on American players, let alone Japanese ones. Number 2: Joe should have pointed out that the rules preclude players with less than 10 years of major-league experience:
Rule 3. Eligible Candidates - Candidates to be eligible must meet the following requirements:
A. A baseball player must have been active as a player in the Major Leagues at some time during a period beginning twenty (20) years before and ending five (5) years prior to election.
B. Player must have played in each of ten (10) Major League championship seasons, some part of which must have been within the period described in 3 (A).
And the Vets' Committee is similarly constrained:
6. Eligible Candidates - Eligible candidates must be selected from:
(A) Major League players who competed in any portion of at least ten (10) championship seasons and who have been retired as players for at least twenty-one (21) years. In addition, players whose service in the Negro Baseball Leagues prior to 1946 and the Major Leagues thereafter total at least ten years or portions thereof are defined as eligible candidates...
C) Those whose careers entailed involvement as both players and managers/executives/umpires will be considered for their overall contribution to the game of Baseball; however, the specific category in which such individuals shall be considered will be determined by the role in which they were most prominent. In those instances when a candidate is prominent as both a player and as a manager, executive or umpire, the BBWAA Screening Committee shall determine that individual's candidacy as either a player (Players Ballot), or as a manager, executive or umpire (Composite Ballot). Candidates may only appear on one ballot per election. Those designated as players must fulfill the requirements of 6 (A).
Japanese players are ineligible. If Ichiro records 10 seasons that are Hal-of-Fame worthy, they will include his Japanese ball accomplishments to help make the decision. Sadaharu Oh won't get a plaque unless they change the rules.
Shouldn't Joe know this since he is on the Veterans' Committee and serves on the Hall's board?]
CBeatty (Denver): Joe, when your commentating a game, are you watching the field or the t.v, or both? Did the pitch calls look as "off" to you Wed. night (Sox-Yanks) as they did from my livingroom? Thanks, chief.
I watch the field most of the time, but I do sometimes watch both.
I don't get into pitch calls. One of my pet peeves is announcers saying curveball away. He is supposed to say ball or strike. It's the analysts job to say those things.
[Mike: "Howard Johnson is right! I want to party with you cowboy!"
I say, "curveball away." How do you like them apples? Go away or I shall taunt you a second time.
(Yes, the pitch calls looked bad. Umps have replaced that foggy spot on the outside of the strike zone with one up in the zone. That's my opinion.)]
Maria (Wimberley, TX): Joe, enjoy your work. Have you read the new book "Moneyball" about Billy Beane? What do "insiders" such as yourself think about what the book says?
I read an excerpt in the NY Times. It's typical if you write a book, you want to be the hero. That is apparently what Beane has done. According to what I read in the Times, Beane is smarter than anyone else. I don't think it will make him popular with the other GMs or the other people in baseball.
[Mike: Ah, Joe-(aside) this is embarrassing-ah, Beane didn't write it. He's no Jim Bouton. Michael Lewis happened to write a book about him.
I guess that shows you what "insiders" know, eh?]
Utek (LA): Hey Joe, given the success of Annika Sorenson, and the number of women playing softball in America, do you think there's the possibility that a woman would ever play in pro baseball? As an aside, did you ever take any swings against a topflight female softball pitcher? I know that Alex Rodriguez has stood in the batter's box against one, but he was too chicken to take any hacks.
Golf, the equipment allows women to compete equally. In baseball, men are bigger, stronger, faster in general. There could be a lady one day as fast or as strong and would have a chance. But I don't see it in my lifetime. The reason Annika can play with the men is the equipment has changed to allow her to hit the ball as hard and as long. What she has done is great.
I can't remember if I ever hit off a softball pitcher.. I think I did. It's so hard to adjust, going from a mound to someone being about 40 feet away. It's a big difference.
Women are great softball players, but playing baseball is a different story.
[Mike: Barefoot and pregnant, eh, Joe? That would be fine if woman had not already been employed to play professional baseball.
The All-American Girls Baseball League lasted from 1946 to 1954 (started as the All-American Girls Softball League in 1943. Changed to the American Girls' Baseball League 1951-54). Another league that was unheralded since it did not have a movie featuring Madonna about it was the National Girls Baseball League (1944-54). There were also professional women's league in the mid-Nineties: Women's Baseball League (1994-95), Women's Baseball Association (1995-96), United States Women's Professional Baseball League (1995), and Ladies League Baseball (1997).
If you think that women competing against each other is not a valid test for their legitimacy as true professionals, consider that Toni Stone, Connie Morgan, and Mamie "Peanut" Johnson all played for the Negro League Indianapolis Clowns. This was part of a gimmick after a number of Negro League stars (including the Clown's own Hank "Pork Chop" Aaron) had signed with the majors. Stone was at least good enough to play second base for the Kansas City Monarchs in 1954. (A woman named "Carrie Nation" also played for J.L. Wilkinson's All Nation club, which eventually became the foundation for the mighty Kansas City Monarchs.) And of course, there was Alta Weiss, "The Girl Wonder", who was a star pitcher at the turn of the century with her own traveling "all-star" team.]
Ryan (Fargo): Which is more important in baseball today....good starting pitching or good relief pitching?
The way the game is played now, the bullpen is just as important as starting pitching. Starting pitching is probably the most important, but the bullpen is very very close.
[Mike: O, yah. That made no sense, Joe. They're as important, but they're not.
Starting pitching is the most important because it still eats the most innings. When and if pitchers begin to average three innings a start, that may change. However, so far in 2003 starters have thrown 8839 innings; relievers, 4537. Detroit has the eighth best bullpen by ERA. Which do you think is more important?
That said, it is important to strike the proper balance on your staff. The Yankees loaded up their rotation and ignored their bullpen in the offseason and are paying for it now. But if Lowe, Graves, and Kim, to varying degrees, tell us anything, it's that a good reliever is not as useful as a good starter.]
Watch Out! II
2003-05-26 00:45
by Mike Carminati
The Seattle pitcher was Arthur Rhodes, who was told to remove fetching diamond stud earrings mutiple times in 2001.
I have also found that there were jewelry rules put into effect in 1982. They state that a pitcher's jewelry muts be removed if a batter complains. However, I cannot find a reference to them in the official rules.
Watch Out!
2003-05-26 00:28
by Mike Carminati
The Mets' Jae Seo was throwing a no-hitter through four innings today when he was asked by home plate umpire Jeff Kellogg to remove his watch. The next batter he faced was Andruw Jones, who of course went yard.
So what's the big deal about the watch? Well, batters find them distracting. However, I do not believe there is anything technically in the rules to forbid a pitcher from wearing a watch. There's this rule:
1.11
(a) (1) All players on a team shall wear uniforms identical in color, trim and style, and all players uniforms shall include minimal six inch numbers on their backs. (2) Any part of an undershirt exposed to view shall be of a uniform solid color for all players on a team. Any player other than the pitcher may have numbers, letters, insignia attached to the sleeve of the undershirt. (3) No player whose uniform does not conform to that of his teammates shall be permitted to participate in a game. (b) A league may provide that (1) each team shall wear a distinctive uniform at all times, or (2) that each team shall have two sets of uniforms, white for home games and a different color for road games. (c) (1) Sleeve lengths may vary for individual players, but the sleeves of each individual player shall be approximately the same length. (2) No player shall wear ragged, frayed or slit sleeves. (d) No player shall attach to his uniform tape or other material of a different color from his uniform. (e) No part of the uniform shall include a pattern that imitates or suggests the shape of a baseball. (f) Glass buttons and polished metal shall not be used on a uniform. (g) No player shall attach anything to the heel or toe of his shoe other than the ordinary shoe plate or toe plate. Shoes with pointed spikes similar to golf or track shoes shall not be worn. (h) No part of the uniform shall include patches or designs relating to commercial advertisements. (i) A league may provide that the uniforms of its member teams include the names of its players on their backs. Any name other than the last name of the player must be approved by the League President. If adopted, all uniforms for a team must have the names of its players.
Johnny Allen Of the Indians was hit by the Frayed sleeve rule. He was asked in 1938 to cut the frayed portion of a shirt sleeve, refused, and was fined $250. But this rule pertains to a pitcher's uniform, not what he chooses to adorn himself with. If I recall correctly Melido Perez was asked to remove jewelry on the mound (and someone on the Mariners was cited for this earlier this season). Let's be clear here, the ump did not feel that Seo was using the watch to tamper with the ball. He felt that it distacted the batter, but Seo would have been well within his rights to continue to wear the watch.
Later in the inning, right fielder Roger Cedeno caught a fly ball for teh second out and, thinking it was the third out, allowed Vinny Castilla to move up to third on the play. Turner field has a scoreboard directly behind the right fielder that displays, among other things, the number of outs. Castilla did not subsequently score however.
Hitting the Roof, II: Phils Robbed
2003-05-25 23:58
by Mike Carminati
I just watched SportsCenter and they too reported that the Jason Michaels' ball hit a speaker, not the roof of Olympic Stadium. They then blithely reported that Michaels was out after the ball was caught.
That ball, ladies and gentleman, was a home run. From MLB's ground rules site:
Montreal Expos - Olympic Park
SPEAKERS
If batted ball hits an overhanging speaker in fair territory, it is a home run.
If batted ball hits an overhanging speaker in foul territory, it is a dead ball.
If the ball hit a speaker, it is either a home run or a dead ball. It cannot be caught as a flyball out.
The game was tied, 2-2, at the time. Apparently, there was no protest on the Phils' part, so I wonder if ESPN has the play wrong and the ball actually hit the roof. I'd love to hear the ump's justification of this one.
Shrill Schill?
2003-05-25 22:31
by Mike Carminati
Evidently, Curt Schilling is not a big fan of gadgets. He smashed one of the QuesTec cameras during a loss yesterday at the BOB.
"I said something to one of the umpires about it,'' Schilling said, "and he said 'Do us a favor and break the other one'... The QuesTec system in this ballpark is a joke. The umpires have admitted it. They hate it. In the last three starts I've made here, multiple times umpires have said to the catcher, 'It's a pitch I want to call a strike but the machine won't let me'...As someone who relies on command and preparation and doing the things that I do to get ready for a ballgame, consistency is the most important thing in the world for me from an umpire."
Well, umpires have admitted to wanted to call balls outside the strike zone a strike. It's not much of a defense. I saw a number of the pitches that irked Schilling, and I have to say with that they were darn close. Besides the ump seemed to consistently call those borderline-outside pitches a ball, so I don't see where Schilling can point to inconsistency.
His manager, Bob Brenly, feels that using the QuesTec system in some parks and not in others causes a discrepancy in the calls being made:
"They call balls and strikes differently in the ballparks where it's set up,'' Brenly said Sunday. "If the system is so good and the ball tracks so well, why do you need a ball-strike umpire? You could have a green light go on out on the scoreboard if it's a ball and a red light if it's a strike.
"The strike zone has always been very subjective, and the players know that going in. You put it up in a ballpark, and the umpires are calling what they think they're supposed to call. If you want a consistent strike zone, you've got to put QuesTec in all 30 ballparks.''
Well, Brenly won't have to waut very long for that as MLB is pushing to do just that.
On Baseball Tonight their analysts had an interesting discussion on QuesTec. Harold Reynolds claims that the system loses the ball "3 feet from the plate", meaning at the dirt in front of home. I find this very hard to believe, but if it is true, then th QuesTec system is worse than useless. In The Physics of Baseball Robert K. Adair showed that a pitched ball will move horizontally as much as 11 inches on their path home. For a curve and especially a knuckleball, the ball breaks late and three feet may be the differenec between a ball and a strike. Similarly, different pitches cause the ball to drop more or less slowly. A reading on the ball three feet before home would be unable to determine if a high pitch will drop into the zone, in the case of, say, a curveball or if it will remain high, in the case of a 95 MPH fastball.
Bobby Valentine, whom I enjoy immensely more as an analyst than a manger, pointed out that umps have been calling that outside pitch a strike for years and they are finally being reigned in. He asserts that veteran pitchers like Schilling and Greg Maddux have been given that outside pitch, and that it's about time that umps called balls and strikes the same for everybody. He's right. The idea that an ump has his own strike zone is ludicrous enough, but that each ump modifies the zone further to accommodate the given pitcher is reprehensible. The huge egos of the umps to have the sense of entitlement to allow for such subjectivity in the rules is what brought about QuesTec in the first place.
Don't get me wrong. I oppose QuesTec as an evaluation tool. It's inherently inaccurate, not just because it may make its calculation a yard in front of home. QuesTec would make a great training tool for umps. That's basically the problem: either umps are not trained well enough or they refuse to do their jobs accordng to the rules they have been given. If it's the former, QuesTec is the perfect tool to help them re-train their eye. If it's the latter, the ump should be fired. However, MLB, in its infinite wisdom, has decided to forego the training angle and is concentrating on the penative angle. The umps are angry and scared. It gets passed on to the players, and therefore, the managers.
I'm not sure how this is going to play out, but what happens next time if the pitcher takes both cameras out. Or if Schilling gets a big suspension and/or fine. Then the players' union may get involved. The power struggle would really be under way then. Of course, if the umps would just start calling the strike zone the way that its intended, then it would take all the air out of the QuesTec system without a fight.
Hitting the Roof
2003-05-25 21:42
by Mike Carminati
The Phils' Jason Michaels hit a ball off the roof today at Olympic Stadium that was caught for an out by Ron Calloway. I believe ESPN's Baseball Tonight reported that it was hit off of a speaker. According to Monteal's ground rules that would have been a home run.
Anyway, here's a handy link to all of the major-league ground rules, which I will also add to my "Reference" links to the left.
The Miller Huggin's Crossing
2003-05-24 00:12
by Mike Carminati
Alex Belth interviews Mickey Rivers fan Ethan Coen (oh, and I think he does something in Hollywood, too). Figures he's a Twins fan.
Maroth Loses His Donut-D'oh
2003-05-24 00:04
by Mike Carminati
No more "Maroth-ul", Mike Maroth won for the first time this season as his Tigers beat the White Sox, 3-2. He was only four behind the Mets' Anthony Young and the Twins' Terry Felton for the longest losing streak to start a season. Don't worry though, he is still on course to lose 30 (actually 4-32). He would be the first since Jim Hughey in 1899 to do so.
Maroth went seven and allowed two runs, both earned, three hits, and two walks. It is easily his best outing of the year. Though he has already lost 3-1 twice (once was opening day; 2 earned runs in seven innings), 4-2 (April 10; again two runs in seven innings), and 4-3 (one unearned run).
The Tigers did what they could to lose this game for him as well. They did not score until the fifth and committed two errors. However, Chicago's Joe Crede threw the ball away and allowed the eventual winning to get to second.
The win broke a seven-game losing streak for the Tabbies and was their eleventh win on the season. Their .239 winning percentage projects to just under 39 wins for the season, one less than the expansion Mets' "modern" record low in wins.
Mark June 3 on your calendar. That's when the two worst teams in baseball the Tigers and the Padres square off. Hopefully Maroth willl get another win out of the interleague tripe.
Ground Chuck
2003-05-23 01:24
by Mike Carminati
You might have missed it but Chuck Knoblauch retired the other day. I only know because I caught a blurb in Lee Sinins' ATM Reports about it. I don't think the major news outlets even noticed it.
I'm not surprised by the news: Koblauch was lucky to catch on with the Royals last year and played poorly in Kansas City. He was trying to work his way back to the majors this year through the independent leagues. When that did not bear fruit, I guess, he decided it was time to hang 'em up. There is another former Yankees left fielder who is trying a similar comeback via the independent Newark Bears. But no matter what happens to him, Rickey Henderson is assured immortality in the form of a plaque in Cooperstown five years after he finally retires.
The funny thing is that when Knoblauch came to New York, I was sure that he would someday receiving his plaque in the Hall. He played well at times and won championships with the Yankees, but Knoblauch was never the same type of player as he was in Minnesota. And now I would be surprised if he survives the first year of eligibility on the Hall of Fame ballot.
So what happened? Was Knoblauch on a Hall of Fame trajectory but just got diverted along the way or was I out of my mind (or both)?
Looking at Koblauch's career, it seems that 1996 was the turning point. Knoblauch had been a Rookie of the Year in 1991 with the World Series champions, the Twins, and still seemed to improve almost every year after that. In 1996, he had 45 stolen bases, batted .341, had a .448 on-base percentage, and slugged .517. His OPS was 42% better than the park-adjusted league average. He scored 140 runs, drive in 72 runs, hit 13 home runs, and led the AL in triples with 14 (the only major statistic he ever led the league in).
He had one more year in Minnesota, but the team was falling apart. Knoblauch had an off year by his standard (.281 batting average and an Ops only 9% better than average but 62 stolen bases and his only Gold Glove). Knoblauch ended up demanding a trade at the end of 1997 and the major contenders of the day (the Yankees, Braves, and Indians) were all interested. The Yankees acquired Koblauch for two men who became major pieces in the Twins rebuilding process (Eric Milton and Christian Guzman).
With the Yankees Knoblauch enjoyed a few championships, but started to pull the ball more for power (17 home runs in '98 and 18 in '99) and never again batted over .300 nor got on base over 40% of the time. His famous "Blauch Head" play that allowed the go-ahead run score in a playoff series with the Indians in 1997 (though the Yanks still won the Series). Eventually, he was moved to left field because he no longer could make the simple throws to first, which was again highly scrutinized by the press.
It seemed that when he joined the Yankees at age of 29, every facet of his game started to deteriorate. What was left was not pretty. Knoblauch's had a .210 average in 300 at-bats in 2002 and had an OPS (.584) that was 54% below average.
OK, it's clear that Knoblauch's career took a bad turn after being traded to the Yankees, but was he truly on a Hall-of-Fame pace before that?
Well, he's a comparison of all of the Hall-of-Fame second baseman and Knoblauch through the age of 27. I added in Sandberg and Alomar since it appears likely that they both will be enshrined. Also, Jackie Robinson does not appear because his major-league career did not begin until he was 28:
| Name | G | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLUG | OPS |
|---|
| Bid McPhee | 665 | 2659 | 565 | 706 | 18 | 340 | 135 | | .266 | .320 | .361 | .680 |
| Bill Mazeroski | 1282 | 4644 | 501 | 1228 | 93 | 515 | 14 | 12 | .264 | .303 | .384 | .688 |
| Billy Herman | 890 | 3691 | 597 | 1176 | 24 | 394 | 40 | | .319 | .371 | .428 | .799 |
| Bobby Doerr | 1034 | 3893 | 572 | 1134 | 103 | 623 | 36 | 46 | .291 | .358 | .449 | .807 |
| Charlie Gehringer | 732 | 2845 | 560 | 906 | 40 | 388 | 88 | 50 | .318 | .385 | .475 | .860 |
| Eddie Collins | 1145 | 3890 | 743 | 1287 | 15 | 490 | 374 | 31 | .331 | .412 | .430 | .842 |
| Frankie Frisch | 1000 | 4053 | 701 | 1303 | 54 | 524 | 224 | 74 | .321 | .367 | .444 | .811 |
| Joe Morgan | 891 | 3268 | 531 | 860 | 61 | 278 | 195 | 58 | .263 | .375 | .396 | .771 |
| Johnny Evers | 959 | 3346 | 472 | 901 | 5 | 301 | 230 | | .269 | .333 | .334 | .666 |
| Nap Lajoie | 710 | 2987 | 647 | 1086 | 53 | 648 | 134 | | .364 | .396 | .548 | .944 |
| Nellie Fox | 990 | 3863 | 561 | 1136 | 15 | 323 | 48 | 45 | .294 | .350 | .375 | .725 |
| Red Schoendienst | 853 | 3520 | 521 | 972 | 18 | 282 | 56 | | .276 | .319 | .358 | .677 |
| Roberto Alomar | 1151 | 4460 | 697 | 1329 | 77 | 499 | 296 | 76 | .298 | .365 | .423 | .788 |
| Rod Carew | 876 | 3316 | 465 | 1048 | 29 | 338 | 99 | 56 | .316 | .367 | .416 | .783 |
| Rogers Hornsby | 1119 | 4231 | 730 | 1486 | 116 | 721 | 104 | 49 | .351 | .413 | .545 | .958 |
| Ryne Sandberg | 922 | 3669 | 575 | 1056 | 90 | 404 | 210 | 54 | .288 | .342 | .432 | .774 |
| Tony Lazzeri | 849 | 3163 | 510 | 967 | 81 | 608 | 84 | 49 | .306 | .381 | .483 | .864 |
| Average | 945 | 3618 | 585 | 1093 | 52 | 452 | 139 | 50 | .302 | .361 | .428 | .789 |
|---|
| Chuck Knoblauch | 857 | 3328 | 596 | 1019 | 34 | 333 | 214 | 67 | .306 | .391 | .417 | .808 |
Note that Knoblauch is on par or ahead of average in most of the stats. He trails in home runs, slugging, and sacrifice bunts (average of 77, Knoblauch had 7; not shown).
Now let's look at the same players after the age of 28 on (i.e., starting with the season that they were 28 for the majority of the year). Note that Jackie Robinson now appears:
| Name | G | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLUG | OPS |
|---|
| Bid McPhee | 1470 | 5632 | 1113 | 1544 | 35 | 727 | 433 | | .274 | .370 | .378 | .748 |
| Bill Mazeroski | 881 | 3111 | 268 | 788 | 45 | 338 | 13 | 11 | .253 | .294 | .342 | .635 |
| Billy Herman | 1032 | 4016 | 566 | 1169 | 23 | 445 | 27 | | .291 | .364 | .387 | .751 |
| Bobby Doerr | 831 | 3200 | 522 | 908 | 120 | 624 | 18 | 18 | .284 | .366 | .476 | .841 |
| Charlie Gehringer | 1591 | 6015 | 1214 | 1933 | 144 | 1039 | 93 | 39 | .321 | .412 | .483 | .895 |
| Eddie Collins | 1813 | 6333 | 1119 | 2094 | 32 | 826 | 374 | 143 | .331 | .427 | .423 | .849 |
| Frankie Frisch | 1311 | 5059 | 831 | 1577 | 51 | 720 | 195 | | .312 | .370 | .423 | .792 |
| Jackie Robinson | 1382 | 4877 | 947 | 1518 | 137 | 734 | 197 | 30 | .311 | .409 | .474 | .883 |
| Joe Morgan | 1846 | 6196 | 1134 | 1693 | 209 | 865 | 494 | 104 | .273 | .397 | .439 | .836 |
| Johnny Evers | 825 | 2791 | 447 | 758 | 7 | 237 | 94 | 8 | .272 | .382 | .335 | .717 |
| Nap Lajoie | 1770 | 6602 | 857 | 2156 | 29 | 951 | 246 | 21 | .327 | .373 | .429 | .803 |
| Nellie Fox | 1377 | 5369 | 718 | 1527 | 20 | 467 | 28 | 35 | .284 | .346 | .354 | .699 |
| Red Schoendienst | 1363 | 4959 | 702 | 1477 | 66 | 491 | 33 | 27 | .298 | .349 | .408 | .758 |
| Roberto Alomar | 1032 | 3926 | 717 | 1217 | 124 | 572 | 166 | 34 | .310 | .385 | .480 | .865 |
| Rod Carew | 1593 | 5999 | 959 | 2005 | 63 | 677 | 254 | 131 | .334 | .407 | .437 | .843 |
| Rogers Hornsby | 1140 | 3942 | 849 | 1444 | 185 | 863 | 31 | 15 | .366 | .455 | .611 | 1.065 |
| Ryne Sandberg | 1242 | 4716 | 743 | 1330 | 192 | 657 | 134 | 53 | .282 | .345 | .467 | .812 |
| Tony Lazzeri | 891 | 3134 | 476 | 873 | 97 | 583 | 64 | 30 | .279 | .379 | .450 | .829 |
| Average | 1289 | 4720 | 769 | 1439 | 91 | 652 | 145 | 47 | .305 | .382 | .437 | .820 |
|---|
| Chuck Knoblauch | 775 | 3038 | 536 | 820 | 64 | 282 | 193 | 50 | .270 | .363 | .394 | .757 |
There's no comparison. Whereas the Hall-of-Fame second basemen improved after 27, Knoblauch deteriorated.
I think that Knoblauch's career now more closely mirrors nice but not great career second basemen like Larry Doyle, Woody English, and Heine Groh (of the great "present arms" batting stance, as Leo Durocher put it), all of whose careers quickly faded after their late twenties. But at least I don't think I was crazy for thinking that he would be a Hall of Famer back in the late Nineties.
Mike's Football Rant
2003-05-23 00:32
by Mike Carminati
The NFL is looking into awarding the 1925 championship to the Pottsville Maroons. The Chicago (now Arizona) Cardinals were awarded the title after the Maroons played an exhibition at Philly's Shibe Park against the Four Horsemen of Notre Dame (which they won 9-6). The game violated the territorial rights of the Frankford Yellow Jackets, who were losing to the Cleveland Bulldogs, 3-0, that day (and who coincidentally won the 1926 championship). Frankford coach Guy Chamberlain protested.
Joe Carr, the NFL president, suspended the Pottsville franchise and canceled its final game against the Providence Steam Roller. Their record stood at 10-2, which was the best in the league. They had just beaten the Cardinals 21-7 the week before to seemingly earn the title. The Maroons entered the game at 9-2, just behind Chicago at 9-1-1.
Second-place Chicago was allowed to play two unscheduled games within a week against the Milwaukee Badgers and Hammond Pros, who had both folded earlier in the year. The scores of the two games were 59-0 and 13-0. The Cardinals ended up 11-2-1 (ties didn't count) and won the sham of a league championship.
Pottsville claimed that they did get verbal approval for the game from the league office, but their protests went for naught. The championship has been the Cardinals ever since.
Of course, the fair thing would be to award the championship to the no-longer-existent Maroons. The Cardinals on the other hand are the oldest franchise in the NFL starting before the turn of the last century as an amateur team (aren't they still?) for the Morgan Athletic Club. They became the Racine Normals because they played at Normal Field on Racine Avenue in Chicago. In 1901 they were dubbed the Cardinals because they got the hand-me-down uniforms of the University of Chicago team, which had faded to maroon. Even though they are the oldest team, they have just two NFL championships to their name, 1925 and 1947. If they take the '25 crown away, their only championship will come in a year when the best team in football (the Cleveland Browns) was not even in the NFL. The Browns played in the fledgling All-American Football Conference that later merged into the NFL.
Bern Baby Bern
2003-05-22 20:54
by Mike Carminati
From my friend Mike:
Yankees' Williams Jazzed About Debut Album
By Steven Graybow
NEW YORK (Billboard) - New York Yankees centerfielder Bernie Williams has inked a deal with jazz label GRP for the release of "The Journey Within," his recording debut.
The CD is expected in stores on July 15. Williams, who plays guitar, composed seven of the album's tracks, which are said to be in a contemporary and Latin jazz vein. Along with his own compositions are Williams' interpretations of Billy Joel's "And So It Goes" and Kansas' "Dust in the Wind."
Pianist David Benoit is featured on the first single "Just Because." Other guests include Bela Fleck and Ruben Blades. A limited edition of the CD will feature original cover art of Williams depicted by famed artist LeRoy Neiman.
Williams will perform at Chicago's House of Blues on July 13, coinciding with Major League Baseball's All-Star Weekend.
Reuters/Billboard
It's too bad that his knee injury may keep him out of the All-Star lineup.
Red Bull
2003-05-22 09:54
by Mike Carminati
It's a naive domestic Burgundy without any breeding, but I think you'll be amused by its presumption.
-James Thurber (1894-1961), U.S. humorist, illustrator. Cartoon caption, in New Yorker (March 27, 1937).
The even mead, that erst brought sweetly forth
The freckled cowslip, burnet, and green clover,
Wanting the scythe, all uncorrected, rank.
Conceives by idleness, and nothing teems
But hateful docks, rough thistles, kecksies, burrs,
Losing both beauty and utility.
-Said by Duke of Burgundy re. Greg Luzinski in all-crimson togs in William "Author" Shakespeare's Henry V, act 5, sc. 2, l. 48-53.
Phily.com has a funny review of the ill-fated Phillies uniform changes since moving to the Vet. Of special interest are the all-burgundy uniforms that were wore once and were so loathed that they were jettisoned.
And the sight of ballplayers who, from their caps to their spikes, resembled eggplants was rather amusing.
"Not to Greg Luzinski," recalled Larry Christenson, the Phils' starting pitcher that night. "We told him he looked like a giant grape, and he was pretty ticked off."
"[After the game] Luzinski peeled his off, threw it in the middle of the locker room, and said, 'We stunk. And these stink.' He told someone, I think it might have been [owner] Ruly Carpenter, that he'd rather be traded than have to wear those things again," Christenson said.
Cowboy Curtis, II
2003-05-22
by Mike Carminati
Isn't great when something lives up to expectations?
We got an old-fashioned pitcher's duel. It was classic power pitcher versus the junk baller. The ballgame was knotted up 2-2 for three and one-half innings.
Clemens returned to Fenway for win 299.
Two Hall-of-Famers were in the broadcast booth, though it was clear throughout which one earned his plaque for actually broadcasting.
And Bucky Dent in those Green Monster seats! (My reaction to those seats is similar to Gowdy's: it just seems wrong not to have the net above Lansdowne Street. When I lived in Boston, if I was around BU on a game night, I would walk over from Mass Ave and just take a peek through the net into the stadium. It was a bit like Rudy, in the movie of the same title, not being able to get tickets to a Notre Dame football game. Though it did give one a feeling of being a kid in a Norman Rockwell painting looking through a knothole in an outfield fence and there was always tons of activity outside the park. If I went to a game in Boston, I would probably try to get those seats, but I just don't want them to exist otherwise. Cognitive dissonance is a wonderful hobby.)
Watching Clemens give up nine hits in six innings, I still felt that he would find a way to win. Wakefield got 13 Yankees in a row and looked like he was in complete control, but in the end it was Clemens. So he got number 299 in his long-time home and will go for 300 on Monday (with myself in attendance) in his new home, Yankee Stadium (barring injury). Of course, he will be facing the Sox in both games. It's good to be the king.
But Clemens got this win by the skin of his teeth. He had been hit on his pitching hand by a Bill Mueller line drive with two out in the sixth. He had enough left to strike out Doug Mirabelli (not that that requires all that much), but left with the ballgame tied and his Yankees hitless for three and two-thirds. With two outs in the seventh the Yankees rallied on a Mondesi single that plated Posada to give the Yankees the lead that would eventually lead to the Clemens win.
The rest of the game was full of all sorts of interesting plays. First, Alfonso Soriano made a heads-up baserunning play, going from first to third on a Jeter chopper to the right side that Todd Walker nonchalanted to first. He was stranded there however.
Rivera relieved with two outs in the eighth and without a throw home picked pinch-runner Damian Jackson off of first.
Then, Posada scored an insurance run in the ninth on a nice slap double the other way by Ventura. Posada scored standing up and apparently did so to block the throw to the catcher. He then plopped himself down prone on the ground.
The bottom of the ninth had a bit of excitement, too. Completely out of character, Bernie Williams flat out dropped a deep but soft fly ball by Shea Hillenbrand to lead the inning off. Bill Mueller his a slicing liner that just landed foul down the left field line (and easy double if fair). Mueller, batting left-handed, then grounded out to short, which prevented the runner from advancing. Pinch-hitter Jeremy Giambi was then robbed by Hideki Matsui with a diving catch in left. Finally Johnny Damon grounded out to end the game.
Curt Gowdy, like many of the broadcasters who started in radio, knows how to bring the game alive. He describes and informs without inserting himself into the game. He's like having a good friend at the game talking baseball with you. It's the sort of broadcast that I grew up to with Hall-of-Famers Harry Kalas and Whitey Ashburn. It seems to be becoming a lost art form.
Gowdy mentioned Dick Radatz (whom he dubbed the "Monster"), Hoyt Wilhelm, Wilbur Wood, Gus Triandos. There was even mention of the Phils' Tommy Hutton (who wore #14 for the Phils before Pete Rose did) and how he owned Tom Seaver.
A thoroughly enjoyable evening all around.
Cowboy Curtis
2003-05-21 15:16
by Mike Carminati
As if the Red Sox-Yankees game tonight wasn't big enough, ESPN will have a guest in the broadcast booth, none other than Hall-of-Fame broadcaster Curt Gowdy. For those of you who are not old enough to remember Gowdy, check out Mark Simon's great overview of his career and make sure to watch the game on ESPN. YES and NESN be damned.
You'll not find a classier or warmer play-by-play man no matter how hard you try:
"I never really thought about the influence I had," Gowdy said. "I don't know whether I had any influence. I just tried to do the games to the best of my ability."
You're So Money, Baby!
2003-05-21 00:44
by Mike Carminati
Rob Neyer has some interesting comments stemming from an argument in Moneyball over the importance of on-base percentage and of slugging percentage and on the validated of OPS (on-base plus slugging).
Here's an abridged version of the Moneyball text:
OPS was the simple addition of on-base and slugging percentages. Crude as it was, it was a much better indicator than any other offensive statistic of the number of runs a team would score. Simply adding the two statistics together, however, implied that they were of equal importance...An extra point of on-base percentage was clearly more valuable than an extra point of slugging percentage -- but by how much? ... In [the resulting] model an extra point of on-base percentage was worth three times an extra point of slugging percentage.
But three-to-one at what point? Clearly as Neyer opines they are not saying that a player with a .200 on-base percentage was equal to a .600 slugging hitter. Neyer states that he "came to the conclusion that while OPS ain't bad, a better measure would be the sum of slugging percentage and OBP*1.4 (or thereabouts)... So yes, OPS is a crude tool, a blunt object that shouldn't be used when precision is critical"
However, we have to use something as a yardstick or Mario Mendoza would look like Babe Ruth-well, maybe not. It got me to thinking how well the various batting averages correlated to runs historically. I compared batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS, and Neyer's modified OPS' (OBP*1.4 + Slug) against runs for all major-league teams to determine which best correlated.
Here's what I got. The higher the correlation coefficient the better:
| BA Corr | OBP Corr | SLUG Corr | OPS Corr | OPS' Corr |
|---|
| 0.6642 | 0.8360 | 0.7679 | 0.8399 | 0.8576 |
So Neyer's OPS' is best historically, and regular OPS nudges on-base percentage. That all seems to make intuitive sense.
I next did the same thing broken down by decades:
| Decade | BA Corr | OBP Corr | SLUG Corr | OPS Corr | OPS' Corr |
|---|
| 1870s | 0.7378 | 0.6970 | 0.7193 | 0.7166 | 0.7115 |
| 1880s | 0.6806 | 0.8857 | 0.7115 | 0.8245 | 0.8600 |
| 1890s | 0.7143 | 0.7750 | 0.7564 | 0.7808 | 0.7852 |
| 1900s | 0.8925 | 0.9010 | 0.8836 | 0.9316 | 0.9355 |
| 1910s | 0.7190 | 0.8035 | 0.7814 | 0.8376 | 0.8413 |
| 1920s | 0.8681 | 0.9110 | 0.9102 | 0.9603 | 0.9632 |
| 1930s | 0.8321 | 0.9261 | 0.9204 | 0.9561 | 0.9595 |
| 1940s | 0.8456 | 0.8840 | 0.9005 | 0.9462 | 0.9462 |
| 1950s | 0.8216 | 0.8492 | 0.8403 | 0.9384 | 0.9467 |
| 1960s | 0.8056 | 0.8934 | 0.9094 | 0.9467 | 0.9494 |
| 1970s | 0.8351 | 0.8934 | 0.9008 | 0.9514 | 0.9580 |
| 1980s | 0.5579 | 0.6146 | 0.7419 | 0.7475 | 0.7265 |
| 1990s | 0.5888 | 0.6674 | 0.6596 | 0.6925 | 0.6987 |
| 2000s | 0.8425 | 0.9124 | 0.8939 | 0.9424 | 0.9500 |
Note that initially batting average was the best predictor of runs being scored. Then on-base percentage ruled in the 1880s. Ever since then OPS (or OPS') has shown the best correlation to runs scored.
But it's odd how wildly the correlation coefficients fluctuate. One would think that a stat would predict well from decade to decade, or at least that the process would evolve more rather than swing wildly back on forth.
I think there is some way to use linear regression to get the different averages weighed properly based on era, but figuring out what constitutes an era may be the difficult part. It could be split up by decade, but that's sort of an artificial rule being imposed on the system. Perhaps runs-per-game could be used as a means to stratify the major-league seasons, thereby chunking them into like groups.
I'll have to think about this a bit more but I think it's do-able. Maybe I'll wait until after Amazon gets around to sending me my copy of Moneyball.
Strange But Possible Baseball Stories, II
2003-05-20 23:40
by Mike Carminati
Bob Bogart has a clarification on my fuzzy Tim McCarver grand slam-cum-3 RBI single recollection:
The Tim McCarver "Grand Slam Single" happened on July 4, 1976, in the first game of a doubleheader at Pittsburgh. In the top of the second inning, with the Phillies' Dick Allen on 3rd base, Jay Johnstone on 2nd, and Garry Maddox on 1st, McCarver hit a fly ball to right, tight to the line. Maddox, thinking Dave Parker might catch the ball, prepared himself to tag up and advance from 1st to 2nd if Parker caught the fly. The ball just made it over the fence for a grand slam, but McCarver wasn't paying attention to Maddox's tagging and passed him at first base. All three base runners scored, and McCarver got 3 RBI's for his efforts on the play. But he only received credit for a single as that was as far as he got before passing a teammate on the bases.
And no, this wasn't in McCarver's last year as he played until 1980.
Heading for Trouble?
2003-05-20 00:39
by Mike Carminati
When sins are dear to us we are too prone to slide into them again. The act of repentance itself is often sweetened with the thought that it clears our account for a repetition of the same sin.
-Thomas "Don't Call Me Reggie" Jefferson (1743-1826), U.S. president. Letter, November 19, 1786, to Maria Cosway. The Papers of Thomas Jefferson, vol. 10, p. 542, ed. Julian P. "Don't Call Me Oil Can" Boyd, et al. (1950).
Exit according to rule, first leg and then head. Remove high heels and synthetic stockings before evacuation: Open the door, take out the recovery line and throw it away.
-Rumanian National Airlines Emergency instructions quoted in letter to London Times 27 Sep 84
Everyone knows that the head-first slide is a dumb move, right?
Why, all you have to do is listen to a TV broadcast or a sports radio show, and the analysts will bitterly spit that tautology whenever they see some boneheaded player have the temerity to exercise the play. It's so ingrained in the collective baseball consciousness that the announcers seem annoyed to have to repeat it and vent their spleen indirectly on the appropriate, unenlightened rube on the field.
Time once was that a player who had the daring to use the head-first slide was a brash, daring maverick like Pete "Charlie Hustle" Rose (see above). He was a throw-back to a woebegone era that only exists in grainy photos and Kevin Costner movies. However, now the cognoscenti turn thumbs down on the strategy Caesar-like and expect the head-first to expire for all time.
The cries to do away with the outmoded strategy reached a fevered pitch when Derek Jeter was injured on opening day by sliding head-first into Toronto catcher Ken Huckaby at third base. Jeter missed about six weeks with a dislocated shoulder. Now the same analysts whose eyes popped when Jeter had the presence of mind to make an unbelievable relay on an offline throw to nab Jeremy Giambi at home in the 2001 playoffs, speak haughtily about his embarrassing tactical error in employing the head-first slide.
Case in point from Dave Del Grande of the Oakland Tribune:
The head-first slide must be banned. What's it going to take -- a shin guard to the forehead that knocks a guy unconscious? A dislocated shoulder isn't enough?
I know the argument (actually, it's the same one Ja